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Energie Cottbus — SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. Bundesliga

Energie Cottbus - SpVgg Greuther Fürth 29.08.2026 14:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus
Position: 12 (-5)
W
L
W
L
L
Finished
3
4
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1st half 1:1
2nd half 2:3
29.08.2026 14:00
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Position: 7 (+5)
W
W
D
L
L
2. Bundesliga
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | Germany
LEAG Energie Stadion
xG 3.07 1.99
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
35% confidence
Main prediction
Energie Cottbus or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Energie Cottbus
35%
X
Draw
35%
2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
30%
Totals prediction
Total · Energie Cottbus
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Energie Cottbus or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Energie Cottbus
76%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.3 2.85
Avg. corners per match 10.78 10.08
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.89 4.25
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
29.08.2026 Energie Cottbus plays away against SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The referee will be Felix Weller, Germany. It is hard to predict the match because there is no recent head-to-head data. This will be the first meeting between the teams since 2017.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.53
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI +5.7%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Energie Cottbus - SpVgg Greuther Fürth 29.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
188% from average (1.6)
3
4
267% from average (1.5)
Expected goals (xG)
190% from average (1.62)
3.07
1.99
138% from average (1.44)
Possession
97% from average (55.44)
54%
46%
93% from average (49.46)
Corners
158% from average (6.33)
10
6
122% from average (4.92)
Yellow cards
128% from average (1.56)
2
2
133% from average (1.5)
78% from average (5.14)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
98% from average (11.22)
11
16
169% from average (9.46)
103% from average (26.33)
Shots on goal
153% from average (15)
23
15
115% from average (13.08)
Shots on target
139% from average (4.33)
6
7
154% from average (4.54)
Shots off target
212% from average (5.67)
12
4
87% from average (4.62)
Blocked shots
105% from average (4.78)
5
4
102% from average (3.92)
Shots from inside the box
195% from average (8.22)
16
11
138% from average (8)
Shots from outside the box
103% from average (6.78)
7
4
79% from average (5.08)
Passes
99% from average (453.67)
450
386
101% from average (382.77)
Successful passes
104% from average (372.67)
388
302
99% from average (305.62)
Pass accuracy
105% from average (81.78)
86%
78%
99% from average (78.77)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
240% from average (1.67)
4
1
44% from average (2.25)
Saves
120% from average (3.33)
4
3
91% from average (3.31)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
6’
Lucas Copado
1
:
0
Goal
6’
L. Copado
2
:
0
Penalty
45’
F. Klaus
2
:
1
Substitution
45’
Henry Rorig
Luca Erlein
Substitution
45’
Tolcay Cigerci
Moritz Hannemann
Substitution
45’
Tolcay Cigerci
Moritz Hannemann
Substitution
45’
Henry Rorig
Luca Erlein
Penalty
45’+3’
F. Klaus
2
:
2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:
2
Own goal
46’
fousseny doumbia
2
:
3
Substitution
46’
H. Rorig
L. Erlein
Substitution
46’
T. Cigerci
M. Hannemann
Own goal
47’
F. Doumbia
2
:
4
Yellow Card
50’
Jannis Heuer
Yellow Card
54’
Jannis Boziaris
Substitution
55’
T. Campulka
F. Doumbia
Substitution
66’
O. Sillah
D. Srbeny
Substitution
67’
J. Butler
C. Kinsombi
Goal
70’
T. Cigerci
3
:
4
Goal
72’
O. Pohlmann
3
:
5
Substitution
73’
L. Reich
J. Dehm
Yellow Card
77’
King Manu
Substitution
79’
D. Bogdanov
J. Boziaris
Goal
80’
F. Klaus
3
:
6
Substitution
83’
D. Arifi
S. Banse
Substitution
83’
A. Keller
S. Appelkamp
Yellow Card
84’
Doni Arifi
Goal
90’
D. Bogdanov
4
:
6
Goal
90’+4’
D. Bogdanov
5
:
6
Match Completed
3
:
4
Formation · 4-2-3-2 Energie Cottbus
9 L. Copado
9 L. Copado
7 C. Kinsombi
19 J. Boziaris
11 M. Hannemann
8 L. Michelbrink
32 L. Bittencourt
20 A. Borgmann
23 F. Doumbia
2 K. Manu
21 L. Erlein
1 M. Lotka
Formation · 4-4-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
7 D. Srbeny
30 F. Klaus
10 O. Pohlmann
13 P. Will
6 S. Banse
8 S. Appelkamp
27 L. Itter
29 K. Keresztes
22 J. Heuer
23 J. Dehm
1 F. Hellstern

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
21
~
~
~
+2
2
~
1
~
+3
23
~
~
~
+2
20
~
~
~
+4
32
~
~
~
+3
8
~
~
~
+1
11
~
~
~
+2
19
~
1
~
+2
7
~
~
~
+2
9
~
~
1
+5
9
~
~
1
+5
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
+3
22
~
1
~
+3
29
~
~
~
+1
27
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
+4
6
~
~
~
+2
13
~
~
~
+1
10
~
~
1
+4
30
~
~
2
+4
7
~
~
~
+1

Substitutions

#
Player
3
~
~
~
+2
16
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
1
+4
4
~
~
~
+1
31
~
~
~
+1
13
~
~
1
+2
42
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
~
42
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
#
Player
21
~
~
~
~
28
~
1
~
+1
11
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
42
~
~
~
+3
48
~
~
~
~
43
~
~
~
~
48
~
~
~
~
45
~
~
~
~

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 12
7
2nd half 11
8
Result 23
15
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Energie Cottbus
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Energie Cottbus - SpVgg Greuther Fürth 29.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Energie Cottbus and SpVgg Greuther Fürth before the match 29.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Energie Cottbus - SpVgg Greuther Fürth 29.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works