River Plate - Santa Fe 27.08.2026 03:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Finished on penalty shootout
1
1
1st half 0:0
2nd half 1:1
Penalty 7:8
27.08.2026 03:30
Santa Fe
W
D
D
D
D
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Round of 16 | 2026 | World
xG 2.58
1.29
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
River Plate or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
River Plate
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Santa Fe
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · River Plate
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Santa Fe
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : River Plate or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
River Plate
0%
Santa Fe
100%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.15
2
Avg. corners per match
7.93
7.07
Avg. yellow cards per match
5.47
4.29
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓River Plate: In 10 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↑River Plate: In 7 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 3
↓River Plate: In 12 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 8
↓River Plate: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
River Plate 27.08.2026 will host the away team - Santa Fe. The referee appointed for this match is Esteban Ostojich, Uruguay. The teams play head-to-head matches exclusively in cups: CONMEBOL Sudamericana, CONMEBOL Libertadores. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 2 last seasons.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.38
Average CLV
-1.1%
Agreement
50%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +7.7%
Both teams to score: No
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -19.5%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
87% from average (1.15)
1
1
71% from average (1.4)
Expected goals (xG)
213% from average (1.21)
2.58
1.29
114% from average (1.13)
Possession
112% from average (64.13)
72%
28%
59% from average (47.13)
Corners
111% from average (5.4)
6
2
63% from average (3.2)
Yellow cards
79% from average (2.53)
2
1
47% from average (2.14)
57% from average (5.29)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
119% from average (12.6)
15
10
92% from average (10.87)
114% from average (22)
Shots on goal
228% from average (13.6)
31
12
107% from average (11.2)
Shots on target
275% from average (4)
11
4
102% from average (3.93)
Shots off target
261% from average (6.13)
16
7
136% from average (5.13)
Blocked shots
111% from average (3.6)
4
1
47% from average (2.13)
Shots from inside the box
243% from average (7.4)
18
9
155% from average (5.8)
Shots from outside the box
210% from average (6.2)
13
3
55% from average (5.47)
Passes
117% from average (500.73)
584
226
63% from average (357.67)
Successful passes
119% from average (419.4)
499
137
49% from average (280.6)
Pass accuracy
102% from average (83.2)
85%
61%
79% from average (77.67)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
59% from average (1.69)
1
2
200% from average (1)
Saves
145% from average (2.07)
3
8
245% from average (3.27)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
36’
J. Torres
K. D. Toscano Bassa
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Goal
52’
S. Driussi
1
:0
Substitution
58’
F. Fagundez
A. Zapata
Substitution
58’
L. Palacios
J. Obrian
Substitution
58’
M. Lovera
N. Bustos
Substitution
58’
L. Palacios
J. Obrian
Substitution
58’
F. Fagundez
A. Zapata
Substitution
62’
Fausto Vera
T. Galvan
Substitution
62’
R. Borre
S. Driussi
Yellow Card
71’
Gonzalo Montiel
Substitution
76’
F. Gonzalez
T. Andrada
Substitution
76’
J. Meza
G. Montiel
Substitution
77’
F. Gonzalez
T. Andrada
Substitution
77’
J. Meza
G. Montiel
Penalty
80’
F. Fagundez
1
:1
Yellow Card
82’
Marcos Acuña
Substitution
82’
J. Freitas
A. Moreno
Yellow Card
83’
M. Acuna
Yellow Card
83’
Christian Mafla
Substitution
83’
J. Freitas
A. Moreno
Substitution
87’
J. Angulo
H. Rodallega
The match continues - extra time is underway
1
:1
Penalty
120’+1’
T. Almada
2
:1
Penalty
120’+1’
M. Lovera
2
:2
Penalty
120’+2’
A. Correa
3
:2
Penalty
120’+2’
D. Torres
3
:3
Penalty
120’+3’
N. Otamendi
4
:3
120’+3’
Penalty
120’+4’
J. Freitas
5
:3
Penalty
120’+4’
L. Palacios
5
:4
120’+5’
Penalty
120’+5’
F. Fagundez
5
:5
120’+6’
120’+6’
Penalty
120’+7’
Fausto Vera
6
:5
Penalty
120’+7’
I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
6
:6
120’+8’
120’+8’
Penalty
120’+9’
M. Acuna
7
:6
Penalty
120’+9’
H. Palacios
7
:7
Penalty
120’+10’
J. Meza
8
:7
Penalty
120’+10’
C. Mafla
8
:8
120’+11’
Penalty
120’+11’
W. Asprilla
8
:9
Match Completed
8
:9
Formation · 4-2-3-1
River Plate
9
S. Driussi
23
T. Almada
10
A. Correa
26
T. Galvan
50
T. Andrada
6
A. Moreno
21
M. Acuna
30
N. Otamendi
28
L. Martinez Quarta
29
G. Montiel
41
S. Beltran
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Santa Fe
11
H. Rodallega
10
A. Zapata
19
N. Bustos
77
J. Obrian
6
K. D. Toscano Bassa
16
D. Torres
32
C. Mafla
15
I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
18
E. Olivera
13
H. Palacios
12
W. Asprilla
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
40
M. Cuesta
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Statistics by half
1st half
17
3
2nd half
14
9
Result
31
12
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Santa Fe
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics River Plate - Santa Fe 27.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings River Plate and Santa Fe before the match 27.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match River Plate - Santa Fe 27.08.2026
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