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Botafogo - Fluminense 09.08.2026 03:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Botafogo Botafogo
Position: 9 (-5)
D
W
D
W
D
Finished
1
1
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[
  'id' => 'FT',
  'name' => 'Finished',
  'display_name' => 'Finished',
  'started' => 1,
  'inplay' => 0,
  'timer_running' => 0,
  'finished_successful' => 1,
  'background' => 'rgb(139 142 149)',
  'background_events_table' => 'rgb(139 142 149 / 22%)',
  'display_text' => 'Finished',
]
1st half :
2nd half :
09.08.2026 03:00
Fluminense Fluminense
Position: 4 (+5)
D
D
D
D
L
Serie A
Regular Season - 22 | 2026 | Brazil
Estádio Nilton Santos
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Botafogo or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Botafogo
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Fluminense
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Botafogo
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Fluminense
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Botafogo or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Botafogo
53%
Fluminense
47%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.4 2.55
Avg. corners per match 10.43 7.67
Avg. yellow cards per match 5.64 5.71
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Fluminense will play away against Botafogo 09.08.2026. The referee will be B. Arleu. The clubs do not meet within cups, but their matches can often be seen within leagues: Serie A, Carioca - 1. It has already been 4 season the teams face each other.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Botafogo - Fluminense 09.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
65% from average (1.55)
1
1
69% from average (1.45)
Possession
82% from average (49.79)
41%
59%
99% from average (59.8)
Corners
131% from average (5.36)
7
7
169% from average (4.13)
Yellow cards
137% from average (2.93)
4
3
105% from average (2.86)
144% from average (4.87)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
105% from average (15.21)
16
19
161% from average (11.8)
128% from average (27.4)
Shots on goal
114% from average (17.5)
20
14
101% from average (13.8)
Shots on target
104% from average (6.71)
7
4
86% from average (4.67)
Shots off target
101% from average (6.93)
7
5
77% from average (6.53)
Blocked shots
155% from average (3.86)
6
5
187% from average (2.67)
Shots from inside the box
85% from average (10.64)
9
11
132% from average (8.33)
Shots from outside the box
160% from average (6.86)
11
3
55% from average (5.47)
Passes
88% from average (367.29)
324
471
87% from average (539.27)
Successful passes
93% from average (293)
273
409
86% from average (477.07)
Pass accuracy
108% from average (78.07)
84%
87%
99% from average (88.27)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.36)
0
1
61% from average (1.64)
Saves
89% from average (3.36)
3
6
220% from average (2.73)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
44’
Alex Telles
1
:
0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
0
Yellow Card
54’
Ignacio
Goal
58’
Ignacio
1
:
1
Goal
59’
Ignacio
1
:
2
Substitution
59’
J. Barrera
Kauan Toledo
Substitution
60’
Matheus Martins
L. M. Villalba Jaume
Yellow Card
68’
N. Ferraresi
Substitution
70’
Paulinho
Alex Telles
Substitution
70’
A. Canobbio
K. Serna
Substitution
73’
Paulinho
Alex Telles
Yellow Card
74’
N. Ferraresi
Yellow Card
76’
Nonato
Yellow Card
77’
Samuel Xavier
Substitution
79’
J. Savarino
Nonato
Substitution
80’
J. Savarino
Nonato
Substitution
85’
L. E. Jales do Nascimento
Substitution
85’
Hulk
R. Castillo
Yellow Card
90’+5’
Marcal
Match Completed
1
:
1

Injuries and suspensions

Botafogo
A
Allan
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
JS
Junior Santos
Foot Injury
Definitely will not play
KP
Kaio Pantaleao
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
PD
Patrick de Paula
Groin Injury
Definitely will not play
Fluminense
TS
Thiago Silva
Thigh Injury
Definitely will not play
JF
J. Freytes
Injury
Definitely will not play
JM
J. Millan
Thigh Injury
Definitely will not play
JK
John Kennedy
Injury
In doubt
MR
Matheus Reis
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play

Starting lineups

Player
17
~
~
~
+2
13
~
~
1
+2
5
~
1
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+1
34
~
1
~
+2
6
~
~
~
+3
8
~
~
~
+2
77
~
~
~
+4
59
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
~
+3
19
~
~
~
+4
Player
1
~
~
~
+2
4
~
1
1
+4
6
~
~
~
+2
2
~
1
~
+2
44
~
~
~
+2
94
~
~
~
+3
30
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
~
+1
16
~
1
~
+4
90
~
~
~
+4
19
~
~
~
+2

Substitutions

Player
9
~
~
~
~
21
1
2
~
~
29
~
~
~
+1
12
~
~
~
~
88
~
~
~
~
91
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
+4
14
~
~
~
+3
37
~
~
~
~
79
~
~
~
+4
Player
13
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
+3
14
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+1
27
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 11
4
2nd half 9
10
Result 20
14
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Botafogo
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Fluminense
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Botafogo - Fluminense 09.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Botafogo and Fluminense before the match 09.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Botafogo - Fluminense 09.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works