Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellin 05.08.2026 02:15: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Independiente Medellin or draw
Most likely outcome — Independiente Medellin (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Deportes Tolima
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Independiente Medellin
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Deportes Tolima
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Independiente Medellin
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Independiente Medellin
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Deportes Tolima
60%
Independiente Medellin
40%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.7
2.55
Avg. corners per match
9.2
9.07
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.6
4.86
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Deportes Tolima: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no more than 3 goals is scored
↓Deportes Tolima: In 6 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 3
↓Deportes Tolima: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Deportes Tolima: Judging by recent matches, Deportes Tolima" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
Deportes Tolima 05.08.2026 will host the away team - Independiente Medellin. This match will be officiated by Carlos Ortega, Colombia. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
129% from average (1.55)
2
3
231% from average (1.3)
Possession
113% from average (58.2)
66%
34%
71% from average (47.86)
Corners
193% from average (4.67)
9
2
44% from average (4.5)
Yellow cards
81% from average (2.47)
2
2
80% from average (2.5)
63% from average (6.35)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
68% from average (10.33)
7
10
89% from average (11.21)
71% from average (24.06)
Shots on goal
163% from average (12.87)
21
14
115% from average (12.14)
Shots on target
239% from average (4.6)
11
5
140% from average (3.57)
Shots off target
120% from average (5)
6
5
92% from average (5.43)
Blocked shots
122% from average (3.27)
4
4
127% from average (3.14)
Shots from inside the box
191% from average (6.8)
13
8
117% from average (6.86)
Shots from outside the box
132% from average (6.07)
8
6
113% from average (5.29)
Passes
116% from average (452.27)
524
267
73% from average (363.79)
Successful passes
120% from average (375.47)
449
194
64% from average (303.5)
Pass accuracy
104% from average (82.8)
86%
73%
89% from average (81.79)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
56% from average (1.8)
1
0
0% from average (1)
Saves
57% from average (3.53)
2
8
280% from average (2.86)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
1’
D. Catano
0
:1
Goal
16’
J. Montano
0
:2
Substitution
34’
J. Cordoba
D. Catano
Yellow Card
41’
Homer Martinez
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:2
Yellow Card
47’
Jeison Medina
Penalty
56’
S. Guzman
1
:2
Goal
57’
J. Cordoba
1
:3
Penalty
57’
S. Guzman
2
:3
Goal
58’
J. Cordoba
2
:4
Red Card
60’
Joaquin Varela
Substitution
62’
A. Simarra
Yony Gonzalez
Substitution
63’
A. Simarra
Yony Gonzalez
Substitution
65’
K. Florez
J. Mosquera
Substitution
66’
E. Valencia
C. Arrieta
Substitution
73’
H. Palacios
J. Montano
Substitution
73’
J. Valencia
J. Hurtado
Substitution
74’
B. Perlaza
A. Martegani
Substitution
74’
J. Valencia
J. Hurtado
Yellow Card
77’
Sebastián Guzmán
Goal
84’
J. Hernandez
3
:4
Yellow Card
90’+5’
Baldomero Perlaza
Match Completed
2
:3
Starting lineups
№
Player
№
Player
Substitutions
№
Player
№
Player
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Sample source
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Attack
Possession and style
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Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
6
6
2nd half
15
8
Result
21
14
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Deportes Tolima
Across all matches
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Independiente Medellin
Across all matches
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Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellin 05.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
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All outcomes · any probability · any odds
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All outcomes
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Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Match prediction value calculator
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Deportes Tolima and Independiente Medellin before the match 05.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellin 05.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works