Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
35%
confidence
Main prediction
Arezzo or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Arezzo
35%
X
Draw
35%
2
Palermo
30%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Arezzo
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Palermo
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Arezzo or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Arezzo
0%
Palermo
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.85
2.55
Avg. corners per match
5.5
9.17
Avg. yellow cards per match
3
4.75
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Arezzo: In 13 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Arezzo: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Arezzo: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 4
↓Arezzo: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Palermo will play away against Arezzo 30.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Livio Marinelli, Italy. It's doubly interesting to watch this game, since the teams have never played each other before. The match is notable because the teams are playing each other for the first time in the last couple of years. Judging by the odds of 3.59 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.80
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 4.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +38.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
125% from average (1.6)
2
3
194% from average (1.55)
Expected goals (xG)
93% from average (1.27)
1.18
2.01
132% from average (1.52)
Possession
89% from average (48.5)
43%
57%
113% from average (50.25)
Corners
300% from average (3)
9
4
81% from average (4.92)
Yellow cards
67% from average (1.5)
1
2
80% from average (2.5)
67% from average (4.5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
137% from average (9.5)
13
13
83% from average (15.67)
92% from average (28.3)
Shots on goal
97% from average (15.5)
15
17
115% from average (14.75)
Shots on target
200% from average (2.5)
5
7
147% from average (4.75)
Shots off target
88% from average (8)
7
4
67% from average (6)
Blocked shots
60% from average (5)
3
6
150% from average (4)
Shots from inside the box
133% from average (7.5)
10
10
103% from average (9.67)
Shots from outside the box
63% from average (8)
5
7
138% from average (5.08)
Passes
98% from average (343)
337
463
125% from average (370.33)
Successful passes
96% from average (289)
277
374
125% from average (298.08)
Pass accuracy
98% from average (84)
82%
81%
101% from average (80)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
200% from average (2)
4
2
160% from average (1.25)
Saves
200% from average (1.5)
3
3
116% from average (2.58)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
21’
D. Johnsen
0
:1
Yellow Card
30’
C. Bucchi
Yellow Card
44’
G. Strefezza
Yellow Card
44’
Gabriel Strefezza
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:1
Goal
55’
F. Ranocchia
0
:2
Substitution
59’
E. Gyasi
G. Strefezza
Substitution
59’
D. Vavassori
D. Johnsen
Goal
60’
P. Cianci
1
:2
Substitution
60’
D. Vavassori
D. Johnsen
Substitution
66’
N. Estevez
Hernani
Substitution
66’
T. Cassandro
N. Pierozzi
Substitution
66’
T. Cassandro
N. Pierozzi
Substitution
66’
N. Estevez
Hernani
Yellow Card
69’
N. Estevez
Yellow Card
69’
Nahuel Estévez
Substitution
71’
E. Pattarello
A. Arena
Goal
74’
C. Tavernelli
2
:2
Substitution
76’
S. M. Eklu
P. Cianci
Substitution
76’
A. Cerri
M. Sala
Substitution
77’
A. Cerri
M. Sala
Substitution
82’
A. Gabrielloni
J. Pohjanpalo
Yellow Card
85’
A. Ionita
Yellow Card
85’
Artur Ioniță
Substitution
87’
M. Viviani
G. Iaccarino
Substitution
87’
M. Varela Djamanca
C. Tavernelli
Goal
90’
T. Augello
2
:3
Goal
90’+4’
T. Augello
2
:4
Match Completed
2
:3
Formation · 4-4-2
Arezzo
17
A. Ionita
71
P. Cianci
21
C. Tavernelli
16
M. Sala
78
G. Iaccarino
30
A. Arena
37
S. Righetti
5
J. Illanes
13
M. Gilli
6
A. Renzi
14
A. Nunziante
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Palermo
20
J. Pohjanpalo
17
D. Johnsen
23
Hernani
7
G. Strefezza
8
J. Segre
10
F. Ranocchia
3
T. Augello
32
P. Ceccaroni
13
M. Bani
27
N. Pierozzi
1
M. Perin
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
7
K. Leone
~
~
~
~
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Arezzo - Palermo 30.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
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Attack
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
7
6
2nd half
8
11
Result
15
17
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Arezzo
Across all matches
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Palermo
Across all matches
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Arezzo - Palermo 30.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Bet365
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Arezzo and Palermo before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
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Number of events
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10
15
20
50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Arezzo - Palermo 30.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works