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Mantova — Empoli
Serie B

Mantova - Empoli 30.08.2026 20:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Mantova Mantova
W
W
L
W
W
Finished
3
1
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1st half 0:0
2nd half 3:1
30.08.2026 20:00
Empoli Empoli
D
D
D
L
W
Serie B
Regular Season - 2 | 2026 | Italy
Stadio Danilo Martelli
xG 1.28 0.46
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Empoli or draw
Most likely outcome — Empoli (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Mantova
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Empoli
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Mantova
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Empoli
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or Empoli and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Mantova
0%
Empoli
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.25 2.35
Avg. corners per match 9.17 10.46
Avg. yellow cards per match 5 3.69
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Mantova - Empoli, the match will take place 30.08.2026. This match will be officiated by A. Colombo. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. The teams don't have many head-to-head meetings yet - they have only played each other for one season. The most likely outcome is a win for Mantova, judging by the odds of 1.99.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.37
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -18.4%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Mantova - Empoli 30.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
146% from average (2.05)
3
1
87% from average (1.15)
Expected goals (xG)
90% from average (1.43)
1.28
0.46
28% from average (1.63)
Possession
94% from average (49.17)
46%
54%
115% from average (47)
Corners
69% from average (4.33)
3
6
108% from average (5.54)
Yellow cards
96% from average (2.08)
2
6
252% from average (2.38)
180% from average (4.44)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
79% from average (16.5)
13
20
123% from average (16.23)
115% from average (28.63)
Shots on goal
116% from average (13.75)
16
6
43% from average (13.92)
Shots on target
189% from average (4.75)
9
2
43% from average (4.69)
Shots off target
108% from average (5.58)
6
3
57% from average (5.23)
Blocked shots
29% from average (3.42)
1
1
25% from average (4)
Shots from inside the box
109% from average (8.25)
9
2
21% from average (9.62)
Shots from outside the box
127% from average (5.5)
7
4
93% from average (4.31)
Passes
93% from average (394)
366
409
117% from average (350.31)
Successful passes
92% from average (310.83)
286
321
116% from average (276.62)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (78)
78%
78%
102% from average (76.54)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
43% from average (2.33)
1
1
52% from average (1.92)
Saves
44% from average (2.25)
1
6
211% from average (2.85)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
23’
Gerard Yepes
Yellow Card
42’
Alessio Castellini
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
49’
Karim Zedadka
Goal
51’
E. Saporiti
0
:
1
Yellow Card
51’
Francesco Bardi
Yellow Card
55’
G. Pagliuca
Substitution
55’
L. Belardinelli
K. Zedadka
Substitution
55’
L. Belardinelli
K. Zedadka
Substitution
55’
V. Vlahovic
E. Gliozzi
Substitution
55’
V. Vlahovic
E. Gliozzi
Substitution
56’
I. Cajazzo
R. Ilie
Substitution
56’
R. Kouda
L. Ignacchiti
Substitution
56’
R. Kouda
L. Ignacchiti
Substitution
56’
I. Cajazzo
R. Ilie
Yellow Card
57’
M. Curto
Yellow Card
57’
Marco Curto
Goal
58’
F. Ruocco
1
:
1
Goal
61’
V. Vlahovic
2
:
1
Substitution
72’
B. Popov
F. Di Stefano
Substitution
72’
L. Deli
G. Yepes
Substitution
72’
L. Deli
G. Yepes
Substitution
72’
B. Popov
F. Di Stefano
Yellow Card
74’
L. Belardinelli
Yellow Card
74’
Luca Belardinelli
Substitution
78’
J. Longonda
F. Ruocco
Substitution
83’
E. Kospo
B. Tomasevic
Yellow Card
86’
L. Deli
Yellow Card
86’
Lapo Deli
Substitution
86’
R. Berizzi
N. Corrado
Substitution
86’
A. Orlandi
E. Saporiti
Goal
90’
F. Benaissa-Yahia
3
:
1
Yellow Card
90’+3’
L. Magnino
Yellow Card
90’+3’
Luca Magnino
Match Completed
3
:
1
Formation · 3-4-2-1 Mantova
9 E. Gliozzi
19 F. Ruocco
8 R. Ilie
50 F. Benaissa-Yahia
25 L. Ignacchiti
21 S. Trimboli
41 J. Silva
27 A. Castellini
29 S. Cella
5 B. Tomasevic
22 F. Bardi
Formation · 3-4-2-1 Empoli
11 S. Shpendi
20 F. Di Stefano
10 E. Saporiti
91 N. Corrado
98 K. Zedadka
21 G. Yepes
35 M. Egan
33 C. Cauz
25 M. Curto
8 L. Magnino
12 J. Seghetti

Starting lineups

#
Player
22
~
1
~
+1
5
~
~
~
+1
29
~
~
~
+2
27
~
1
~
+5
41
~
~
~
+2
21
~
~
~
+3
25
~
~
~
+1
50
~
~
1
+3
8
~
~
~
+4
19
~
~
1
+3
9
~
~
~
+3
#
Player
12
~
~
~
+1
25
~
1
~
+2
33
~
~
~
+2
8
~
1
~
+3
91
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
+4
21
~
1
~
+1
98
~
1
~
+2
10
~
~
1
+4
20
~
~
~
+1
11
~
~
~
+4

Substitutions

#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
12
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
~
75
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
+4
18
~
~
~
~
80
~
~
~
+3
20
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
+2
71
~
~
~
~
99
~
~
1
+5
#
Player
13
~
~
~
~
1
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
~
39
~
~
~
~
38
~
~
~
~
44
~
1
~
+2
57
~
1
~
+1
77
~
~
~
+1
45
~
~
~
~
40
~
~
~
+1

These are the odds for the match Mantova - Empoli 30.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 5
2
2nd half 11
4
Result 16
6
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Mantova
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Empoli
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Mantova - Empoli 30.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Mantova and Empoli before the match 30.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Mantova - Empoli 30.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works