Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe 30.08.2026 21:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Samsunspor
W
W
L
D
W
Fenerbahçe
W
L
D
W
W
Süper Lig
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | Turkey
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
xG 0.46
1.56
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Fenerbahçe or draw
Most likely outcome — Fenerbahçe (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Samsunspor
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Fenerbahçe
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 2.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Samsunspor
Under 4.5
home team's goals
Total · Fenerbahçe
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or Fenerbahçe and +2.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Samsunspor
65%
Fenerbahçe
35%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.05
3.05
Avg. corners per match
10.5
11.24
Avg. yellow cards per match
5.25
5.06
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Samsunspor: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓Samsunspor: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 6 goals is scored
↓Samsunspor: In 7 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 5
↓Samsunspor: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe, match from 30.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is Yasin Kol, Türkiye. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2023, 2024, 2025. Odds 1.58 on a win Fenerbahçe indicates that the away team should play stronger than the home team.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.50
Average CLV
-2.31%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -8.1%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +7.7%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
0% from average (1.7)
0
2
100% from average (2)
Expected goals (xG)
34% from average (1.37)
0.46
1.56
72% from average (2.18)
Possession
103% from average (56.33)
58%
42%
71% from average (58.82)
Corners
26% from average (3.92)
1
6
80% from average (7.47)
Yellow cards
0% from average (3.08)
0
1
41% from average (2.44)
21% from average (4.86)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
91% from average (14.25)
13
18
153% from average (11.76)
101% from average (30.57)
Shots on goal
47% from average (12.75)
6
15
89% from average (16.76)
Shots on target
0% from average (5.08)
0
7
107% from average (6.53)
Shots off target
72% from average (4.17)
3
6
106% from average (5.65)
Blocked shots
86% from average (3.5)
3
2
44% from average (4.59)
Shots from inside the box
33% from average (9.17)
3
13
123% from average (10.59)
Shots from outside the box
84% from average (3.58)
3
2
32% from average (6.18)
Passes
126% from average (437)
552
404
79% from average (510.35)
Successful passes
138% from average (357.42)
495
345
78% from average (442.12)
Pass accuracy
110% from average (81.58)
90%
85%
99% from average (85.76)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
165% from average (1.82)
3
2
100% from average (2)
Saves
140% from average (3.58)
5
0
0% from average (2.65)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
3’
V. Muriqi
0
:1
Substitution
16’
A. Sekongo
F. Kaya
Yellow Card
25’
T. Fink
Yellow Card
26’
T. Fink
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:1
Substitution
46’
Y. E. Cift
T. Borevkovic
Goal
49’
O. Aydin
0
:2
Goal
50’
O. Aydin
0
:3
Substitution
63’
R. Lukaku
V. Muriqi
Substitution
64’
R. Lukaku
V. Muriqi
Substitution
64’
I. Yuksek
M. Greenwood
Substitution
64’
I. Yuksek
M. Greenwood
Substitution
64’
R. Lukaku
V. Muriqi
Substitution
66’
A. Sousa
Y. Kayan
Yellow Card
70’
R. Lukaku
Yellow Card
70’
Romelu Lukaku
Substitution
78’
D. Nene
I. Kahveci
Substitution
86’
L. Mercan
O. Aydin
Substitution
86’
B. Elmaz
M. Guendouzi
Substitution
86’
L. Mercan
O. Aydin
Substitution
86’
B. Elmaz
M. Guendouzi
Substitution
86’
S. Onur
C. Yuksel
Substitution
86’
T. Bulbul
S. Jarju
Substitution
86’
S. Onur
C. Yuksel
Substitution
86’
T. Bulbul
S. Jarju
Match Completed
0
:2
Injuries and suspensions
Samsunspor
ET
Definitely will not play
E. Tavsan
Inactive
TC
Definitely will not play
T. Coulibaly
Inactive
AS
In doubt
A. Sousa
Inactive
YE
Definitely will not play
Y. E. Cift
Inactive
AM
In doubt
A. Makoumbou
Inactive
ID
Definitely will not play
I. Drapinski
Inactive
JA
Definitely will not play
J. Assoumou
Inactive
M
In doubt
Marius
Inactive
Fenerbahçe
MA
Definitely will not play
M. Asensio
Muscle Injury
CS
In doubt
C. Soyuncu
Injury
MG
Definitely will not play
M. Gunok
Muscle Injury
KA
Definitely will not play
K. Akturkoglu
Concussion
JO
Definitely will not play
J. Oosterwolde
Achilles Tendon Injury
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Samsunspor
14
F. Kaya
11
E. Kilinc
20
Y. Kayan
30
S. Jarju
4
E. Watt
5
C. Yuksel
17
L. Tomasson
34
G. Guarino
24
T. Borevkovic
2
J. Mendes
1
O. Kocuk
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Fenerbahçe
19
V. Muriqi
70
O. Aydin
17
I. Kahveci
11
M. Greenwood
91
N. Kante
6
M. Guendouzi
3
A. Brown
15
N. Ake
37
M. Skriniar
27
N. Semedo
31
Ederson
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe 30.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
3
9
2nd half
3
6
Result
6
15
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Samsunspor
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Fenerbahçe
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe 30.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Samsunspor and Fenerbahçe before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe 30.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works