Segunda División
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | Spain
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
xG 1.77
0.94
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Leganes or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Leganes
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Eldense
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Leganes
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Eldense
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Leganes or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Leganes
0%
Eldense
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.05
3.3
Avg. corners per match
10.2
10
Avg. yellow cards per match
5.1
2.5
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Leganes: In 6 matches in a row, a total of no more than 3 goals is scored
↓Leganes: In 11 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 5
↓Leganes: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Leganes: Judging by recent matches, Leganes" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
Leganes - Eldense, match from 29.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. The teams don't have many head-to-head meetings yet - they have only played each other for one season.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.67
Average CLV
+1.03%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -18.4%
Match result: 1
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -5.5%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
125% from average (0.8)
1
0
0% from average (1.7)
Expected goals (xG)
478% from average (0.37)
1.77
0.94
- from average (0)
Possession
120% from average (43.4)
52%
48%
101% from average (47.5)
Corners
0% from average (3.6)
0
8
133% from average (6)
Yellow cards
43% from average (2.3)
1
0
0% from average (1.5)
23% from average (4.27)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
102% from average (12.7)
13
10
125% from average (8)
86% from average (26.64)
Shots on goal
110% from average (10)
11
16
229% from average (7)
Shots on target
162% from average (3.7)
6
4
160% from average (2.5)
Shots off target
67% from average (4.5)
3
6
171% from average (3.5)
Blocked shots
111% from average (1.8)
2
6
600% from average (1)
Shots from inside the box
161% from average (5.6)
9
9
200% from average (4.5)
Shots from outside the box
45% from average (4.4)
2
7
280% from average (2.5)
Passes
146% from average (343.9)
501
449
139% from average (323)
Successful passes
157% from average (272.3)
428
362
133% from average (272.5)
Pass accuracy
109% from average (77.7)
85%
81%
96% from average (84)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
133% from average (1.5)
2
2
133% from average (1.5)
Saves
98% from average (4.1)
4
5
500% from average (1)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
63’
D. Rodriguez
R. Pena
Substitution
63’
Alex Sancris
N. Garcia
Substitution
63’
A. Millan
P. Soko
Substitution
63’
A. Millan
P. Soko
Substitution
63’
Alex Sancris
N. Garcia
Substitution
67’
J. Martinez
J. Martin
Substitution
68’
J. Martinez
J. Martin
Substitution
73’
J. Rastrojo
M. Carmona
Substitution
82’
Sule
Y. Kechta
Substitution
82’
R. Pulido
G. Aguilar Lopez
Substitution
82’
R. Pulido
G. Aguilar Lopez
Substitution
82’
Sule
Y. Kechta
Substitution
83’
A. Ibarrondo
J. Clemente
Substitution
83’
M. Nieto
Fidel
Substitution
83’
M. Nieto
Fidel
Substitution
83’
A. Ibarrondo
J. Clemente
Goal
90’
M. Atienza
1
:0
Yellow Card
90’+3’
Álex Millán
Match Completed
1
:0
Formation · 3-1-4-2
Leganes
19
P. Soko
17
I. Gharbi
7
R. Pena
8
Y. Kechta
10
Z. Buurmeester
11
N. Garcia
20
M. Atienza
6
G. Aguilar Lopez
2
Marvel
5
I. Miquel
13
L. Zidane
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Eldense
9
M. Carmona
21
D. Ruiz
23
J. Martin
10
Fidel
18
G. Macho
14
J. Smith
34
J. Olaizola
4
F. Smand
5
A. G. Serradell
17
J. Clemente
1
R. Vila
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
36
D. Bernabeu
~
~
~
~
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Statistics by half
1st half
3
5
2nd half
8
11
Result
11
16
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Leganes - Eldense 29.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Leganes and Eldense before the match 29.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Number of events
5
10
15
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Leganes - Eldense 29.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works