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Aalesund - Valerenga 16.08.2026 15:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Aalesund Aalesund
Position: 15 (-4)
D
L
D
L
D
Finished
5
5
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  'name' => 'Finished',
  'display_name' => 'Finished',
  'started' => 1,
  'inplay' => 0,
  'timer_running' => 0,
  'finished_successful' => 1,
  'background' => 'rgb(139 142 149)',
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1st half :
2nd half :
16.08.2026 15:30
Valerenga Valerenga
Position: 11 (+4)
L
W
W
L
L
Eliteserien
Regular Season - 18 | 2026 | Norway
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Valerenga or draw
Most likely outcome — Valerenga (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Aalesund
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Valerenga
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Aalesund
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Valerenga
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or Valerenga and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Aalesund
53%
Valerenga
47%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.6 3.35
Avg. corners per match 12.21 12.77
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.92 2.83
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Aalesund 16.08.2026 will host the away team - Valerenga. This match will be officiated by Mischa Kellerhals, Norway. Before that, we could see these clubs clash in the following leagues: Eliteserien, 1. Division. It has already been 3 season the teams face each other. According to bookmakers, the win will go to Valerenga - the odds for it are just 2.37.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Aalesund - Valerenga 16.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
323% from average (1.55)
5
5
323% from average (1.55)
Possession
73% from average (43.79)
32%
68%
144% from average (47.15)
Corners
209% from average (4.79)
10
6
87% from average (6.92)
Yellow cards
0% from average (2.15)
0
1
55% from average (1.83)
- from average (0)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
81% from average (13.5)
11
10
80% from average (12.54)
88% from average (24)
Shots on goal
156% from average (15.36)
24
22
145% from average (15.15)
Shots on target
167% from average (4.79)
8
10
173% from average (5.77)
Shots off target
173% from average (5.21)
9
6
105% from average (5.69)
Blocked shots
131% from average (5.36)
7
6
163% from average (3.69)
Shots from inside the box
145% from average (9.64)
14
17
173% from average (9.85)
Shots from outside the box
175% from average (5.71)
10
5
94% from average (5.31)
Passes
76% from average (373.43)
284
625
147% from average (424.54)
Successful passes
67% from average (288.71)
194
529
155% from average (340.23)
Pass accuracy
89% from average (76.5)
68%
85%
107% from average (79.08)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
83% from average (1.21)
1
3
211% from average (1.42)
Saves
125% from average (4)
5
2
58% from average (3.46)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Penalty
3’
M. Christensen
1
:
0
13’
Goal
14’
M. Grundetjern
1
:
1
Goal
16’
M. Reed
2
:
1
Goal
29’
E. Hagen
3
:
1
Goal
33’
L. Haren
3
:
2
Goal
35’
J. Orsahl
4
:
2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
4
:
2
Substitution
46’
H. Sjatil
S. Jarl
Substitution
46’
M. Westergaard
G. Rajkovic
Substitution
46’
M. Westergaard
G. Rajkovic
Substitution
46’
H. Sjatil
S. Jarl
Substitution
46’
K. Nesso
J. Orsahl
Substitution
46’
K. Nesso
J. Orsahl
Substitution
46’
K. Nesso
J. Orsahl
Goal
56’
M. Christensen
5
:
2
Substitution
60’
K. Lonebu
M. Reed
Goal
63’
P. Strand
5
:
3
Goal
70’
M. Grundetjern
5
:
4
Substitution
73’
K. Tshiembe
I. Nasberg
Substitution
74’
O. Saeter
L. Haren
Substitution
74’
O. Saeter
L. Haren
Substitution
74’
O. Saeter
L. Haren
Substitution
74’
M. Andresen
U. Charles
Substitution
74’
P. Aukland
O. Gudmundsson
Substitution
74’
M. Andresen
U. Charles
Substitution
74’
P. Aukland
O. Gudmundsson
Substitution
74’
M. Andresen
U. Charles
Yellow Card
76’
Kevin Tshiembe
Goal
85’
C. Lange
5
:
5
Substitution
85’
G. Zahid
P. Strand
Substitution
90’+4’
I. Djantou
E. Osenbroch
Match Completed
5
:
5

Injuries and suspensions

Aalesund
PA
P. Aukland
Injury
In doubt
JS
J. Seehusen
Injury
Definitely will not play
PN
P. Ngongo
Surgery
Definitely will not play
AK
A. Kjelsen
Thigh Injury
In doubt
Valerenga
HB
H. Bjordal
Red Card
Definitely will not play
MW
M. Westergaard
Injury
In doubt
MS
M. Sjoeng
Knee Injury
In doubt
FA
F. Ambina
Muscle Injury
In doubt

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
+3
16
~
~
1
+2
4
~
~
~
+3
22
~
~
~
+2
3
~
~
~
+2
14
~
~
~
+4
6
~
~
~
+2
18
~
~
1
+3
21
~
~
2
+5
27
~
~
1
+5
15
~
~
~
+5
16
J. Orsahl
~
~
~
~
6
H. Hammer
~
~
~
~
21
M. Christensen
~
~
~
~
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
55
~
~
~
+2
4
~
~
~
+2
37
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+3
7
~
~
~
+4
24
~
~
1
+4
10
~
~
1
+3
77
~
~
1
+4
17
~
~
2
+7
9
~
~
~
+1

Substitutions

Player
26
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
~
45
~
~
~
~
38
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
39
~
~
~
+1
20
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
10
M. Kristensen
~
~
~
~
Player
6
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
+1
5
~
1
~
+1
15
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
+2
11
~
~
~
~
90
~
~
~
~
13
A. A. Lonning S.
~
~
~
~
49
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Aalesund - Valerenga 16.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 12
12
2nd half 12
10
Result 24
22
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Aalesund
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Valerenga
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Aalesund - Valerenga 16.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Aalesund and Valerenga before the match 16.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Aalesund - Valerenga 16.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works