Casa Pia - Moreirense 30.08.2026 20:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Casa Pia
L
L
L
L
L
Moreirense
D
W
D
D
L
Primeira Liga
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | Portugal
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
xG 0.77
0.28
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Moreirense or draw
Most likely outcome — Moreirense (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Casa Pia
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Moreirense
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Moreirense
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Moreirense
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Casa Pia
0%
Moreirense
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.3
2.6
Avg. corners per match
9.21
8.38
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.71
4.23
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Casa Pia: In 7 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Casa Pia: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 8 goals is scored
↓Casa Pia: In 6 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 4
↓Casa Pia: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Moreirense will play away against Casa Pia 30.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is Luís Godinho, Portugal. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 3 last seasons. Judging by the odds of 2.74 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.82
Average CLV
+8.46%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 7.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +79%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
0% from average (0.6)
0
1
105% from average (0.95)
Expected goals (xG)
93% from average (0.83)
0.77
0.28
42% from average (0.66)
Possession
157% from average (40.21)
63%
37%
81% from average (45.92)
Corners
117% from average (4.29)
5
1
33% from average (3)
Yellow cards
38% from average (2.64)
1
3
130% from average (2.31)
72% from average (5.53)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
89% from average (15.79)
14
18
127% from average (14.15)
112% from average (28.5)
Shots on goal
162% from average (8.64)
14
6
77% from average (7.77)
Shots on target
78% from average (2.57)
2
5
175% from average (2.85)
Shots off target
242% from average (4.14)
10
1
36% from average (2.77)
Blocked shots
100% from average (2)
2
0
0% from average (2.15)
Shots from inside the box
187% from average (5.36)
10
3
63% from average (4.77)
Shots from outside the box
122% from average (3.29)
4
3
100% from average (3)
Passes
142% from average (312.43)
444
278
67% from average (413.62)
Successful passes
150% from average (234.71)
353
168
50% from average (339.38)
Pass accuracy
109% from average (73.36)
80%
60%
74% from average (81.54)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
185% from average (1.62)
3
0
0% from average (0.55)
Saves
148% from average (2.71)
4
2
62% from average (3.23)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
-5’
Aranha
Goal
24’
Kiko
0
:1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:1
Substitution
46’
A. Dafe
Rochinha
Yellow Card
61’
P. Rosas
Yellow Card
61’
Pedro Rosas
Substitution
61’
Cassiano
K. Prieto
Yellow Card
62’
Kiko
Yellow Card
62’
Kiko
Substitution
62’
Cassiano
K. Prieto
Substitution
65’
Rodri
N. John
Substitution
65’
T. Andrade
Landerson
Yellow Card
71’
Rodri
Yellow Card
71’
Rodrigo Alonso
Substitution
74’
L. Santos
Kiko
Yellow Card
75’
Aranha
Substitution
77’
L. Santos
Kiko
Substitution
78’
M. Stjepanovic
M. Mendonca
Substitution
78’
M. Stjepanovic
M. Mendonca
Substitution
78’
M. Stjepanovic
M. Mendonca
Substitution
78’
B. Pauwels
J. Rego
Substitution
78’
H. Araujo
A. Jatta
Substitution
78’
S. Perez
S. Clua
Substitution
78’
B. Pauwels
J. Rego
Substitution
78’
H. Araujo
A. Jatta
Substitution
78’
H. Araujo
A. Jatta
Substitution
82’
Kevyn Monteiro
J. Veloso
Match Completed
0
:1
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Casa Pia
20
A. Jatta
10
Rochinha
70
J. Rego
19
K. Prieto
80
L. Ofori
16
S. Clua
75
P. Rosas
43
D. Sousa
4
J. Goulart
18
A. Geraldes
31
A. Gomes
Formation · 4-3-3-1
Moreirense
9
A. Duville-Parsemain
11
Landerson
20
J. Veloso
7
M. Mendonca
65
Guilherme Liberato
65
Guilherme Liberato
23
N. John
27
Kiko
26
Maracas
66
G. Batista
76
D. Pinto
13
A. Ferreira
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
65
Guilherme Liberato
~
~
~
~
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Casa Pia - Moreirense 30.08.2026
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Statistics by half
1st half
8
6
2nd half
6
0
Result
14
6
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Casa Pia
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Casa Pia - Moreirense 30.08.2026
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Casa Pia and Moreirense before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Casa Pia - Moreirense 30.08.2026
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