Atletico Madrid - Malaga 19.08.2026 22:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Review
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
Atletico Madrid or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Atletico Madrid
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Malaga
0%
Combo bet
Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Atletico Madrid
0%
Malaga
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.45
3.4
Avg. corners per match
10
10.23
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.85
4.38
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Atletico Madrid: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no less than 3 goals is scored
↓Atletico Madrid: In 19 matches in a row, a total of no more than 6 goals is scored
↓Atletico Madrid: In 5 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 1
↓Atletico Madrid: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
19.08.2026 Atletico Madrid plays away against Malaga. The referee will be Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain. The match can say a lot about the rivalry between the teams for the future. This will be the first meeting between the teams since 2017. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 8.51 on an away win - Malaga.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
118% from average (1.7)
2
0
0% from average (2)
Possession
116% from average (47.57)
55%
45%
87% from average (51.69)
Corners
113% from average (5.29)
6
1
17% from average (5.77)
Yellow cards
93% from average (2.15)
2
3
156% from average (1.92)
139% from average (3.6)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
130% from average (11.5)
15
10
93% from average (10.77)
99% from average (25.3)
Shots on goal
114% from average (13.14)
15
4
27% from average (15.08)
Shots on target
135% from average (4.43)
6
0
0% from average (5.38)
Shots off target
86% from average (5.79)
5
2
39% from average (5.15)
Blocked shots
137% from average (2.93)
4
2
44% from average (4.54)
Shots from inside the box
93% from average (8.57)
8
4
37% from average (10.92)
Shots from outside the box
153% from average (4.57)
7
0
0% from average (4.15)
Passes
111% from average (441.86)
491
415
92% from average (450.31)
Successful passes
116% from average (371.57)
432
350
92% from average (381)
Pass accuracy
106% from average (83)
88%
84%
100% from average (84)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
117% from average (1.71)
2
2
96% from average (2.08)
Saves
0% from average (3.86)
0
4
133% from average (3)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
15’
D. Hancko
Yellow Card
37’
J. Dominguez
Yellow Card
45’+4’
C. Puga
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
46’
M. Llorente
J. Dominguez
Substitution
57’
A. Baena
A. Ortiz
Substitution
57’
Lee Kang-In
C. Martin
Substitution
57’
G. Simeone
R. Mendoza
Substitution
57’
G. Simeone
R. Mendoza
Substitution
57’
A. Baena
A. Ortiz
Substitution
57’
Lee Kang-In
C. Martin
Substitution
57’
G. Simeone
R. Mendoza
Substitution
57’
A. Baena
A. Ortiz
Substitution
67’
R. Rodriguez
C. Dotor
Substitution
67’
J. Cruz
J. Munoz
Substitution
67’
J. Cruz
J. Munoz
Substitution
67’
R. Rodriguez
C. Dotor
Goal
70’
Lee Kang-In
1
:0
Substitution
72’
J. Salinas
C. Puga
Substitution
78’
M. Hjulmand
Koke
Yellow Card
80’
J. Cruz
Substitution
80’
R. Enriquez
E. Galilea
Substitution
80’
E. Jauregi
D. Lorenzo
Substitution
81’
E. Jauregi
D. Lorenzo
Substitution
81’
R. Enriquez
E. Galilea
Substitution
81’
R. Enriquez
E. Galilea
Substitution
81’
E. Jauregi
D. Lorenzo
Goal
85’
A. Baena
2
:0
Yellow Card
88’
R. Enriquez
Match Completed
2
:0
Injuries and suspensions
Atletico Madrid
TL
Definitely will not play
T. Lemar
Injury
JA
Definitely will not play
J. Alvarez
Lacking Match Fitness
AS
Definitely will not play
A. Sorloth
Muscle Injury
CR
Definitely will not play
C. Romero
Injury
OV
Definitely will not play
O. Vargas
Coach's decision
Malaga
FC
Definitely will not play
F. Calero
Ribs Injury
J
Definitely will not play
Juanpe
Muscle Injury
DM
Definitely will not play
D. Murillo
Injury
MD
Definitely will not play
M. Diarra
Calf Injury
AN
Definitely will not play
A. Nino
Injury
AO
Definitely will not play
A. Ochoa
Red Card
Starting lineups
№
Player
№
Player
Substitutions
№
Player
№
Player
These are the odds for the match Atletico Madrid - Malaga 19.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Sample source
Teams
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Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
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Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
4
2
2nd half
11
2
Result
15
4
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Atletico Madrid
Across all matches
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Malaga
Across all matches
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Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Atletico Madrid - Malaga 19.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Atletico Madrid and Malaga before the match 19.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Atletico Madrid - Malaga 19.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works