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De Graafschap - Jong AZ 17.08.2026 21:00: score, statistics, forecasts

De Graafschap De Graafschap
Position: 1 (+18)
L
W
D
L
D
Finished
2
5
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  'name' => 'Finished',
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1st half :
2nd half :
17.08.2026 21:00
Jong AZ Jong AZ
Position: 19 (-18)
D
W
W
W
L
Eerste Divisie
Regular Season - 2 | 2026 | Netherlands
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
De Graafschap or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
De Graafschap
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Jong AZ
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · De Graafschap
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : De Graafschap or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
De Graafschap
0%
Jong AZ
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 4 3.25
Avg. corners per match 10 10.91
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.27 3.22
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
De Graafschap 17.08.2026 will host the away team - Jong AZ. The referee will be Laurens Gerrets, Netherlands. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2023, 2024, 2025. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by De Graafschap the odds are just 1.72.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center De Graafschap - Jong AZ 17.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
108% from average (1.85)
2
5
286% from average (1.75)
Possession
98% from average (58.45)
57%
43%
83% from average (51.55)
Corners
100% from average (5)
5
3
52% from average (5.73)
Yellow cards
424% from average (1.18)
5
2
150% from average (1.33)
175% from average (4)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
114% from average (11.36)
13
13
110% from average (11.82)
106% from average (24.5)
Shots on goal
128% from average (17.18)
22
24
170% from average (14.09)
Shots on target
71% from average (7.09)
5
10
175% from average (5.73)
Shots off target
175% from average (6.27)
11
8
163% from average (4.91)
Blocked shots
157% from average (3.82)
6
6
169% from average (3.55)
Shots from inside the box
124% from average (12.09)
15
16
181% from average (8.82)
Shots from outside the box
138% from average (5.09)
7
8
152% from average (5.27)
Passes
102% from average (464.18)
472
354
80% from average (443.82)
Successful passes
101% from average (384.91)
389
276
74% from average (371.27)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (82.27)
82%
78%
95% from average (82.45)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
77% from average (2.6)
2
3
183% from average (1.64)
Saves
189% from average (2.64)
5
3
94% from average (3.18)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
11’
J. Oerip
0
:
1
Yellow Card
15’
Donny Warmerdam
Yellow Card
15’
Ayoub Oufkir
Goal
30’
D. Warmerdam
1
:
1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
1
Substitution
46’
T. Mero
D. Eijken
Substitution
46’
T. Mero
D. Eijken
Substitution
46’
M. Menu
A. Natali
Substitution
46’
R. Robbemond
M. Sin
Substitution
46’
M. Menu
A. Natali
Substitution
46’
R. Robbemond
M. Sin
Yellow Card
51’
Gijs Bolk
Penalty
52’
B. Kovacs
1
:
2
Substitution
59’
J. Wieckhoff
N. Ahmeti
Substitution
59’
B. van Zijl
J. Hardeman
Yellow Card
74’
Fedde De Jong
Goal
75’
R. Robbemond
1
:
3
Substitution
75’
T. de Wit
H. de Wit
Substitution
75’
K. Inge
S. De Grand
Substitution
75’
K. Inge
S. De Grand
Substitution
75’
T. de Wit
H. de Wit
Substitution
79’
B. Mambo
K. Symons
Goal
84’
B. van Zijl
2
:
3
Yellow Card
85’
Bendegúz Kovács
Substitution
86’
N. Kaninda
D. Warmerdam
Substitution
86’
Y. van den Ban
B. Kovacs
Goal
87’
A. Oufkir
2
:
4
Goal
90’
A. Oufkir
2
:
5
Yellow Card
90’+1’
R. Besselink
Yellow Card
90’+1’
Rowan Besselink
Goal
90’+2’
A. Oufkir
2
:
6
Yellow Card
90’+4’
J. Kania
Yellow Card
90’+4’
Julian Kania
Match Completed
2
:
5

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
+1
21
~
~
~
+4
4
~
~
~
+1
3
~
1
~
+4
14
~
1
~
+3
24
~
~
~
+2
8
~
1
1
+4
10
~
1
~
+1
27
~
~
~
+3
9
~
1
~
+4
18
~
~
~
~
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
5
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
+2
2
~
~
~
+2
3
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
1
+2
6
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
+2
11
~
1
2
+2
9
~
1
1
+7

Substitutions

Player
2
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
+2
36
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
~
34
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
1
+3
31
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
Player
19
~
~
~
+2
23
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
1
+4
14
~
~
~
+2
16
~
~
~
~
12
~
~
~
+2
18
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
+2
21
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match De Graafschap - Jong AZ 17.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 12
7
2nd half 10
17
Result 22
24
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
De Graafschap
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Jong AZ
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics De Graafschap - Jong AZ 17.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings De Graafschap and Jong AZ before the match 17.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match De Graafschap - Jong AZ 17.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works