Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Emelec or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Emelec
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Libertad
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Emelec
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Libertad
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Emelec or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Emelec
59%
Libertad
41%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
1.85
2.35
Avg. corners per match
10.31
9.81
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.75
4.13
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Emelec: In 6 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Emelec: In 10 matches in a row, a total of no more than 3 goals is scored
↑Emelec: In 6 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 2
↓Emelec: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 8
Brief Overview
Emelec 20.09.2026 will host the away team - Libertad. The referee appointed for this match is Kevin Poveda. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 4 last seasons. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Emelec the odds are just 1.64.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
125% from average (0.8)
1
2
154% from average (1.3)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.69)
0
0
0% from average (0.96)
Possession
112% from average (47.25)
53%
47%
116% from average (40.63)
Corners
162% from average (4.31)
7
8
225% from average (3.56)
Yellow cards
171% from average (1.75)
3
4
168% from average (2.38)
- from average (0)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
97% from average (11.38)
11
12
96% from average (12.5)
- from average (0)
Shots on goal
156% from average (11.56)
18
10
82% from average (12.19)
Shots on target
187% from average (3.75)
7
6
137% from average (4.38)
Shots off target
109% from average (5.5)
6
2
37% from average (5.38)
Blocked shots
216% from average (2.31)
5
2
82% from average (2.44)
Shots from inside the box
164% from average (7.31)
12
5
74% from average (6.75)
Shots from outside the box
141% from average (4.25)
6
5
92% from average (5.44)
Passes
113% from average (341.19)
385
339
108% from average (315)
Successful passes
121% from average (263.63)
320
268
109% from average (244.81)
Pass accuracy
108% from average (76.57)
83%
79%
103% from average (76.86)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
97% from average (2.06)
2
4
374% from average (1.07)
Saves
156% from average (2.56)
4
5
110% from average (4.56)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
6’
Orlin Quinonez
Yellow Card
20’
Orlando Herrera
Goal
23’
R. Saya
1
:0
Yellow Card
23’
Aníbal Leguizamón
Yellow Card
23’
A. Leguizamon
Yellow Card
23’
Bryan Caicedo
Yellow Card
23’
B. Caicedo
Yellow Card
32’
E. Medran
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Substitution
46’
L. Fragozo
T. Arce
Substitution
46’
L. Fragozo
T. Arce
Substitution
46’
L. Fragozo
T. Arce
Substitution
46’
C. Gruezo
O. Quinonez
Substitution
46’
J. Bravo
C. Valencia
Substitution
46’
C. Gruezo
O. Quinonez
Substitution
46’
J. Bravo
C. Valencia
Substitution
46’
C. Gruezo
O. Quinonez
Substitution
46’
J. Bravo
C. Valencia
Substitution
60’
L. Gomez
O. Herrera
Goal
61’
J. Bravo
1
:1
Substitution
62’
L. Gomez
O. Herrera
Substitution
73’
H. Batalla
V. Branda
Substitution
73’
E. Caicedo
A. Chere
Substitution
73’
E. Caicedo
A. Chere
Substitution
73’
H. Batalla
V. Branda
Substitution
75’
S. Valencia
E. Segura
Substitution
75’
G. Napoli
J. Ruiz
Substitution
75’
G. Napoli
J. Ruiz
Substitution
75’
S. Valencia
E. Segura
Substitution
78’
C. Orejuela
G. J. Cortez Casierra
Substitution
82’
J. Ayovi
R. Saya
Red Card
88’
Aníbal Leguizamón
Red Card
88’
A. Leguizamon
Yellow Card
88’
Aníbal Leguizamón
Goal
90’
B. Caicedo
1
:2
Yellow Card
90’+4’
Enrique Caicedo
Yellow Card
90’+5’
R. Morinigo
Yellow Card
90’+5’
Rodrigo Morinigo
Match Completed
1
:2
Formation · 4-1-3-2
Emelec
59
R. Saya
11
T. Arce
19
J. Ruiz
21
J. Cevallos
5
A. Mina
32
J. Valverde
4
E. Segura
2
A. Leguizamon
27
F. Leon
80
O. Herrera
12
P. Ortiz
Formation · 5-5-1
Libertad
33
A. Chere
10
G. J. Cortez Casierra
80
Xavier Pineda
80
X. E. Pineda Arana
63
C. Valencia
70
V. Branda
20
J. G. Rodriguez Perlaza
19
O. Quinonez
2
R. Morinigo
6
B. Caicedo
17
E. Patta
12
D. Cabezas
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
80
X. E. Pineda Arana
~
~
~
~
Substitutions
#
Player
99
A. Arboleda
~
~
~
~
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Emelec - Libertad 20.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
8
4
2nd half
10
6
Result
18
10
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Emelec
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Libertad
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Emelec - Libertad 20.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Emelec and Libertad before the match 20.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Emelec - Libertad 20.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works