LIVE · 50'
· 2nd half
Eredivisie
Regular Season - 7 | 2026 | Netherlands
Johan Cruijff Arena
Johan Cruijff Arena
xG 0.00
0.00
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
Match Statistics
Goals
38% from average (2.6)
1
1
42% from average (2.4)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.79)
0
0
0% from average (1.69)
Possession
122% from average (63.71)
78%
22%
47% from average (47.15)
Corners
25% from average (8.14)
2
0
0% from average (4.38)
Yellow cards
0% from average (1.77)
0
1
83% from average (1.2)
33% from average (3)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
20% from average (9.86)
2
6
53% from average (11.38)
44% from average (18)
Shots on goal
52% from average (22.93)
12
3
21% from average (14.15)
Shots on target
34% from average (8.71)
3
1
19% from average (5.38)
Shots off target
84% from average (8.36)
7
1
22% from average (4.54)
Blocked shots
34% from average (5.86)
2
1
24% from average (4.23)
Shots from inside the box
51% from average (15.57)
8
3
30% from average (9.85)
Shots from outside the box
54% from average (7.36)
4
0
0% from average (4.31)
Passes
72% from average (620.21)
444
133
33% from average (402.08)
Successful passes
72% from average (553.29)
400
94
30% from average (315.23)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
118% from average (1.69)
2
0
0% from average (1.17)
Saves
0% from average (2.71)
0
2
63% from average (3.15)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
23’
Owen Wijndal
Caio Henrique
Goal
32’
Julian Brandt
1
:0
Yellow Card
35’
Jan Plug
Goal
45’+1’
Lennard Hartjes
1
:1
Injuries and suspensions
Ajax
DB
Definitely will not play
D. Blind
Injury
SA
Definitely will not play
S. Adingra
Foot Injury
AB
Definitely will not play
A. Bouwman
Injury
Excelsior
NN
Definitely will not play
N. Naujoks
Inactive
Formation · 4-3-3
Ajax
10
O. Gloukh
9
K. Dolberg
11
V. Tsygankov
8
J. Brandt
24
J. Mokio
18
D. Klaassen
12
Caio Henrique
15
Y. Baas
6
T. Kehrer
3
A. Gaaei
1
M. ter Stegen
Formation · 4-3-3
Excelsior
30
Á. Þorsteinsson
19
D. Garden
7
A. Sliti
20
L. Hartjes
3
R. Meissen
8
I. Yegoian
15
S. Janssen
14
J. Plug
4
C. Widell
2
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
1
S. van Gassel
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Ajax or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Ajax
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Excelsior
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Ajax
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Excelsior
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Ajax or draw and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Ajax
27%
Excelsior
73%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.75
3.8
Avg. corners per match
10.5
9.54
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.85
2.9
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Ajax: In 8 matches in a row, a total of no less than 4 goals is scored
↓Ajax: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 8 goals is scored
↓Ajax: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 9
↓Ajax: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
19.09.2026 Ajax plays away against Excelsior. The referee will be Jannick van der Laan. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2022, 2023, 2025. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Ajax the odds are just 1.21.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
These are the odds for the match Ajax - Excelsior 19.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
12
3
2nd half
0
0
Result
12
3
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Ajax
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Excelsior
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Ajax - Excelsior 19.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Ajax and Excelsior before the match 19.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Ajax - Excelsior 19.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works