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Milton Keynes Dons — Leicester
League One

Milton Keynes Dons - Leicester 29.08.2026 14:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Position: 16 (+5)
D
W
L
D
D
Finished
0
0
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1st half 0:0
2nd half 0:0
29.08.2026 14:30
Leicester Leicester
Position: 21 (-5)
L
W
D
L
L
League One
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | England
xG 0.57 1.53
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
35% confidence
Main prediction
Milton Keynes Dons or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Milton Keynes Dons
35%
X
Draw
35%
2
Leicester
30%
Totals prediction
Total · Milton Keynes Dons
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Leicester
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Milton Keynes Dons or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Milton Keynes Dons
52%
Leicester
48%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.75 2.45
Avg. corners per match 9.23 11.77
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.58 4.5
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Milton Keynes Dons - Leicester, the match will take place 29.08.2026. The referee will be T. Parsons. A head-to-head meeting between these clubs is a fairly rare occurrence, having happened only in one championship: League Cup. The teams are infrequent opponents on the pitch. At the moment, they have only met within a single season.
Author consensus verifier
3 picks from 3 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.97
Average CLV
-0.91%
Agreement
33%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5 1 pick · 33% Market ROI +9.9%
Match result: 1 1 pick · 33% Market ROI -5.5%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5 1 pick · 33% Market ROI -18.4%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Milton Keynes Dons - Leicester 29.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
0% from average (1.6)
0
0
0% from average (1.35)
Expected goals (xG)
35% from average (1.61)
0.57
1.53
99% from average (1.54)
Possession
49% from average (49.46)
24%
76%
132% from average (57.69)
Corners
87% from average (4.62)
4
9
160% from average (5.62)
Yellow cards
0% from average (1.5)
0
3
156% from average (1.92)
84% from average (3.56)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
78% from average (11.54)
9
6
57% from average (10.46)
68% from average (22.06)
Shots on goal
49% from average (14.31)
7
24
151% from average (15.85)
Shots on target
21% from average (4.85)
1
7
130% from average (5.38)
Shots off target
87% from average (5.77)
5
9
146% from average (6.15)
Blocked shots
27% from average (3.69)
1
8
186% from average (4.31)
Shots from inside the box
57% from average (10.54)
6
11
125% from average (8.77)
Shots from outside the box
27% from average (3.77)
1
13
184% from average (7.08)
Passes
56% from average (349.46)
197
643
131% from average (491)
Successful passes
54% from average (236.92)
128
574
140% from average (408.85)
Pass accuracy
99% from average (65.62)
65%
89%
109% from average (81.69)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
54% from average (1.85)
1
1
65% from average (1.54)
Saves
285% from average (2.46)
7
1
45% from average (2.23)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
36’
A. Bristric
C. Chaplin
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
48’
Luke Thomas
Substitution
56’
R. Barnett
G. Jones
Substitution
56’
C. Paterson
A. Collins
Substitution
56’
C. Paterson
A. Collins
Substitution
56’
R. Barnett
G. Jones
Substitution
60’
H. Howell
W. Burns
Substitution
71’
A. Gilbey
B. Wiles
Yellow Card
80’
Harry Souttar
Substitution
80’
S. Silvera
D. Barlaser
Substitution
81’
Jack Sanders
Charlie Goode
Substitution
81’
Samuel Silvera
Daniel Barlaser
Substitution
81’
J. Sanders
C. Goode
Substitution
82’
W. Alves
T. Watson
Substitution
82’
L. Cullen
B. De Cordova-Reid
Yellow Card
90’+2’
Liam Cullen
Match Completed
0
:
0
Formation · 5-3-2 Milton Keynes Dons
9 S. Nombe
10 A. Collins
26 B. Wiles
4 D. Barlaser
24 R. Wintle
15 C. Bramall
35 C. Nelson
5 C. Goode
21 M. Ekpiteta
2 G. Jones
1 C. MacGillivray
Formation · 4-1-4-1 Leicester
14 B. De Cordova-Reid
23 T. Watson
36 S. Braybrooke
8 C. Chaplin
7 W. Burns
25 L. Page
18 C. McFarlane
33 L. Thomas
15 H. Souttar
2 J. Joseph
1 J. Stolarczyk

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+2
2
~
~
~
+1
21
~
~
~
+3
5
~
~
~
+1
35
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
+2
24
~
~
~
+2
4
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
+1
10
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
~
+2
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+4
15
~
1
~
+2
33
~
1
~
+1
18
~
~
~
+1
25
~
~
~
+3
7
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
36
~
~
~
+2
23
~
~
~
+3
14
~
~
~
+1

Substitutions

#
Player
7
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+3
13
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
#
Player
32
~
~
~
~
37
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
~
+3
11
~
1
~
+3
20
~
~
~
+2
24
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
~
24
I. Kangasniemi
~
~
~
~

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 2
6
2nd half 5
18
Result 7
24
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Milton Keynes Dons
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Leicester
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Milton Keynes Dons - Leicester 29.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Milton Keynes Dons and Leicester before the match 29.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Milton Keynes Dons - Leicester 29.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works