Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Austin or draw
Most likely outcome — Austin (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Toluca
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Austin
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Toluca
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Austin
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Austin
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Toluca
44%
Austin
57%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.95
2.95
Avg. corners per match
9.8
10.21
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.86
4.36
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Toluca: In 9 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Toluca: In 16 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 6
↓Toluca: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Toluca: Judging by recent matches, Toluca" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
Toluca will face Austin 27.08.2026 as the home team. This match will be officiated by Filip Dujic, Canada. It is hard to predict the match because there is no recent head-to-head data. The match is notable because the teams are playing each other for the first time in the last couple of years.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.64
Average CLV
-1.03%
Agreement
50%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 3.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +6.4%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +9.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
118% from average (1.7)
2
0
0% from average (1.4)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.55)
0
0
0% from average (0.95)
Possession
111% from average (59.2)
66%
34%
68% from average (49.71)
Corners
105% from average (5.73)
6
8
197% from average (4.07)
Yellow cards
175% from average (1.71)
3
3
145% from average (2.07)
120% from average (5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
131% from average (12.2)
16
12
107% from average (11.21)
104% from average (27)
Shots on goal
139% from average (18)
25
9
85% from average (10.64)
Shots on target
136% from average (6.6)
9
0
0% from average (4.29)
Shots off target
69% from average (7.2)
5
5
127% from average (3.93)
Blocked shots
262% from average (4.2)
11
4
165% from average (2.43)
Shots from inside the box
178% from average (9)
16
6
82% from average (7.36)
Shots from outside the box
100% from average (9)
9
3
91% from average (3.29)
Passes
114% from average (518.2)
591
288
67% from average (432.07)
Successful passes
119% from average (447.27)
534
219
59% from average (369.14)
Pass accuracy
105% from average (85.47)
90%
76%
90% from average (84.36)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
451% from average (1.33)
6
0
0% from average (1.29)
Saves
0% from average (2.87)
0
8
190% from average (4.21)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
-5’
Ilie Sánchez
Red Card
-5’
Ilie Sánchez
Yellow Card
29’
B. Sabovic
Yellow Card
29’
Besard Sabović
Red Card
40’
J. Rosales
Red Card
40’
Joseph Rosales
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
46’
M. Desler
C. Ramirez
Yellow Card
50’
O. Svatok
Yellow Card
50’
Oleksandr Svatok
Penalty
53’
Helinho
1
:0
Yellow Card
66’
N. Castro
Yellow Card
66’
Nicolás Castro
Substitution
67’
P. Placheta
J. Gallagher
Substitution
67’
J. Alastuey
O. Svatok
Substitution
67’
J. Alastuey
O. Svatok
Substitution
67’
P. Placheta
J. Gallagher
Yellow Card
69’
F. Pereira
Yellow Card
69’
Federico Pereira
Substitution
76’
V. Guzman
N. Castro
Substitution
76’
J. Diaz Price
A. Vega
Substitution
78’
F. Torres
E. Torres
Substitution
78’
B. Vazquez
B. Sabovic
Substitution
81’
E. del Villar
J. Angulo
Yellow Card
84’
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
Yellow Card
84’
Brian García
Substitution
86’
P. Perez
Helinho
Goal
90’
J. Diaz Price
2
:0
Goal
90’+7’
J. Diaz Price
3
:0
Match Completed
2
:0
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Toluca
16
F. Vinas
9
A. Vega
10
J. Angulo
11
Helinho
8
N. Castro
5
F. Romero
20
J. Gallardo
6
F. Pereira
4
Bruno Mendez
17
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
1
H. Gonzalez
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
184
S. Aceves
~
~
~
~
#
Player
39
C. Farrar
~
~
~
~
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
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Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
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Goals
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
10
3
2nd half
15
6
Result
25
9
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
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Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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Toluca
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Austin
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Toluca - Austin 27.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Toluca and Austin before the match 27.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Toluca - Austin 27.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works