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Aubagne - Bastia 14.08.2026 20:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Aubagne Aubagne
Position: 18 (-7)
D
W
L
D
L
Finished
0
1
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1st half :
2nd half :
14.08.2026 20:00
Bastia Bastia
Position: 11 (+7)
W
L
L
D
L
Ligue 3
Regular Season - 2 | 2026 | France
Stade de Lattre de Tassigny
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Bastia or draw
Most likely outcome — Bastia (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Aubagne
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Bastia
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 2.5
goals in the match, combined
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or Bastia and +2.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Aubagne
0%
Bastia
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.45 1.95
Avg. corners per match 0 8.38
Avg. yellow cards per match 0 4.87
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
14.08.2026 Aubagne plays away against Bastia. Unfortunately, there is no data yet on who will referee this match. So far, the clubs have not met within leagues, and only in a single cup. The teams don't have many head-to-head meetings yet - they have only played each other for one season. Judging by the odds of 2.93 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Aubagne - Bastia 14.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
28’
J. Sebas
0
:
1
Goal
28’
J. Sebas
0
:
2
Goal
29’
J. Sebas
0
:
3
Yellow Card
31’
A. Bellebrahim
Yellow Card
31’
A. Bellebrahim
Yellow Card
44’
I. Monnier
Yellow Card
44’
I. Monnier
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
3
Substitution
46’
J. Sahraoui
W. Bouaziz
Substitution
46’
J. Sahraoui
W. Bouaziz
Yellow Card
50’
A. Tafni
Yellow Card
50’
A. Tafni
Yellow Card
55’
K. Cisse
Yellow Card
55’
K. Cisse
Yellow Card
56’
K. Cisse
Substitution
60’
S. Ahamada
A. Sadi
Substitution
60’
S. Ahamada
A. Sadi
Yellow Card
63’
C. Melieres
Yellow Card
63’
C. Melieres
Substitution
68’
E. Garnier
C. Melieres
Substitution
68’
E. Garnier
C. Melieres
Substitution
69’
J. Janneh
J. Sebas
Substitution
69’
J. Janneh
J. Sebas
Yellow Card
70’
S. Ahamada
Yellow Card
70’
S. Ahamada
Substitution
72’
S. Hattab
Y. Zemoura
Substitution
72’
S. Hattab
Y. Zemoura
Substitution
73’
A. Zaouai
C. Rodrigues
Substitution
74’
A. Zaouai
C. Rodrigues
Substitution
74’
A. Zaouai
C. Rodrigues
Substitution
83’
M. Ahamadi
A. Faiz
Substitution
83’
B. Benosmane
A. Tafni
Substitution
83’
M. Ahamadi
A. Faiz
Yellow Card
88’
A. Zaouai
Yellow Card
88’
A. Zaouai
Yellow Card
90’+1’
R. Valme
Yellow Card
90’+1’
R. Valme
Match Completed
0
:
1

Starting lineups

Player
18
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
1
~
~
~
~
6
A. Tafni
~
~
~
~
9
Y. Zemoura
~
~
~
~
26
M. Nehari
~
~
~
~
37
A. Faiz
~
~
~
~
32
A. Sadi
~
~
~
~
22
W. Bouaziz
~
~
~
~
4
R. Valme
~
~
~
~
Player
9
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
1
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
12
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

Player
5
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
~
24
S. Ahamada
~
~
~
~
7
S. Hattab
~
~
~
~
16
T. Moreira
~
~
~
~
21
M. Ahamadi
~
~
~
~
28
B. Benosmane
~
~
~
~
Player
16
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
34
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
25
D. Diarra
~
~
~
~
14
D. Tamba
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Aubagne - Bastia 14.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Aubagne
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Bastia
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Aubagne and Bastia before the match 14.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Aubagne - Bastia 14.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works