Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Penarol or draw
Most likely outcome — Penarol (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Cerro
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Penarol
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Cerro
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Penarol
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Penarol
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Cerro
25%
Penarol
75%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.35
2.5
Avg. corners per match
0
8.67
Avg. yellow cards per match
0
6
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Cerro: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Cerro: In 14 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Cerro: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Cerro: Judging by recent matches, Cerro" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
Penarol will play away against Cerro 19.09.2026. This match will be officiated by L. Gonzalez. Before that, we could see these clubs clash in the following leagues: Primera División, Primera División - Clausura. It has already been 5 seasons the teams face each other. Odds 1.49 on a win Penarol indicates that the away team should play stronger than the home team.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
14’
M. Arezo
0
:1
Goal
26’
E. Rodriguez
1
:1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:1
Substitution
46’
F. Romero
M. Lemos
Substitution
63’
A. Hernandez
N. Fernandez
Substitution
63’
Lucas Hernandez
T. N. Espinosa Dovat
Substitution
63’
Lucas Hernandez
T. N. Espinosa Dovat
Substitution
63’
A. Hernandez
N. Fernandez
Yellow Card
65’
E. Rodriguez
Substitution
66’
A. Miranda
B. Aleman
Substitution
66’
M. Villar
Leonardo Pais
Substitution
66’
M. Villar
Leonardo Pais
Substitution
66’
A. Miranda
B. Aleman
Substitution
67’
M. Villar
Leonardo Pais
Substitution
67’
A. Miranda
B. Aleman
Goal
77’
C. Jaime
1
:2
Yellow Card
79’
N. Arena
Substitution
80’
I. Alegre
J. Cabrera
Substitution
80’
T. Olase
C. Jaime
Substitution
80’
I. Alegre
J. Cabrera
Substitution
80’
T. Olase
C. Jaime
Substitution
80’
T. Olase
C. Jaime
Substitution
80’
B. Morales
E. Sosa
Substitution
80’
A. Severo
N. Arena
Substitution
80’
B. Morales
N. Arena
Substitution
80’
B. Morales
N. Arena
Substitution
80’
A. Severo
E. Sosa
Substitution
80’
A. Severo
E. Sosa
Yellow Card
86’
A. Hernandez
Yellow Card
87’
A. Hernandez
Yellow Card
90’+1’
C. Barros
Yellow Card
90’+2’
C. Barros
Match Completed
1
:2
Formation · 3-2-4-1
Cerro
14
Emiliano Rodriguez
10
Brahian Alemán
19
Emiliano Sosa
31
Jairo Amaro
70
Leonardo Pais
5
Alejo Macelli
27
Cristian Barros
17
Gianni Rodríguez
16
Juan Cruz Guasone
21
Nahuel Arena
12
Yonatan Irrazábal
Formation · 3-4-2-1
Penarol
19
Matías Arezo
11
Cristian Jaime
32
Leandro Umpierrez
26
Thiago Espinosa
8
Nicolás Fernández
5
Eric Remedi
7
Javier Cabrera
15
Maximiliano Olivera
3
Mauricio Lemos
2
Germán Pezzella
29
Washington Aguerre
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
13
Brian Quinteros
~
~
~
~
9
Bruno Morales
~
~
~
~
33
Tiago Rijo
~
~
~
~
#
Player
28
Ignacio Alegre
~
~
~
~
These are the odds for the match Cerro - Penarol 19.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Cerro
Across all matches
Home only
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All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Penarol
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Cerro - Penarol 19.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Cerro and Penarol before the match 19.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Cerro - Penarol 19.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works