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Baltika - Spartak Moscow 16.08.2026 19:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Baltika Baltika
Position: 6 (-3)
D
L
W
L
W
Finished
1
2
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  'name' => 'Finished',
  'display_name' => 'Finished',
  'started' => 1,
  'inplay' => 0,
  'timer_running' => 0,
  'finished_successful' => 1,
  'background' => 'rgb(139 142 149)',
  'background_events_table' => 'rgb(139 142 149 / 22%)',
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1st half :
2nd half :
16.08.2026 19:30
Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow
Position: 3 (+3)
L
W
W
W
L
Premier League
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | Russia
Rostec Arena
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Baltika or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Baltika
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Spartak Moscow
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Baltika
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Spartak Moscow
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Baltika or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Baltika
55%
Spartak Moscow
45%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.5 2.55
Avg. corners per match 7.78 9.89
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.09 3.73
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Baltika 16.08.2026 will host the away team - Spartak Moscow. This match will be officiated by Andrey Prokopov, Russia. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2023, 2025. Judging by the odds of 3.71 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Baltika - Spartak Moscow 16.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
61% from average (1.65)
1
2
125% from average (1.6)
Possession
75% from average (46.78)
35%
65%
104% from average (62.67)
Corners
122% from average (4.11)
5
8
122% from average (6.56)
Yellow cards
169% from average (2.36)
4
3
254% from average (1.18)
140% from average (5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
80% from average (20)
16
13
84% from average (15.56)
145% from average (20)
Shots on goal
95% from average (12.67)
12
7
47% from average (14.89)
Shots on target
129% from average (3.89)
5
4
80% from average (5)
Shots off target
75% from average (5.33)
4
3
48% from average (6.22)
Blocked shots
87% from average (3.44)
3
0
0% from average (3.67)
Shots from inside the box
108% from average (7.44)
8
6
58% from average (10.33)
Shots from outside the box
77% from average (5.22)
4
1
22% from average (4.56)
Passes
73% from average (330.67)
242
481
99% from average (486.33)
Successful passes
63% from average (219.11)
138
381
94% from average (404.11)
Pass accuracy
87% from average (65.89)
57%
79%
95% from average (82.89)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
213% from average (1.88)
4
2
100% from average (2)
Saves
90% from average (2.22)
2
4
200% from average (2)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
20’
M. Ugalde
0
:
1
Goal
23’
A. Mendel
1
:
1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
1
Yellow Card
47’
Mingiyan Beveev
Yellow Card
48’
M. Beveev
Goal
49’
P. Solari
1
:
2
Substitution
58’
F. Moufi
M. Petrov
Substitution
58’
B. Gil
C. Offor
Yellow Card
73’
Aymane Mourid
Yellow Card
76’
G. Fernandes
Yellow Card
76’
C. Wooh
Yellow Card
76’
M. Ugalde
Yellow Card
76’
Manfred Ugalde
Yellow Card
76’
Gedson Fernandes
Yellow Card
76’
Christopher Wooh
Yellow Card
76’
N. Titkov
Yellow Card
76’
E. Anderson
Yellow Card
76’
Eduardo Anderson
Yellow Card
76’
Nikolay Titkov
Yellow Card
77’
M. Ugalde
Substitution
77’
V. Saus
P. Solari
Substitution
78’
I. Belikov
A. Mendel
Substitution
78’
M. Ryadno
E. Civic
Substitution
78’
M. Ryadno
E. Civic
Substitution
78’
I. Belikov
A. Mendel
Substitution
85’
V. Pospelov
F. Moufi
Substitution
85’
V. Pospelov
Substitution
87’
V. Parada
R. Zobnin
Substitution
88’
V. Parada
R. Zobnin
Substitution
90’+2’
I. Dmitriev
Marquinhos
Substitution
90’+2’
D. Prutsev
M. Ugalde
Substitution
90’+2’
D. Prutsev
M. Ugalde
Substitution
90’+2’
I. Dmitriev
Marquinhos
Match Completed
1
:
2

Injuries and suspensions

Baltika
AF
A. Filin
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
MS
M. Shnaptsev
Inactive
Definitely will not play
Spartak Moscow
DZ
D. Zorin
Achilles Tendon Injury
Definitely will not play

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
+1
22
~
1
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+2
21
~
1
~
+2
4
~
~
~
+2
77
~
~
~
+3
73
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
1
+4
5
~
1
~
+4
11
~
1
~
+1
9
~
~
~
+2
Player
98
~
~
~
+1
83
~
1
~
+1
3
~
1
~
+1
6
~
~
~
+1
47
~
~
~
+2
68
~
~
~
+3
7
~
~
1
+4
18
~
~
~
+2
19
~
~
~
+3
10
~
~
~
+3
9
~
1
1
+4

Substitutions

Player
44
~
~
~
~
81
~
~
~
~
68
~
~
~
+2
24
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
+2
42
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
91
~
~
~
+4
Player
56
~
~
~
~
1
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
~
97
~
~
~
~
25
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+2
27
~
~
~
~
40
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
~
62
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Baltika - Spartak Moscow 16.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 5
5
2nd half 7
2
Result 12
7
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Baltika
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Spartak Moscow
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Baltika - Spartak Moscow 16.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Baltika and Spartak Moscow before the match 16.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Baltika - Spartak Moscow 16.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works