+03 Moscow, Volgograd
Profile
T
FC Orenburg 1:0 Akron · 51'Cercle Brugge 0:1 Gent · 42'Lajense 0:0 Vitoria Setubal · 53'Santa Clara B 0:0 Lagoa · 47'Birmingham 2:2 Wolves · 48'
Menu
Statistics sections06.09.2026
Matches
Schedule, results, lineups
1209matches today
TodayTomorrow
Teams
Form, streaks, home and away
24775teams
OverviewSeason
Leagues and Cups
Tables, tournament trends
1239tournaments
Top-5All
Referee
Cards, penalties, strictness
19296referees
RatingBy league
Analytics tools06.09.2026
Dropping odds
Line movement and volumes
917679signals today
TodayTomorrow
Day Analysis
Summary of the day's matches
1209matches in the overview
OverviewSeason
AI-match predictions
ML model probabilities
predictions with value
ValueAll
Tools
Referees, calendar, load, scenarios
4tools
Referee modelBuilder
Matchlists
Export data to Excel
XLSXexport format
DownloadHistory
Leones Negros UDG — Piratas
Liga de Expansión MX

Leones Negros UDG - Piratas 30.08.2026 21:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Finished
1
1
dumped from wa-cache/9d49d3/apps/sta/templates/compiled/sta_en_US/ba/c4/a1/bac4a1d9c615607196c1e4017bcea69144b847ab.file.event.html.php line #240:

[
  'id' => 'FT',
  'name' => 'Finished',
  'display_name' => 'Finished',
  'started' => 1,
  'inplay' => 0,
  'timer_running' => 0,
  'finished_successful' => 1,
  'background' => 'rgb(139 142 149)',
  'background_events_table' => 'rgb(139 142 149 / 22%)',
  'display_text' => 'Finished',
]
1st half 1:1
2nd half 0:0
30.08.2026 21:00
Piratas Piratas
D
W
W
L
L
Liga de Expansión MX
Apertura - 6 | 2026 | Mexico
Estadio Jalisco
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Leones Negros UDG or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Leones Negros UDG
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Piratas
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Leones Negros UDG
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Piratas
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Leones Negros UDG or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Leones Negros UDG
46%
Piratas
54%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.95 1.4
Avg. corners per match 0 0
Avg. yellow cards per match 0 0
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Piratas will play away against Leones Negros UDG 30.08.2026. This match will be officiated by J. C. Ortiz Leon. It's doubly interesting to watch this game, since the teams have never played each other before. The match is notable because the teams are playing each other for the first time in the last couple of years. Judging by the odds of 2.61 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.80
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -9.9%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Leones Negros UDG - Piratas 30.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
12’
R. Palomares
Own goal
23’
O. Soto
1
:
0
Yellow Card
42’
U. Torres
Yellow Card
43’
J. Aguayo
Penalty
45’
O. Soto
1
:
1
Penalty
45’+1’
O. Soto
1
:
2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
2
Yellow Card
56’
U. Torres
Red Card
56’
U. Torres
Yellow Card
57’
U. Torres
Red Card
57’
U. Torres
Substitution
60’
L. Sepulveda
O. Gil
Substitution
60’
J. Perez
J. Brigido
Substitution
61’
L. Sepulveda
O. Gil
Substitution
61’
J. Perez
J. Brigido
Substitution
71’
I. Doumbouya
F. Garcia
Substitution
72’
J. Clemente
G. Lopez
Substitution
81’
J. Cazares
L. Razo
Substitution
81’
A. Carreon
A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago
Substitution
82’
J. Cazares
L. Razo
Substitution
82’
A. Carreon
A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago
Substitution
86’
K. Loera
S. A. Hernandez
Substitution
87’
A. Enciso
C. Fernandez
Substitution
87’
K. Y. Jaime Sanchez
R. Gonzalez
Substitution
87’
K. Y. Jaime Sanchez
R. Gonzalez
Substitution
87’
A. Enciso
C. Fernandez
Substitution
90’+3’
E. Ochoa
J. Gamboa
Match Completed
1
:
1

Starting lineups

#
Player
161
J. Escalante
~
~
~
~
1
O. M. Cantu Rodriguez
~
~
~
~
21
O. Gonzalez
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
28
A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
34
~
~
~
~
9
L. Razo
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
#
Player
20
H. Hernandez
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
4
A. Lopez
~
~
~
~
14
R. Gonzalez
~
~
~
~
15
R. Palomares
~
~
~
~
7
O. Soto
~
~
~
~
16
C. Fernandez
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
9
F. Garcia
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

#
Player
12
S. Martin
~
~
~
~
27
U. Meza
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
~
167
M. Nuno
~
~
~
~
11
J. Perez
~
~
~
~
15
A. Carreon
~
~
~
~
31
M. Valenzuela
~
~
~
~
19
K. Loera
~
~
~
~
154
F. Morales
~
~
~
~
#
Player
1
D. Sanchez
~
~
~
~
2
A. Mantilla
~
~
~
~
17
E. Ochoa
~
~
~
~
26
J. Clemente
~
~
~
~
21
E. Vargas
~
~
~
~
30
R. C. Hidalgo
~
~
~
~
13
D. Sanchez
~
~
~
~
18
A. Enciso
~
~
~
~
19
I. Doumbouya
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Leones Negros UDG - Piratas 30.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Leones Negros UDG
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Piratas
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Leones Negros UDG - Piratas 30.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Leones Negros UDG and Piratas before the match 30.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Leones Negros UDG - Piratas 30.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works