Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Palmeiras
Most likely outcome — Palmeiras (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Santos
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Palmeiras
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Santos
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Palmeiras
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : Palmeiras
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Santos
0%
Palmeiras
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.6
2.9
Avg. corners per match
9.47
10.22
Avg. yellow cards per match
5.06
4.33
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Santos: In 10 matches in a row, a total of no more than 3 goals is scored
↑Santos: In 9 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 2
↓Santos: In 5 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 6
↓Santos: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Santos - Palmeiras, match from 03.09.2026. This match will be officiated by D. Lacerda. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026. Judging by the odds of 3.4 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.00
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Both teams to score: No
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -19.5%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
0% from average (1.6)
0
0
0% from average (2.05)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.73)
0
0
0% from average (1.3)
Possession
117% from average (54.71)
64%
36%
65% from average (55.22)
Corners
97% from average (5.18)
5
1
20% from average (5.11)
Yellow cards
170% from average (2.35)
4
4
240% from average (1.67)
108% from average (7.44)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
121% from average (11.59)
14
17
140% from average (12.17)
123% from average (25.22)
Shots on goal
133% from average (14.29)
19
9
56% from average (16.17)
Shots on target
84% from average (4.76)
4
1
19% from average (5.28)
Shots off target
189% from average (5.29)
10
6
88% from average (6.78)
Blocked shots
118% from average (4.24)
5
2
49% from average (4.11)
Shots from inside the box
67% from average (9)
6
5
50% from average (10)
Shots from outside the box
246% from average (5.29)
13
4
65% from average (6.17)
Passes
129% from average (471.82)
607
351
75% from average (465.39)
Successful passes
133% from average (394.59)
525
271
68% from average (397.61)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (2.07)
0
1
61% from average (1.63)
Saves
60% from average (3.35)
2
4
164% from average (2.44)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
1’
Felipe Anderson
Yellow Card
1’
Felipe Anderson
Yellow Card
1’
Gonzalo Escobar
Yellow Card
1’
Gonzalo Escobar
Substitution
29’
Benjamín Rollheiser
Álvaro Barreal
Yellow Card
34’
Gabriel Bontempo
Yellow Card
39’
Agustin Giay
Yellow Card
39’
Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira
Yellow Card
39’
Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira
Yellow Card
39’
Agustin Giay
Substitution
45’
Vitor Roque
José Manuel López
Substitution
45’
Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira
Felipe Anderson
Substitution
45’
Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira
Felipe Anderson
Substitution
45’
Vitor Roque
José Manuel López
Substitution
45’
Davi Fernandes Cavalcane Ribeiro
Igor Vinicius
Substitution
45’
Rony
Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior
Substitution
45’
Moisés
Lucas Veríssimo
Substitution
45’
Rony
Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior
Substitution
45’
Davi Fernandes Cavalcane Ribeiro
Igor Vinicius
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
64’
Vitor Roque
Yellow Card
64’
Vitor Roque
Yellow Card
64’
Rafael Gonzaga
Yellow Card
64’
Rafael Gonzaga
Substitution
76’
Emiliano Martínez
Marlon Freitas
Yellow Card
86’
Gabriel Barbosa
Substitution
86’
Luis Pacheco
Andreas Pereira
Substitution
86’
Thaciano
Gabriel Barbosa
Substitution
88’
Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos
Lucas Evangelista
Yellow Card
89’
Luis Pacheco
Match Completed
0
:0
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Santos
9
Gabriel Barbosa
22
Á. Barreal
10
Neymar
8
Gabriel Bontempo
28
C. Oliva
15
Willian Arão
31
G. Escobar
14
Luan Peres
4
Lucas Veríssimo
18
Igor Vinicius
77
Gabriel Brazão
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Palmeiras
42
J. López
30
Lucas Evangelista
18
Maurício
7
Felipe Anderson
17
Marlon Freitas
8
Andreas Pereira
56
Arthur
2
A. Barboza
26
Murilo
4
A. Giay
1
Carlos Miguel
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Santos - Palmeiras 03.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
11
5
2nd half
8
4
Result
19
9
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Santos
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Palmeiras
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Santos - Palmeiras 03.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Santos and Palmeiras before the match 03.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Santos - Palmeiras 03.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works