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1. FC Magdeburg — Holstein Kiel
2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel 30.08.2026 14:30: score, statistics, forecasts

1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg
Position: 5 (+12)
W
D
L
W
W
Finished
2
0
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1st half 0:0
2nd half 2:0
30.08.2026 14:30
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
Position: 17 (-12)
L
D
D
D
W
2. Bundesliga
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | Germany
xG 0.83 2.11
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
35% confidence
Main prediction
1. FC Magdeburg or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
1. FC Magdeburg
35%
X
Draw
35%
2
Holstein Kiel
30%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 2.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · 1. FC Magdeburg
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Holstein Kiel
Under 5.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : 1. FC Magdeburg or draw and +2.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
1. FC Magdeburg
15%
Holstein Kiel
85%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.8 3
Avg. corners per match 8.64 9.33
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.86 5.83
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
1. FC Magdeburg 30.08.2026 will host the away team - Holstein Kiel. This match will be officiated by Jarno Wienefeld, Germany. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. It has already been 3 season the teams face each other. The most likely outcome is a win for 1. FC Magdeburg, judging by the odds of 2.12.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.78
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -8.1%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center 1. FC Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel 30.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
93% from average (2.15)
2
0
0% from average (1.5)
Expected goals (xG)
56% from average (1.47)
0.83
2.11
150% from average (1.41)
Possession
67% from average (54)
36%
64%
118% from average (54.08)
Corners
69% from average (4.36)
3
3
55% from average (5.5)
Yellow cards
259% from average (1.93)
5
4
130% from average (3.08)
193% from average (4.67)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
128% from average (10.93)
14
17
111% from average (15.33)
116% from average (26.83)
Shots on goal
72% from average (13.86)
10
14
114% from average (12.33)
Shots on target
42% from average (4.71)
2
2
54% from average (3.67)
Shots off target
105% from average (5.71)
6
9
174% from average (5.17)
Blocked shots
58% from average (3.43)
2
3
86% from average (3.5)
Shots from inside the box
68% from average (8.79)
6
9
115% from average (7.83)
Shots from outside the box
79% from average (5.07)
4
5
111% from average (4.5)
Passes
66% from average (458.71)
303
548
129% from average (423.25)
Successful passes
63% from average (379.64)
241
476
136% from average (350.58)
Pass accuracy
97% from average (82.5)
80%
87%
106% from average (82.08)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
178% from average (1.69)
3
0
0% from average (1.42)
Saves
54% from average (3.71)
2
1
39% from average (2.55)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
6’
Alexander Nollenberger
Yellow Card
20’
Jonas Therkelsen
Yellow Card
28’
Barış Atik
Yellow Card
31’
Pierre Nadjombe
Yellow Card
44’
Kasper Davidsen
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
46’
T. Musel
P. Nadjombe
Yellow Card
47’
Anselmo Garcia McNulty
Yellow Card
54’
Jonas Meffert
Yellow Card
64’
Tobias Müller
Substitution
64’
G. de Regt
K. Davidsen
Goal
72’
M. Zukowski
1
:
0
Substitution
75’
M. Baars
M. Kwarteng
Substitution
79’
N. Takahashi
J. Tolkin
Goal
81’
L. Hyrylainen
2
:
0
Yellow Card
84’
Ivan Nekić
Substitution
85’
F. Alidou
J. Meffert
Substitution
86’
E. Dzogovic
A. Nollenberger
Substitution
90’+2’
R. Tachie
M. Zukowski
Substitution
90’+2’
R. Simic
B. Atik
Substitution
90’+2’
R. Simic
B. Atik
Substitution
90’+2’
R. Tachie
M. Zukowski
Match Completed
2
:
0
Formation · 4-3-3 1. FC Magdeburg
23 B. Atik
22 M. Zukowski
8 E. Iyoha
21 F. Michel
10 M. Kwarteng
38 L. Hyrylainen
17 A. Nollenberger
3 A. Garcia MacNulty
5 T. Muller
28 P. Nadjombe
1 D. Reimann
Formation · 4-3-2-1 Holstein Kiel
19 P. Harres
10 J. Therkelsen
20 A. Kapralik
15 K. Davidsen
28 J. Meffert
8 G. Balzi
47 J. Tolkin
26 D. Zec
13 I. Nekic
32 H. Sekine
1 T. Weiner

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
28
~
1
~
+2
5
~
1
~
+1
3
~
1
~
+2
17
~
1
~
+4
38
~
~
1
+4
10
~
~
~
+2
21
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+2
22
~
~
1
+4
23
~
1
~
+5
#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
+1
13
~
1
~
+2
26
~
~
~
+3
47
~
~
~
+1
28
~
1
~
+2
20
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+2
15
~
1
~
+2
10
~
1
~
+3
19
~
~
~
+3

Substitutions

#
Player
30
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
+1
33
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
+1
35
~
~
~
~
#
Player
41
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
40
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
48
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+1

These are the odds for the match 1. FC Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel 30.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 6
6
2nd half 4
8
Result 10
14
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
1. FC Magdeburg
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Holstein Kiel
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics 1. FC Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel 30.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings 1. FC Magdeburg and Holstein Kiel before the match 30.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match 1. FC Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel 30.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works