Mallorca - AD Ceuta FC 30.08.2026 20:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Mallorca
W
W
D
W
L
AD Ceuta FC
L
W
W
L
L
Segunda División
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | Spain
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
xG 2.47
0.27
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
Mallorca
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Mallorca
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
AD Ceuta FC
0%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Mallorca
Under 5.5
home team's goals
Total · AD Ceuta FC
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : Mallorca and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Mallorca
100%
AD Ceuta FC
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.7
2.95
Avg. corners per match
9
8.08
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.38
4.77
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Mallorca: In 10 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓Mallorca: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 6 goals is scored
↓Mallorca: In 10 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 4
↓Mallorca: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Mallorca - AD Ceuta FC, match from 30.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is Abraham Dominguez Cervantes, Spain. It is hard to predict the match because there is no recent head-to-head data. This will be the first meeting between the teams since 2017. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 6.95 on an away win - AD Ceuta FC.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.63
Average CLV
+5.2%
Agreement
100%
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -13.1%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
194% from average (1.55)
3
0
0% from average (1.15)
Expected goals (xG)
219% from average (1.13)
2.47
0.27
24% from average (1.12)
Possession
101% from average (52.46)
53%
47%
94% from average (50.15)
Corners
85% from average (3.54)
3
3
100% from average (3)
Yellow cards
84% from average (2.38)
2
3
135% from average (2.23)
125% from average (4)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
86% from average (12.85)
11
14
106% from average (13.23)
93% from average (27)
Shots on goal
115% from average (11.31)
13
5
54% from average (9.31)
Shots on target
95% from average (4.23)
4
0
0% from average (3)
Shots off target
142% from average (4.23)
6
3
74% from average (4.08)
Blocked shots
105% from average (2.85)
3
2
90% from average (2.23)
Shots from inside the box
122% from average (7.38)
9
2
35% from average (5.77)
Shots from outside the box
102% from average (3.92)
4
3
85% from average (3.54)
Passes
109% from average (441.92)
480
431
108% from average (400.92)
Successful passes
117% from average (373.23)
435
368
113% from average (325.92)
Pass accuracy
108% from average (83.92)
91%
85%
105% from average (80.62)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
200% from average (1)
2
1
62% from average (1.62)
Saves
41% from average (2.46)
1
1
27% from average (3.77)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
8’
A. Petxa
Anuar
Yellow Card
18’
Alejandro Meléndez
Goal
20’
A. Sala
1
:0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Goal
50’
A. Fuentes
2
:0
Substitution
55’
A. Roca
J. Cerda
Substitution
64’
A. Sanchez
M. Morlanes
Substitution
64’
A. Buksa
A. Fuentes
Substitution
64’
A. Liso
Z. Luvumbo
Yellow Card
67’
Alex Sala
Substitution
72’
A. Betancourt
C. Teguia
Substitution
72’
A. Osoro
J. Escobar
Substitution
72’
A. Osoro
J. Escobar
Substitution
72’
A. Betancourt
C. Teguia
Yellow Card
74’
Antoniu Roca
Yellow Card
75’
A. Roca
Yellow Card
78’
Adrián Lapeña
Substitution
84’
A. Soumahoro
T. Lato
Yellow Card
87’
Yann Bodiger
Substitution
88’
Matos Jose
A. Camacho
Substitution
88’
A. R. Gonzalez
Y. Bodiger
Goal
89’
A. Buksa
3
:0
Match Completed
3
:0
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Mallorca
18
A. Fuentes
19
J. Cerda
20
P. Torre
11
Z. Luvumbo
8
M. Morlanes
7
A. Sala
3
T. Lato
21
A. Raillo
24
M. Valjent
34
M. Calatayud
1
A. Tenas
Formation · 6-4-1
AD Ceuta FC
9
J. Escobar
11
C. Teguia
8
K. Zalazar
20
A. Melendez
14
Y. Bodiger
16
C. Redruello Nimo
5
A. Lapena
6
C. Hernandez
23
Anuar
7
Alejandro Camacho
7
A. Camacho
13
G. Vallejo
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Mallorca - AD Ceuta FC 30.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
9
3
2nd half
4
2
Result
13
5
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AD Ceuta FC
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Mallorca - AD Ceuta FC 30.08.2026
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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1x2 goals
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1x2 corners
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Mallorca and AD Ceuta FC before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
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Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Mallorca - AD Ceuta FC 30.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works