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Cruzeiro — Atletico-MG
Copa Do Brasil

Cruzeiro - Atletico-MG 26.08.2026 03:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
W
D
W
L
W
Finished
1
1
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1st half 0:0
2nd half 1:1
26.08.2026 03:00
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
D
W
W
D
D
Copa Do Brasil
Quarter-finals | 2026 | Brazil
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Cruzeiro or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Cruzeiro
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Atletico-MG
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Cruzeiro
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Atletico-MG
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Cruzeiro
100%
Atletico-MG
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.25 2.05
Avg. corners per match 9.44 9.21
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.5 4.29
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Cruzeiro will face Atletico-MG 26.08.2026 as the home team. The referee appointed for this match is Flavio Rodrigues De Souza, Brazil. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 6 last seasons.
Author consensus verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.69
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Over 8.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI +16.2%
Both teams to score: No 1 pick · 50% Market ROI -19.5%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Cruzeiro - Atletico-MG 26.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
69% from average (1.45)
1
1
77% from average (1.3)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.34)
0
0
0% from average (1.31)
Possession
120% from average (54)
65%
35%
72% from average (48.79)
Corners
73% from average (5.5)
4
3
75% from average (4)
Yellow cards
39% from average (2.56)
1
2
85% from average (2.36)
54% from average (5.59)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
121% from average (12.38)
15
19
173% from average (11)
130% from average (26.12)
Shots on goal
76% from average (15.81)
12
9
83% from average (10.86)
Shots on target
22% from average (4.56)
1
3
79% from average (3.79)
Shots off target
124% from average (6.44)
8
6
131% from average (4.57)
Blocked shots
62% from average (4.81)
3
0
0% from average (2.5)
Shots from inside the box
22% from average (9.13)
2
7
96% from average (7.29)
Shots from outside the box
149% from average (6.69)
10
2
56% from average (3.57)
Passes
133% from average (438.19)
584
314
75% from average (417.93)
Successful passes
139% from average (374.63)
519
244
71% from average (345.86)
Pass accuracy
105% from average (85.06)
89%
78%
96% from average (81.57)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
79% from average (1.27)
1
2
116% from average (1.73)
Saves
60% from average (3.31)
2
1
25% from average (4)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
19’
Vitao
Ruan Tressoldi
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
46’
Alan Franco
Substitution
46’
Joao Marcelo
Jonathan Jesus
Yellow Card
47’
A. Franco
Yellow Card
54’
Tomás Cuello
Yellow Card
55’
Matheus Pereira
Goal
60’
K. Arroyo
1
:
0
Goal
70’
R. Lodi
1
:
1
Substitution
73’
William Furtado
Fagner
Substitution
73’
J. Costa
Wesley
Substitution
73’
William Furtado
Fagner
Substitution
73’
J. Costa
Wesley
Substitution
73’
J. Costa
Wesley
Substitution
73’
William Furtado
Fagner
Substitution
73’
William Furtado
Fagner
Substitution
73’
J. Costa
Wesley
Substitution
73’
Natanael
Maycon
Substitution
73’
A. Minda
Bernard
Substitution
73’
A. Minda
Bernard
Substitution
73’
Natanael
Maycon
Substitution
73’
A. Minda
Bernard
Substitution
73’
Natanael
Maycon
Substitution
73’
A. Minda
Bernard
Substitution
73’
Natanael
Maycon
Substitution
87’
N. Villarreal
Kaio Jorge
Substitution
87’
Matheus Henrique
Gerson
Substitution
87’
N. Villarreal
Kaio Jorge
Substitution
87’
Matheus Henrique
Gerson
Substitution
87’
N. Villarreal
Kaio Jorge
Substitution
87’
Matheus Henrique
Gerson
Substitution
87’
Matheus Henrique
Gerson
Substitution
87’
N. Villarreal
Kaio Jorge
Substitution
87’
M. Cisse
Fred
Substitution
87’
M. Cisse
Fred
Substitution
87’
T. Borbas
M. Cassierra
Substitution
87’
M. Cisse
Fred
Substitution
87’
T. Borbas
M. Cassierra
Substitution
87’
T. Borbas
M. Cassierra
Substitution
87’
T. Borbas
M. Cassierra
Substitution
87’
M. Cisse
Fred
Substitution
90’+1’
Bruno Rodrigues
K. Arroyo
Substitution
90’+1’
Bruno Rodrigues
K. Arroyo
Substitution
90’+3’
A. Preciado
Cuello
Substitution
90’+3’
A. Preciado
Cuello
Match Completed
1
:
1
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Cruzeiro
19 Kaio Jorge
20 Wesley
10 Matheus Pereira
99 K. Arroyo
29 L. Romero
8 Gerson
25 L. Villalba
34 Jonathan Jesus
15 Fabricio Bruno
23 Fagner
81 Otavio Costa
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Atletico-MG
9 M. Cassierra
11 Bernard
7 Fred
28 Cuello
15 K. Castano
8 Maycon
6 R. Lodi
14 Vitor Hugo
4 Ruan Tressoldi
21 A. Franco
22 Everson

Starting lineups

#
Player
81
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
+1
15
~
~
~
+1
34
~
~
~
~
25
~
~
~
+4
29
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
+3
99
~
~
1
+3
10
~
1
~
+3
20
~
~
~
+3
19
~
~
~
+3
#
Player
22
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
+1
14
~
~
~
+3
6
~
~
1
+3
21
~
1
~
+1
15
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
+2
28
~
1
~
+5
7
~
~
~
+2
11
~
~
~
+3
9
~
~
~
+2

Substitutions

#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
~
43
~
~
~
+1
12
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
67
~
~
~
+1
16
~
~
~
~
70
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
97
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
~
#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
+1
40
~
~
~
+1
36
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
25
~
~
~
~
39
~
~
~
+1
18
~
~
~
+1
92
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
+2

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 5
6
2nd half 7
3
Result 12
9
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Cruzeiro
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Atletico-MG
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Cruzeiro - Atletico-MG 26.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Cruzeiro and Atletico-MG before the match 26.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Cruzeiro - Atletico-MG 26.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works