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Derby - Lincoln 08.08.2026 17:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Derby Derby
L
L
W
L
D
Finished
1
2
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1st half :
2nd half :
08.08.2026 17:00
Lincoln Lincoln
W
L
L
W
L
League Cup
Round of 128 | 2026 | England
Pride Park Stadium
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
50% confidence
Main prediction
Derby or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Derby
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Lincoln
0%
Combo bet
Double chance : Derby or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Derby
0%
Lincoln
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.75 2.95
Avg. corners per match 8.69 9.54
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.46 3.69
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Derby 08.08.2026 will host the away team - Lincoln. The referee will be Josh Smith, England. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams are infrequent opponents on the pitch. At the moment, they have only met within a single season.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Derby - Lincoln 08.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
69% from average (1.45)
1
2
105% from average (1.9)
Possession
151% from average (47.08)
71%
29%
70% from average (41.31)
Corners
75% from average (4)
3
6
115% from average (5.23)
Yellow cards
38% from average (2.62)
1
2
108% from average (1.85)
88% from average (3.4)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
94% from average (12.77)
12
12
106% from average (11.31)
115% from average (20.87)
Shots on goal
61% from average (13.08)
8
14
97% from average (14.46)
Shots on target
91% from average (4.38)
4
4
73% from average (5.46)
Shots off target
19% from average (5.23)
1
6
124% from average (4.85)
Blocked shots
87% from average (3.46)
3
4
96% from average (4.15)
Shots from inside the box
33% from average (9.15)
3
10
96% from average (10.46)
Shots from outside the box
128% from average (3.92)
5
4
100% from average (4)
Passes
160% from average (338.23)
540
218
71% from average (307.46)
Successful passes
185% from average (248.54)
461
145
70% from average (208.38)
Pass accuracy
117% from average (72.54)
85%
67%
100% from average (67.23)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
57% from average (1.75)
1
3
94% from average (3.18)
Saves
54% from average (3.69)
2
2
141% from average (1.42)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
3’
Ben House
0
:
1
Goal
23’
Dom Jefferies
0
:
2
Yellow Card
32’
Adam Reach
Yellow Card
35’
Lewis Travis
Goal
45’+1’
Sammie Szmodics
1
:
2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
2
Substitution
46’
Dion Sanderson
Matt Clarke
Yellow Card
48’
Ben House
Substitution
67’
Ryley Towler
Dom Jefferies
Substitution
79’
Isaac Olaofe
Freddie Draper
Substitution
80’
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Sammie Szmodics
Substitution
88’
Callum Elder
Adam Reach
Match Completed
1
:
2

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
+3
6
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
+1
29
~
~
~
+2
27
~
1
~
+2
11
~
~
1
+3
8
~
~
~
+1
33
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
~
+3
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+1
22
~
~
~
+1
25
~
~
~
+2
3
~
1
~
+1
18
~
1
1
+4
24
~
~
~
+3
14
~
~
~
+1
16
~
~
1
+3
17
~
~
~
+3
34
~
~
~
+3

Substitutions

Player
31
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
+2
22
~
~
~
~
40
~
~
~
~
37
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
+1
13
~
~
~
~
41
~
~
~
~
Player
46
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
~
~

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 4
7
2nd half 4
7
Result 8
14
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Derby
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Lincoln
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Derby - Lincoln 08.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Derby and Lincoln before the match 08.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Derby - Lincoln 08.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works