Sevilla - Atletico Madrid 29.08.2026 22:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Atletico Madrid or draw
Most likely outcome — Atletico Madrid (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Sevilla
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Atletico Madrid
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Sevilla
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Atletico Madrid
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Sevilla
0%
Atletico Madrid
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.35
3.35
Avg. corners per match
8.45
9.71
Avg. yellow cards per match
5.27
3.77
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Sevilla: In 6 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Sevilla: In 11 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Sevilla: In 12 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 8
↓Sevilla: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Sevilla will face Atletico Madrid 29.08.2026 as the home team. The referee will be Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: La Liga, Copa del Rey, Friendlies Clubs. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.45
Average CLV
+0.98%
Agreement
50%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +7.7%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -8.1%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
91% from average (1.1)
1
3
188% from average (1.6)
Expected goals (xG)
95% from average (0.95)
0.9
0.93
65% from average (1.43)
Possession
95% from average (44)
42%
58%
126% from average (46.21)
Corners
94% from average (4.27)
4
2
39% from average (5.07)
Yellow cards
69% from average (2.91)
2
2
87% from average (2.31)
100% from average (4)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
127% from average (15.73)
20
16
137% from average (11.71)
144% from average (25.07)
Shots on goal
175% from average (11.45)
20
12
88% from average (13.64)
Shots on target
157% from average (3.18)
5
5
117% from average (4.29)
Shots off target
174% from average (5.18)
9
3
53% from average (5.71)
Blocked shots
194% from average (3.09)
6
4
110% from average (3.64)
Shots from inside the box
173% from average (6.36)
11
9
108% from average (8.36)
Shots from outside the box
177% from average (5.09)
9
3
57% from average (5.29)
Passes
106% from average (342.73)
364
530
120% from average (441.64)
Successful passes
111% from average (263.27)
293
454
121% from average (373.86)
Pass accuracy
106% from average (75.55)
80%
86%
103% from average (83.5)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
46% from average (2.18)
1
1
50% from average (2)
Saves
78% from average (2.55)
2
4
106% from average (3.79)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
4’
A. Baena
0
:1
Goal
26’
A. Lookman
0
:2
Goal
33’
A. Baena
0
:3
Yellow Card
45’+4’
Marcos Llorente
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:3
Substitution
55’
C. Ejuke
J. Diaz
Substitution
55’
G. Kochorashvili
J. Guridi
Substitution
55’
G. Kochorashvili
J. Guridi
Substitution
55’
C. Ejuke
J. Diaz
Goal
66’
M. Sierra
1
:3
Substitution
66’
A. Ortiz
A. Lookman
Substitution
66’
J. Gimenez
M. Llorente
Substitution
66’
J. Gimenez
M. Llorente
Substitution
66’
A. Ortiz
A. Lookman
Substitution
68’
I. Romero
Peque
Substitution
72’
Koke
Lee Kang-In
Substitution
80’
A. Gonzalez
M. Sierra
Substitution
85’
J. Cardoso
M. Hjulmand
Substitution
85’
R. Mendoza
A. Baena
Substitution
85’
R. Mendoza
A. Baena
Substitution
85’
J. Cardoso
M. Hjulmand
Yellow Card
89’
Isaac Romero
Yellow Card
90’+1’
Gabriel Suazo
Yellow Card
90’+5’
Marc Pubill
Match Completed
1
:3
Injuries and suspensions
Sevilla
RV
Definitely will not play
R. Vargas
Transfer negotiations
O
Definitely will not play
Oso
Transfer negotiations
Atletico Madrid
TL
Definitely will not play
T. Lemar
Coach's decision
JA
Definitely will not play
J. Alvarez
Personal Reasons
AS
Definitely will not play
A. Sorloth
Muscle Injury
RL
Definitely will not play
R. Le Normand
Red Card
OV
Definitely will not play
O. Vargas
Coach's decision
Formation · 4-2-4-1
Sevilla
9
R. Ure
3
J. Diaz
10
Peque
30
Miguel Ángel
30
M. Sierra
18
J. Guridi
6
L. Agoume
17
G. Suazo
4
K. Salas
5
Castrin
2
J. Iglesias
1
O. Vlachodimos
Formation · 4-4-2
Atletico Madrid
10
A. Baena
7
Lee Kang-In
11
A. Lookman
23
M. Hjulmand
8
P. Barrios
20
G. Simeone
22
A. Grimaldo
17
D. Hancko
18
M. Pubill
14
M. Llorente
13
J. Oblak
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
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These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
8
7
2nd half
12
5
Result
20
12
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Attack
Possession and style
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Sevilla
Across all matches
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Atletico Madrid
Across all matches
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All outcomes
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Loss
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Sevilla - Atletico Madrid 29.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
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All outcomes
Total Under
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Match prediction value calculator
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Sevilla and Atletico Madrid before the match 29.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
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20
50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Sevilla - Atletico Madrid 29.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works