Arouca - Moreirense 16.08.2026 20:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Arouca
D
D
L
W
W
Moreirense
L
D
W
D
D
Primeira Liga
Regular Season - 2 | 2026 | Portugal
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Moreirense or draw
Most likely outcome — Moreirense (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Arouca
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Moreirense
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Arouca
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Moreirense
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Moreirense
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Arouca
0%
Moreirense
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.65
2.45
Avg. corners per match
8.33
8.54
Avg. yellow cards per match
5.5
4.23
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Arouca: In 6 matches in a row, a total of no more than 3 goals is scored
↓Arouca: In 14 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 7
↓Arouca: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↑Arouca: 2 matches in a row "Arouca" wins
Brief Overview
Arouca 16.08.2026 will host the away team - Moreirense. This match will be officiated by Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. It has already been 3 season the teams face each other. The most likely outcome is a win for Arouca, judging by the odds of 1.97.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
286% from average (1.4)
4
0
0% from average (0.95)
Possession
100% from average (51.25)
51%
49%
105% from average (46.54)
Corners
162% from average (3.08)
5
3
95% from average (3.15)
Yellow cards
95% from average (3.17)
3
4
168% from average (2.38)
159% from average (4.4)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
76% from average (13.17)
10
9
63% from average (14.38)
70% from average (27.33)
Shots on goal
133% from average (10.5)
14
5
61% from average (8.15)
Shots on target
150% from average (4)
6
1
32% from average (3.15)
Shots off target
118% from average (4.25)
5
3
105% from average (2.85)
Blocked shots
133% from average (2.25)
3
1
47% from average (2.15)
Shots from inside the box
148% from average (6.75)
10
3
62% from average (4.85)
Shots from outside the box
107% from average (3.75)
4
2
60% from average (3.31)
Passes
116% from average (425.17)
494
482
117% from average (413.54)
Successful passes
120% from average (352.67)
422
407
120% from average (338.23)
Pass accuracy
103% from average (82.67)
85%
84%
103% from average (81.31)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
50% from average (2)
1
0
0% from average (0.82)
Saves
39% from average (2.58)
1
2
63% from average (3.15)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
13’
Maracás
Yellow Card
14’
Maracas
Yellow Card
16’
Javi Sánchez
Own goal
23’
Maracas
1
:0
Goal
30’
J. Fontan
2
:0
Yellow Card
41’
Ivan Barbero
Yellow Card
44’
Kiko
Goal
45’
I. Barbero
3
:0
Goal
45’+1’
I. Barbero
4
:0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
4
:0
Substitution
46’
J. Veloso
A. Vieira
Substitution
46’
D. Pinto
Guilherme Liberato
Substitution
46’
D. Pinto
Guilherme Liberato
Substitution
46’
J. Veloso
A. Vieira
Yellow Card
55’
Nile John
Substitution
59’
D. Nandin
I. Barbero
Substitution
63’
Kiko Bondoso
Landerson
Yellow Card
65’
Leandro Santos
Substitution
72’
M. Stjepanovic
Rodri
Substitution
72’
B. Mansilla
H. Lee
Substitution
72’
P. Gozalbez
A. Trezza
Yellow Card
75’
Dylan Nandín
Substitution
79’
Pedro Santos
T. Fukui
Substitution
80’
M. Flores
E. van Ee
Substitution
84’
M. Dacosta Gonzalez
L. Santos
Substitution
85’
M. Dacosta Gonzalez
L. Santos
Goal
90’
D. Nandin
5
:0
Goal
90’+1’
D. Nandin
6
:0
Match Completed
4
:0
Starting lineups
№
Player
№
Player
65
Guilherme Liberato
~
~
~
~
Substitutions
№
Player
№
Player
These are the odds for the match Arouca - Moreirense 16.08.2026
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Statistics by half
1st half
9
2
2nd half
5
3
Result
14
5
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Arouca - Moreirense 16.08.2026
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Arouca and Moreirense before the match 16.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
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Goals
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Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Arouca - Moreirense 16.08.2026
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