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Cremonese — Modena
Serie B

Cremonese - Modena 28.08.2026 21:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Cremonese Cremonese
Position: 20 (-19)
D
D
D
W
L
Finished
0
3
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1st half 0:2
2nd half 0:1
28.08.2026 21:30
Modena Modena
Position: 1 (+19)
D
D
D
L
W
Serie B
Regular Season - 2 | 2026 | Italy
Stadio Giovanni Zini
xG 0.39 0.68
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
35% confidence
Main prediction
Cremonese or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Cremonese
35%
X
Draw
35%
2
Modena
30%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Modena
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Cremonese or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Cremonese
0%
Modena
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.15 2.2
Avg. corners per match 8.54 8.3
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.5 3.56
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
28.08.2026 Cremonese plays away against Modena. The referee will be Antonio Rapuano, Italy. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: Serie B, Coppa Italia. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 3 last seasons.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
2.12
Average CLV
-0.93%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 8.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI +20.4%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Cremonese - Modena 28.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
0% from average (0.9)
0
3
261% from average (1.15)
Expected goals (xG)
45% from average (0.86)
0.39
0.68
64% from average (1.07)
Possession
111% from average (45.15)
50%
50%
97% from average (51.5)
Corners
242% from average (3.31)
8
2
44% from average (4.5)
Yellow cards
86% from average (2.33)
2
1
60% from average (1.67)
71% from average (4.2)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
100% from average (14)
14
13
106% from average (12.3)
92% from average (29.3)
Shots on goal
85% from average (9.46)
8
10
81% from average (12.3)
Shots on target
58% from average (3.46)
2
3
77% from average (3.9)
Shots off target
108% from average (3.69)
4
5
83% from average (6)
Blocked shots
87% from average (2.31)
2
2
83% from average (2.4)
Shots from inside the box
85% from average (5.85)
5
4
55% from average (7.3)
Shots from outside the box
83% from average (3.62)
3
6
120% from average (5)
Passes
122% from average (367.15)
448
469
118% from average (396)
Successful passes
131% from average (295.23)
386
408
125% from average (327.2)
Pass accuracy
109% from average (79)
86%
87%
106% from average (82.3)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
68% from average (1.46)
1
9
750% from average (1.2)
Saves
33% from average (3)
1
2
74% from average (2.7)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
18’
Simone Pontisso
Yellow Card
24’
Giacomo Olzer
Yellow Card
30’
Fabio Gerli
Goal
31’
G. Olzer
0
:
1
Goal
45’
G. Olzer
0
:
2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
2
Substitution
46’
M. Nasti
F. Bonazzoli
Substitution
46’
D. Lordkipanidze
S. Luperto
Substitution
46’
D. Lordkipanidze
G. Pezzella
Substitution
46’
D. Lordkipanidze
G. Pezzella
Substitution
46’
M. Nasti
F. Bonazzoli
Goal
55’
G. Caso
0
:
3
Substitution
59’
A. Imputato
G. Caso
Substitution
59’
P. Azzi
G. Olzer
Substitution
59’
A. Imputato
G. Caso
Substitution
59’
P. Azzi
G. Olzer
Substitution
60’
P. Azzi
G. Olzer
Substitution
64’
S. Lottici Tessadri
F. Gerli
Substitution
64’
F. Folino
A. Vogliacco
Substitution
64’
F. Folino
A. Vogliacco
Substitution
64’
S. Lottici Tessadri
F. Gerli
Substitution
71’
T. Berti
S. Pontisso
Substitution
78’
W. Acquah
G. Brugman
Substitution
87’
K. Bozhanaj
F. Zampano
Substitution
87’
D. Montevago
G. Ambrosino
Match Completed
0
:
3
Formation · 3-5-2 Cremonese
9 M. De Luca
90 F. Bonazzoli
3 G. Pezzella
27 J. Vandeputte
20 S. Pontisso
16 F. Gerli
17 A. Lickunas
5 S. Luperto
15 M. Bianchetti
38 A. Vogliacco
22 Federico Agazzi
22 F. Agazzi
Formation · 5-3-3 Modena
10 G. Caso
70 G. Ambrosino
72 G. Olzer
8 S. Santoro
16 G. Brugman
42 A. Bianco
7 F. Zampano
20 Bryant Nieling
20 B. Nieling
6 S. Nador
77 D. Tonoli
1 L. Chichizola

Starting lineups

#
Player
22
~
~
~
~
38
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
+2
17
~
~
~
+2
16
~
1
~
+2
20
~
1
~
+2
27
~
~
~
+2
3
~
~
~
~
90
~
~
~
+2
9
~
~
~
+4
22
F. Agazzi
~
~
~
~
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
77
~
~
~
+1
6
~
~
~
+1
20
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
+3
42
~
~
~
+3
16
~
~
~
+3
8
~
~
~
+2
72
~
1
2
+4
70
~
~
~
+4
10
~
~
1
+3
20
B. Nieling
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

#
Player
59
~
~
~
~
12
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+1
14
~
~
~
+1
71
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
+3
25
~
~
~
+2
#
Player
22
~
~
~
~
12
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
+2
17
~
~
~
+1
15
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
~
+2
29
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
26
A. Imputato
~
~
~
~

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 3
6
2nd half 5
4
Result 8
10
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Cremonese
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Modena
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Cremonese - Modena 28.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Cremonese and Modena before the match 28.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Cremonese - Modena 28.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works