Cancún - CA La Paz 28.08.2026 04:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
35%
confidence
Main prediction
Cancún or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Cancún
35%
X
Draw
35%
2
CA La Paz
30%
Totals prediction
Total · Cancún
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · CA La Paz
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Cancún or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Cancún
32%
CA La Paz
68%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.9
2.65
Avg. corners per match
0
0
Avg. yellow cards per match
0
0
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Cancún: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Cancún: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↓Cancún: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↑Cancún: 2 matches in a row "Cancún" wins
Brief Overview
Cancún - CA La Paz, match from 28.08.2026. This match will be officiated by O. Delgadillo Franco. Liga de Expansión MX - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.93
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Match result: 1
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -5.6%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
13’
U. Jaimes
0
:1
Goal
13’
Ulises Jaimes
0
:2
Goal
16’
U. Jaimes
0
:3
Goal
16’
Ulises Jaimes
0
:4
Yellow Card
21’
U. Echevarria
Yellow Card
21’
U. Echevarria
Yellow Card
21’
U. Jaimes
Yellow Card
21’
U. Jaimes
Yellow Card
21’
Ulises Jaimes
Yellow Card
22’
D. Guillen
Yellow Card
22’
D. Guillen
Yellow Card
31’
M. Barragan
Yellow Card
31’
M. Barragan
Yellow Card
32’
F. Illescas
Yellow Card
32’
F. Illescas
Yellow Card
36’
F. Melendre
Yellow Card
36’
F. Melendre
Red Card
37’
H. Torres
Red Card
37’
H. Torres
Red Card
37’
Horacio Torres
Substitution
42’
Y. Del Aguila
A. Robles
Yellow Card
43’
U. Echevarria
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:4
Substitution
46’
T. Gigena
D. Lomeli
Substitution
46’
A. Arredondo
A. Chavez
Substitution
46’
A. Arredondo
A. Chavez
Substitution
46’
T. Gigena
D. Lomeli
Substitution
60’
L. Lopez
P. Uscanga
Substitution
60’
G. Preciado
F. Melendre
Substitution
60’
G. Preciado
F. Melendre
Substitution
60’
L. Lopez
P. Uscanga
Substitution
61’
A. Alvarez
B. El-mesmari
Substitution
61’
A. Alvarez
B. El-mesmari
Substitution
61’
A. Alvarez
B. El-mesmari
Substitution
61’
S. Vazquez
U. Jaimes
Substitution
61’
S. Vazquez
U. Jaimes
Substitution
61’
L. Chiu
O. Millan
Substitution
61’
L. Chiu
O. Millan
Substitution
61’
L. Chiu
O. Millan
Substitution
61’
S. Vazquez
U. Jaimes
Substitution
69’
D. Hernandez
J. Alonzo
Substitution
69’
J. Ferrer
M. Barragan
Substitution
69’
J. Ferrer
M. Barragan
Substitution
69’
D. Hernandez
J. Alonzo
Yellow Card
70’
Y. Del Aguila
Goal
77’
J. Rodriguez
1
:4
Yellow Card
90’+3’
P. Uscanga
Yellow Card
90’+10’
D. Hernandez
Yellow Card
90’+10’
D. Hernandez
Match Completed
1
:2
Formation · 4-6-2
Cancún
12
J. Rodriguez
11
C. Trejo
12
J. Rodríguez
5
A. Chavez
14
K. Campos
10
P. Uscanga
5
A. Chávez
1
E. Arce
8
F. Melendre
7
B. El-mesmari
22
U. Echevarria
15
D. Guillen
16
D. Lomeli
Formation · 5-5-3-1
CA La Paz
10
M. Barragan
19
U. Jaimes
19
U. Jaimes
12
O. Millan
77
J. Alonzo
77
J. Alonzo
30
A. Robles
5
E. Torres
25
F. Illescas
28
U. Zurita
28
U. Zurita Jimenez
15
H. Torres
15
H. Torres
21
C. Robles
33
G. Alcala
Starting lineups
#
Player
22
U. Echevarria
~
~
~
~
10
P. Uscanga
~
~
~
~
8
F. Melendre
~
~
~
~
16
D. Lomeli
~
~
~
~
12
J. Rodríguez
~
~
~
~
12
J. Rodriguez
~
~
~
~
5
A. Chavez
~
~
~
~
1
E. Arce
~
~
~
~
#
Player
28
U. Zurita
~
~
~
~
5
E. Torres
~
~
~
~
19
U. Jaimes
~
~
~
~
15
H. Torres
~
~
~
~
19
U. Jaimes
~
~
~
~
28
U. Zurita Jimenez
~
~
~
~
77
J. Alonzo
~
~
~
~
Substitutions
#
Player
18
E. Montiel
~
~
~
~
3
J. Hernandez
~
~
~
~
18
E. A. Montiel Herrera
~
~
~
~
139
C. Salaya De La Cruz
~
~
~
~
136
B. Hernandez
~
~
~
~
#
Player
9
Jordi Ferrer
~
~
~
~
17
L. Chiu
~
~
~
~
17
L. Chiu
~
~
~
~
2
S. Vazquez
~
~
~
~
9
J. Ferrer
~
~
~
~
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
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Attack
Possession and style
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Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
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Number of events
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Cancún
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
CA La Paz
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Cancún - CA La Paz 28.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Number of events
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Cancún and CA La Paz before the match 28.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Cancún - CA La Paz 28.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works