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Chapecoense-sc - Bahia 16.08.2026 17:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
Position: 20 (-14)
D
D
D
L
L
Finished
3
3
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1st half :
2nd half :
16.08.2026 17:00
Bahia Bahia
Position: 6 (+14)
W
D
D
D
D
Serie A
Regular Season - 23 | 2026 | Brazil
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Bahia or draw
Most likely outcome — Bahia (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Chapecoense-sc
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Bahia
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Chapecoense-sc
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Bahia
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Bahia
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Chapecoense-sc
32%
Bahia
68%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.6 2.8
Avg. corners per match 11.1 11.4
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.1 4.67
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Chapecoense-sc will face Bahia 16.08.2026 as the home team. The referee appointed for this match is Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. Chapecoense-sc and Bahia have so far played each other in only one season, so there isn't much data for match analysis. According to bookmakers, the win will go to Bahia - the odds for it are just 2.04.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Chapecoense-sc - Bahia 16.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
261% from average (1.15)
3
3
222% from average (1.35)
Possession
80% from average (43.7)
35%
65%
111% from average (58.33)
Corners
77% from average (3.9)
3
5
77% from average (6.47)
Yellow cards
56% from average (1.8)
1
2
91% from average (2.2)
82% from average (3.67)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
139% from average (11.5)
16
9
64% from average (14)
115% from average (21.67)
Shots on goal
104% from average (11.5)
12
19
130% from average (14.67)
Shots on target
97% from average (3.1)
3
4
83% from average (4.8)
Shots off target
74% from average (5.4)
4
11
175% from average (6.27)
Blocked shots
167% from average (3)
5
4
111% from average (3.6)
Shots from inside the box
155% from average (5.8)
9
12
128% from average (9.4)
Shots from outside the box
53% from average (5.7)
3
7
133% from average (5.27)
Passes
76% from average (374.2)
283
555
118% from average (472.2)
Successful passes
73% from average (314.2)
228
506
123% from average (410.07)
Pass accuracy
97% from average (83.4)
81%
91%
105% from average (86.6)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
114% from average (1.75)
2
0
0% from average (1.8)
Saves
88% from average (3.4)
3
0
0% from average (3.87)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Penalty
13’
Alejo Véliz
0
:
1
Goal
19’
Giovanni Augusto
1
:
1
Own goal
42’
Kauan
1
:
2
Own goal
42’
Kauan
1
:
3
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
3
Substitution
46’
Tulio
K. Ramirez
Substitution
46’
Everton
Heitor
Substitution
46’
F. Rossi
Bruno Matias
Substitution
46’
Everton
Heitor
Substitution
46’
Tulio
K. Ramirez
Substitution
46’
F. Rossi
Bruno Matias
Substitution
46’
Everton
Heitor
Substitution
46’
Franco Rossi
Bruno Matias
Substitution
46’
Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira
Kevin Ramírez
Goal
48’
Marcinho
2
:
3
Goal
65’
Nicolás Acevedo
2
:
4
Substitution
66’
Caio Alexandre
Román Gómez
Substitution
66’
Erick
Jean Lucas
Substitution
66’
Erick
Jean Lucas
Substitution
66’
Caio Alexandre
R. Gomez
Substitution
67’
M. Sanabria
Kaue Junior
Substitution
67’
José Guilherme
Luciano Juba
Substitution
67’
M. Sanabria
Kaue Junior
Substitution
67’
Ze Guilherme
Luciano Juba
Substitution
67’
Mateo Sanabria
Kauê Furquim
Goal
71’
Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira
3
:
4
Goal
72’
Tulio
4
:
4
Substitution
73’
Erick
Jean Lucas
Substitution
78’
David Antunes
Yago Felipe
Substitution
78’
Bruno Pacheco
Fernando
Substitution
78’
Bruno Pacheco
Fernando
Substitution
78’
David Antunes
Yago Felipe
Substitution
83’
Michel Araújo
Rodrigo Nestor
Yellow Card
84’
Mateo Sanabria
Yellow Card
85’
M. Sanabria
Yellow Card
89’
Camilo
Yellow Card
90’+2’
Erick
Yellow Card
90’+2’
Erick Pulga
Match Completed
3
:
3

Injuries and suspensions

Chapecoense-sc
YB
Y. Bolasie
Injury
Definitely will not play
VC
Victor Caetano
Calf Injury
Definitely will not play
RC
Rafael Carvalheira
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
JP
Joao Paulo
Health problems
Definitely will not play
MG
Mauricio Garcez
Thigh Injury
Definitely will not play
MA
Max Alves
Injury
In doubt
RC
Robert Conceicao
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
Bahia
A
Ademir
Injury
In doubt
LV
Leo Vieira
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
E
Erick
Inactive
Definitely will not play
ER
Everton Ribeiro
Inactive
Definitely will not play
LJ
Luciano Juba
Injury
In doubt

Starting lineups

Player
98
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
~
12
~
~
~
+2
21
~
~
~
~
88
~
~
~
+3
27
~
1
~
+1
16
~
~
~
+1
10
~
~
1
+5
7
~
~
1
+4
94
~
~
~
+1
Player
1
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
+3
21
~
~
~
+1
31
~
~
~
+2
11
~
~
~
+3
6
~
~
~
+3
5
~
~
1
+4
46
~
~
~
~
57
~
~
~
+2
16
~
1
~
+5
9
~
~
1
+3

Substitutions

Player
15
~
~
~
~
25
~
~
~
~
91
~
~
~
+2
18
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
97
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
+2
9
~
~
1
+4
70
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
Player
17
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
+2
27
~
~
~
~
12
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
+1
99
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+1
44
~
~
~
~
23
~
1
~
+2
66
~
~
~
+2

These are the odds for the match Chapecoense-sc - Bahia 16.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 8
7
2nd half 4
12
Result 12
19
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Chapecoense-sc
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Bahia
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Chapecoense-sc - Bahia 16.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Chapecoense-sc and Bahia before the match 16.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Chapecoense-sc - Bahia 16.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works