CSKA Moscow - Fakel 15.08.2026 16:15: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
CSKA Moscow or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
CSKA Moscow
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Fakel
10%
Totals prediction
Total · CSKA Moscow
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Fakel
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : CSKA Moscow or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
CSKA Moscow
75%
Fakel
25%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.4
2.2
Avg. corners per match
8.43
10.25
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.1
3.2
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓CSKA Moscow: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 7 goals is scored
↓CSKA Moscow: In 12 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 3
↓CSKA Moscow: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓CSKA Moscow: 3 matches in a row "CSKA Moscow" draws
Brief Overview
Fakel will play away against CSKA Moscow 15.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Inal Tanashev, Russia. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025. The most likely outcome is a win for CSKA Moscow, judging by the odds of 1.59.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
87% from average (1.15)
1
0
0% from average (1.15)
Possession
103% from average (54.57)
56%
44%
86% from average (51.25)
Corners
175% from average (4)
7
4
53% from average (7.5)
Yellow cards
176% from average (1.7)
3
3
250% from average (1.2)
114% from average (5.25)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
117% from average (12)
14
12
97% from average (12.33)
91% from average (28.5)
Shots on goal
66% from average (13.71)
9
9
75% from average (12)
Shots on target
78% from average (3.86)
3
0
0% from average (3.5)
Shots off target
127% from average (4.71)
6
6
126% from average (4.75)
Blocked shots
0% from average (5.14)
0
3
56% from average (5.33)
Shots from inside the box
100% from average (6)
6
5
88% from average (5.67)
Shots from outside the box
39% from average (7.71)
3
4
63% from average (6.33)
Passes
98% from average (459.43)
448
355
82% from average (434)
Successful passes
98% from average (375.71)
369
257
76% from average (339)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (81.71)
82%
72%
93% from average (77.67)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
171% from average (1.17)
2
4
400% from average (1)
Saves
0% from average (2.86)
0
2
75% from average (2.67)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
24’
I. Yurganov
0
:1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:1
Yellow Card
46’
Matheus Alves
Yellow Card
46’
Matheus Alves
Substitution
46’
L. Gondou
T. Musaev
Substitution
46’
L. Gondou
T. Musaev
Yellow Card
52’
V. Yakimov
Yellow Card
52’
Vyacheslav Yakimov
Yellow Card
54’
V. Torop
Yellow Card
54’
Vladislav Torop
Yellow Card
54’
A. Gnapi Dable
Yellow Card
54’
Axel Gnapi
Substitution
64’
B. Magomedov
N. Giorgobiani
Substitution
64’
A. Bagamaev
A. Sutormin
Substitution
64’
B. Magomedov
N. Giorgobiani
Substitution
65’
I. Firov
M. Popovic
Substitution
65’
I. Firov
M. Popovic
Substitution
66’
D. Kozlov
Matheus Alves
Substitution
66’
D. Kozlov
Matheus Alves
Penalty
71’
I. Oblyakov
1
:1
Penalty
71’
I. Oblyakov
2
:1
Substitution
73’
B. Pusi
A. Gnapi Dable
Substitution
73’
A. Kovalev
I. Alshin
Substitution
73’
B. Pusi
A. Gnapi Dable
Yellow Card
76’
I. Firov
Yellow Card
76’
Imran Firov
Substitution
84’
M. Uridia
I. Yurganov
Substitution
84’
M. Uridia
I. Yurganov
Substitution
90’
K. Glebov
D. Krugovoy
Substitution
90’
K. Glebov
D. Krugovoy
Yellow Card
90’+4’
A. Gabaraev
Yellow Card
90’+4’
Albert Gabaraev
Match Completed
1
:0
Injuries and suspensions
CSKA Moscow
IA
Definitely will not play
I. Akinfeev
Muscle Injury
Fakel
SM
Definitely will not play
S. Magkeev
Muscle Injury
MT
Definitely will not play
M. Turishchev
Injury
Starting lineups
№
Player
№
Player
Substitutions
№
Player
№
Player
22
H. El Mhassani
~
~
~
~
These are the odds for the match CSKA Moscow - Fakel 15.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Sample source
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Attack
Possession and style
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
3
4
2nd half
6
5
Result
9
9
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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CSKA Moscow
Across all matches
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Fakel
Across all matches
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics CSKA Moscow - Fakel 15.08.2026
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings CSKA Moscow and Fakel before the match 15.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match CSKA Moscow - Fakel 15.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works