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Bolívar - Sao Paulo 12.08.2026 03:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Bolívar Bolívar
W
W
L
W
W
Finished
1
1
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1st half :
2nd half :
12.08.2026 03:30
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Position: 1 (-1)
L
L
D
D
L
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Round of 16 | 2026 | World
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Sao Paulo or draw
Most likely outcome — Sao Paulo (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Bolívar
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Sao Paulo
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Bolívar
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Sao Paulo
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Bolívar
0%
Sao Paulo
100%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.9 2.25
Avg. corners per match 8.67 12.07
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.25 4.4
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
12.08.2026 Bolívar plays away against Sao Paulo. The referee will be Wilmar Roldan, Colombia. So far, the clubs have not met within leagues, and only in a single cup. Bolívar and Sao Paulo have so far played each other in only one season, so there isn't much data for match analysis. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 4.47 on an away win - Sao Paulo.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Bolívar - Sao Paulo 12.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
57% from average (1.75)
1
1
87% from average (1.15)
Possession
111% from average (57.58)
64%
36%
67% from average (53.87)
Corners
157% from average (5.08)
8
4
56% from average (7.13)
Yellow cards
0% from average (1.58)
0
2
91% from average (2.2)
35% from average (5.71)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
69% from average (10.08)
7
11
82% from average (13.47)
97% from average (18.63)
Shots on goal
123% from average (17.83)
22
11
81% from average (13.53)
Shots on target
62% from average (6.5)
4
2
54% from average (3.67)
Shots off target
181% from average (7.17)
13
6
111% from average (5.4)
Blocked shots
118% from average (4.25)
5
3
67% from average (4.47)
Shots from inside the box
102% from average (8.83)
9
5
57% from average (8.73)
Shots from outside the box
144% from average (9)
13
6
125% from average (4.8)
Passes
123% from average (442.75)
543
314
72% from average (434.47)
Successful passes
124% from average (385)
477
227
61% from average (370.07)
Pass accuracy
103% from average (85.58)
88%
72%
85% from average (84.27)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
114% from average (1.75)
2
0
0% from average (1.29)
Saves
32% from average (3.17)
1
3
110% from average (2.73)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
23’
Robert Arboleda
0
:
1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
1
Yellow Card
50’
Iago Borduchi
Yellow Card
51’
Iago Borduchi
Substitution
54’
D. Batallini
J. Sagredo
Substitution
61’
Wendell
Iago Borduchi
Goal
63’
C. A. Melgar
1
:
1
Substitution
71’
Ferreira
Luciano
Substitution
72’
Ferreira
Luciano
Substitution
76’
J. Velasquez
Pato Rodriguez
Substitution
83’
Cauly
D. Bobadilla
Substitution
84’
B. Arce
Robson Matheus
Substitution
85’
E. Vaca Moreno
E. Saavedra
Yellow Card
90’+6’
Aurélio Buta
Match Completed
1
:
1

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
+2
4
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
+3
80
~
~
1
+3
26
~
~
~
+2
17
~
~
~
+2
27
~
~
~
+3
9
~
~
~
+3
Player
23
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
1
+2
22
~
~
~
+1
28
~
~
~
+2
19
~
~
~
+1
12
~
1
~
+2
29
~
~
~
+2
16
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+3
10
~
~
~
+2
9
~
~
~
+1
19
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

Player
13
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
+3
77
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
99
~
~
~
+2
20
C. Sejas
~
~
~
~
16
L. Zabala
~
~
~
~
Player
31
~
~
~
~
54
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
~
20
~
1
~
+1
18
~
~
~
+1
34
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
+1
27
~
~
~
~
80
~
~
~
~
94
~
~
~
~
49
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Bolívar - Sao Paulo 12.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 9
6
2nd half 13
5
Result 22
11
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bolívar
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Sao Paulo
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Bolívar - Sao Paulo 12.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Bolívar and Sao Paulo before the match 12.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Bolívar - Sao Paulo 12.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works