Atletico-MG - Gremio 16.08.2026 22:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Review
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Atletico-MG or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Atletico-MG
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Gremio
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Atletico-MG
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Gremio
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Atletico-MG
65%
Gremio
35%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.15
2.55
Avg. corners per match
8.57
10.57
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.86
4.93
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Atletico-MG: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Atletico-MG: In 8 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 3
↓Atletico-MG: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Atletico-MG: Judging by recent matches, Atletico-MG" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
16.08.2026 Atletico-MG plays away against Gremio. The referee appointed for this match is B. Arleu. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 4 last seasons. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Atletico-MG the odds are just 1.83.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
261% from average (1.15)
3
0
0% from average (1.45)
Possession
98% from average (51.86)
51%
49%
95% from average (51.71)
Corners
170% from average (4.71)
8
6
118% from average (5.07)
Yellow cards
140% from average (2.14)
3
3
117% from average (2.57)
120% from average (5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
131% from average (10.71)
14
11
88% from average (12.57)
90% from average (27.88)
Shots on goal
119% from average (12.64)
15
9
73% from average (12.36)
Shots on target
113% from average (4.43)
5
1
23% from average (4.29)
Shots off target
123% from average (4.86)
6
4
79% from average (5.07)
Blocked shots
119% from average (3.36)
4
4
133% from average (3)
Shots from inside the box
198% from average (7.57)
15
6
79% from average (7.57)
Shots from outside the box
0% from average (5.07)
0
3
63% from average (4.79)
Passes
106% from average (451.07)
480
464
113% from average (411.86)
Successful passes
114% from average (380.29)
435
423
123% from average (344.5)
Pass accuracy
110% from average (82.86)
91%
91%
110% from average (83)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.83)
0
2
133% from average (1.5)
Saves
28% from average (3.57)
1
2
65% from average (3.07)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
19’
Vitor Hugo
1
:0
Substitution
31’
Bernard
Igor Gomes
Yellow Card
39’
C. Pavon
Yellow Card
42’
A. Preciado
Yellow Card
45’+2’
M. Cisse
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Substitution
46’
Walter Kannemann
Gustavo Martins
Substitution
46’
Tete
C. Pavon
Substitution
46’
F. Krovinovic
J. Nardoni
Substitution
46’
F. Krovinovic
J. Nardoni
Substitution
46’
Tete
C. Pavon
Yellow Card
57’
R. Lodi
Yellow Card
61’
Walter Kannemann
Substitution
61’
Maycon
A. Franco
Substitution
61’
K. Castano
M. Cisse
Goal
62’
Cuello
2
:0
Substitution
63’
Gabriel Mec
Dodi
Goal
66’
Cuello
3
:0
Yellow Card
69’
Pedro Gabriel
Substitution
76’
Caio Paulista
Pedro Gabriel
Substitution
81’
Dudu
Cuello
Substitution
81’
A. Minda
Victor Hugo
Match Completed
3
:0
Injuries and suspensions
Atletico-MG
GS
Definitely will not play
Gustavo Scarpa
Muscle Injury
LD
Definitely will not play
L. Duarte
Hamstring Injury
L
Definitely will not play
Lyanco
Injury
PS
Definitely will not play
Patrick Silva
Knee Injury
I
Definitely will not play
Indio
Knee Injury
Gremio
JP
Definitely will not play
Joao Pedro
Transfer negotiations
T
Definitely will not play
Tete
Injury
W
Definitely will not play
Willian
Inactive
FB
Definitely will not play
Fabian Balbuena
Coach's decision
M
Definitely will not play
Marlon
Rest
MV
Definitely will not play
M. Villasanti
Rest
MM
Definitely will not play
M. Monsalve
Coach's decision
Starting lineups
№
Player
№
Player
Substitutions
№
Player
№
Player
These are the odds for the match Atletico-MG - Gremio 16.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
6
1
2nd half
9
8
Result
15
9
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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Atletico-MG
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
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Loss
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Gremio
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Atletico-MG - Gremio 16.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
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Number of events
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Atletico-MG and Gremio before the match 16.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Atletico-MG - Gremio 16.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works