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Alverca - Estrela 15.08.2026 17:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Alverca Alverca
W
L
D
W
L
Finished
2
2
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1st half :
2nd half :
15.08.2026 17:30
Estrela Estrela
D
D
W
W
D
Primeira Liga
Regular Season - 2 | 2026 | Portugal
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Estrela
Most likely outcome — Estrela (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Alverca
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Estrela
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Estrela
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : Estrela
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Alverca
0%
Estrela
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 1.9 2.3
Avg. corners per match 9.7 9.33
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.9 5.44
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Estrela will play away against Alverca 15.08.2026. The referee will be Jose Bessa, Portugal. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: Primeira Liga, Friendlies Clubs. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2025, 2026. The most likely outcome is a win for Alverca, judging by the odds of 2.18.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Alverca - Estrela 15.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
211% from average (0.95)
2
2
160% from average (1.25)
Possession
99% from average (46.5)
46%
54%
117% from average (46.33)
Corners
32% from average (6.2)
2
0
0% from average (3.89)
Yellow cards
111% from average (1.8)
2
4
150% from average (2.67)
84% from average (7.14)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
100% from average (10)
10
12
92% from average (13.11)
80% from average (27.57)
Shots on goal
120% from average (11.7)
14
10
85% from average (11.78)
Shots on target
105% from average (3.8)
4
7
166% from average (4.22)
Shots off target
173% from average (5.2)
9
3
59% from average (5.11)
Blocked shots
37% from average (2.7)
1
0
0% from average (2.44)
Shots from inside the box
141% from average (7.1)
10
8
113% from average (7.11)
Shots from outside the box
87% from average (4.6)
4
2
43% from average (4.67)
Passes
88% from average (375.8)
331
397
111% from average (359.11)
Successful passes
87% from average (305.2)
267
334
118% from average (283.89)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (81)
81%
84%
107% from average (78.33)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
150% from average (1.33)
2
1
43% from average (2.33)
Saves
185% from average (2.7)
5
2
67% from average (3)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
14’
D. Gui
Yellow Card
14’
Davy Gui
Yellow Card
17’
Luan Patrick
Yellow Card
17’
Luan Patrick
Yellow Card
35’
S. Lekovic
Yellow Card
35’
Stefan Leković
Yellow Card
43’
G. Doue
Yellow Card
43’
Eddy Doué
Yellow Card
44’
V. Semedo
Yellow Card
44’
Vivaldo
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
51’
L. Antonetti
0
:
1
Goal
51’
L. Antonetti
0
:
2
Goal
58’
Ian Luccas
1
:
2
Goal
58’
Ian Luccas
2
:
2
Substitution
59’
Rayan Lucas
D. Gui
Substitution
59’
Rayan Lucas
D. Gui
Goal
62’
V. Semedo
3
:
2
Goal
62’
V. Semedo
4
:
2
Substitution
64’
B. Souza
I. Stoica
Substitution
64’
E. Pedro Vanga
Robinho
Substitution
64’
M. Scholze
J. Encada
Substitution
64’
B. Souza
I. Stoica
Substitution
64’
M. Scholze
J. Encada
Substitution
64’
B. Souza
I. Stoica
Substitution
64’
E. Pedro Vanga
Robinho
Goal
69’
A. Marcus
4
:
3
Goal
69’
A. Marcus
4
:
4
Red Card
74’
Chiquinho
Red Card
74’
Chiquinho
Substitution
74’
Chissumba
I. James
Substitution
75’
Chissumba
I. James
Substitution
75’
Chissumba
I. James
Substitution
83’
S. J. Merheg
V. Semedo
Substitution
83’
M. Essimi
B. Meupiyou
Substitution
83’
V. Moreira
Ian Luccas
Substitution
83’
S. J. Merheg
V. Semedo
Substitution
83’
V. Moreira
Ian Luccas
Substitution
83’
M. Essimi
B. Meupiyou
Yellow Card
85’
E. Pedro Vanga
Yellow Card
85’
Emerson Pedro Vanga
Substitution
88’
S. van Hooijdonk
L. Antonetti
Substitution
88’
S. van Hooijdonk
L. Antonetti
Substitution
90’
L. Mincarelli
Rafa Soares
Substitution
90’
L. Mincarelli
Rafa Soares
Match Completed
2
:
2

Starting lineups

Player
31
~
~
~
+1
14
~
~
~
+3
4
~
~
~
+1
33
~
~
~
+2
2
~
~
~
+3
6
~
1
~
+2
25
~
~
1
+4
12
~
~
~
+2
10
1
~
~
+3
22
~
~
~
+3
9
~
1
1
+4
Player
24
~
~
~
+2
17
~
~
~
+1
30
~
1
~
~
5
~
1
~
+2
55
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+2
39
~
1
~
+2
14
~
~
~
+1
99
~
~
1
+4
10
~
~
~
+4
37
~
~
1
+4

Substitutions

Player
91
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
+1
55
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
+1
30
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+1
27
~
~
~
~
Player
51
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
79
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
93
~
~
~
+2
71
~
1
~
+2
80
~
~
~
~
78
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
+1

These are the odds for the match Alverca - Estrela 15.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 9
5
2nd half 5
5
Result 14
10
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Alverca
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Estrela
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Alverca - Estrela 15.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Alverca and Estrela before the match 15.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Alverca - Estrela 15.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works