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Defensores de Belgrano VR — Alvarado
Torneo Federal A

Defensores de Belgrano VR - Alvarado 27.09.2026 21:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Defensores de Belgrano VR Defensores de Belgrano VR
Position: 7 (-2)
W
L
L
W
W
Finished
2
2
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  'name' => 'Finished',
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1st half 1:2
2nd half 1:0
27.09.2026 21:30
Alvarado Alvarado
Position: 5 (+2)
D
W
W
L
D
Torneo Federal A
Quarter-finals | 2026 | Argentina
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Defensores de Belgrano VR or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Defensores de Belgrano VR
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Alvarado
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Defensores de Belgrano VR
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Alvarado
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Defensores de Belgrano VR or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Defensores de Belgrano VR
58%
Alvarado
42%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 1.75 1.85
Avg. corners per match 5.75 9
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.75 4.33
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Defensores de Belgrano VR - Alvarado, match from 27.09.2026. We don't yet know who will be the referee. Torneo Federal A - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. The teams are infrequent opponents on the pitch. At the moment, they have only met within a single season. Bookmakers believe the most likely outcome of the match is a draw, with low odds of 2.66.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Defensores de Belgrano VR - Alvarado 27.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
211% from average (0.95)
2
2
148% from average (1.35)
Expected goals (xG)
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Possession
110% from average (54.5)
60%
40%
77% from average (52)
Corners
73% from average (2.75)
2
4
71% from average (5.67)
Yellow cards
0% from average (2.75)
0
2
100% from average (2)
- from average (0)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Shots on goal
84% from average (9.5)
8
12
106% from average (11.33)
Shots on target
145% from average (2.75)
4
7
131% from average (5.33)
Shots off target
59% from average (6.75)
4
5
83% from average (6)
Blocked shots
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Shots from inside the box
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Shots from outside the box
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Saves
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
11’
Eloy roige
1
:
0
Goal
19’
Germán Cervera
1
:
1
Goal
35’
santiago gutierrez
1
:
2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
2
Substitution
74’
Carlos Nahuel Speck
Matias Perez
Substitution
74’
German Sosa
Germán Cervera
Substitution
74’
German Sosa
Germán Cervera
Substitution
74’
Carlos Nahuel Speck
Matias Perez
Goal
77’
bruno latof
2
:
2
Substitution
84’
lautaro gaitan
juan cartechini
Substitution
84’
adrian rodriguez
Eloy roige
Substitution
84’
adrian rodriguez
Eloy roige
Substitution
84’
lautaro gaitan
juan cartechini
Red Card
90’+3’
samuel franco velazquez
Match Completed
2
:
2

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
5
Mateo Ramos
~
~
~
~
4
A. Ponce
~
~
~
~
3
Franco Pezzani
~
~
~
~
6
Federico Gay
~
~
~
~
2
J. Avalos
~
~
~
~
9
E. Roige
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
10
T. Bacas
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
~
11
Jeremias Bertacin
~
~
~
~
#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
3
M. Perez
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
11
R. Makarte
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
7
L. Chiozza
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
9
G. Cervera
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

#
Player
12
Kevin Vizgarra
~
~
~
~
18
M. Tuset
~
~
~
~
19
Adrian Rodriguez
~
~
~
~
17
Milton Olego
~
~
~
~
16
G. Medina
~
~
~
~
20
B. Latof
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
15
L. Gaitan
~
~
~
~
#
Player
12
A. Zapata
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
20
G. Sosa
~
~
~
~
19
F. Pinoni
~
~
~
~
14
Lautaro Nunez
~
~
~
~
17
M. Miori
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
18
A. Castellano
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Defensores de Belgrano VR - Alvarado 27.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
⌄
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 5
6
2nd half 3
6
Result 8
12
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
⌄
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Alvarado
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
⌄
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Defensores de Belgrano VR and Alvarado before the match 27.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
⌄
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Defensores de Belgrano VR - Alvarado 27.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works