Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Palmeiras
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Palmeiras
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Santos
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Palmeiras
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Santos
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : Palmeiras
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Palmeiras
0%
Santos
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.85
2.65
Avg. corners per match
10.28
9.06
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.11
5.13
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Palmeiras: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↑Palmeiras: In 5 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 3
↓Palmeiras: In 12 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 7
↓Palmeiras: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Palmeiras 27.08.2026 will host the away team - Santos. The referee appointed for this match is B. Arleu. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: Serie A, Paulista - A1, CONMEBOL Libertadores, Copa Do Brasil. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 7 last seasons.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.57
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -18.4%
Both teams to score: No
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -19.5%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
154% from average (1.95)
3
0
0% from average (1.65)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.43)
0
0
0% from average (1.78)
Possession
82% from average (56.44)
46%
54%
96% from average (56.31)
Corners
153% from average (5.22)
8
5
94% from average (5.31)
Yellow cards
128% from average (1.56)
2
2
82% from average (2.44)
79% from average (5.06)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
83% from average (12.11)
10
16
144% from average (11.13)
94% from average (27.71)
Shots on goal
122% from average (16.33)
20
7
46% from average (15.06)
Shots on target
155% from average (5.17)
8
1
20% from average (4.94)
Shots off target
132% from average (6.83)
9
4
71% from average (5.63)
Blocked shots
69% from average (4.33)
3
2
44% from average (4.5)
Shots from inside the box
132% from average (9.83)
13
4
42% from average (9.63)
Shots from outside the box
108% from average (6.5)
7
3
55% from average (5.44)
Passes
92% from average (472.39)
434
529
112% from average (472.19)
Successful passes
87% from average (405.61)
353
449
113% from average (396.5)
Pass accuracy
95% from average (85.33)
81%
85%
103% from average (82.75)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
52% from average (1.94)
1
2
109% from average (1.83)
Saves
40% from average (2.5)
1
5
154% from average (3.25)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
21’
G. Caballero
Goal
34’
J. Lopez
1
:0
Goal
45’
Andreas Pereira
2
:0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:0
Substitution
46’
A. Barboza
G. Gomez
Substitution
46’
A. Barboza
G. Gomez
Substitution
46’
Gabriel Barbosa
G. Caballero
Substitution
46’
Gabriel Bontempo
Joao Schmidt
Substitution
46’
Rony
B. Rollheiser
Substitution
46’
Rony
B. Rollheiser
Substitution
46’
Gabriel Barbosa
G. Caballero
Substitution
46’
Rony
B. Rollheiser
Goal
61’
J. Lopez
3
:0
Substitution
66’
D. Fernandes
Igor Vinicius
Substitution
66’
D. Fernandes
Igor Vinicius
Substitution
69’
C. Oliva
Lucas Verissimo
Substitution
69’
C. Oliva
Lucas Verissimo
Substitution
75’
Heittor Vinicius
Vitor Roque
Substitution
75’
Heittor Vinicius
Vitor Roque
Yellow Card
77’
Andreas Pereira
Yellow Card
79’
Rony
Substitution
82’
E. Martinez
J. Lopez
Substitution
83’
Lucas Evangelista
Marlon Freitas
Substitution
83’
E. Martinez
J. Lopez
Substitution
83’
Lucas Evangelista
Marlon Freitas
Substitution
83’
E. Martinez
J. Lopez
Substitution
83’
Lucas Evangelista
Marlon Freitas
Substitution
86’
Felipe Anderson
J. Arias
Substitution
86’
Felipe Anderson
J. Arias
Yellow Card
90’+1’
A. Barboza
Match Completed
3
:0
Formation · 4-4-2
Palmeiras
9
Vitor Roque
42
J. Lopez
18
Mauricio
17
Marlon Freitas
8
Andreas Pereira
11
J. Arias
22
J. Piquerez
15
G. Gomez
26
Murilo
4
A. Giay
1
Carlos Miguel
Formation · 4-4-2
Santos
17
G. Caballero
32
B. Rollheiser
22
A. Barreal
5
Joao Schmidt
15
Willian Arao
48
Gustavo Henrique
31
G. Escobar
14
Luan Peres
4
Lucas Verissimo
18
Igor Vinicius
77
Gabriel Brazao
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Sample source
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Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
11
2
2nd half
9
5
Result
20
7
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
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Defense
Goals
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
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Palmeiras
Across all matches
Home only
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All outcomes
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Santos
Across all matches
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All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Palmeiras - Santos 27.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
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Bet365
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Palmeiras and Santos before the match 27.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Palmeiras - Santos 27.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works