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Stoke City — Charlton
Championship

Stoke City - Charlton 05.09.2026 14:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Stoke City Stoke City
L
L
L
L
W
Finished
4
0
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1st half 4:0
2nd half 0:0
05.09.2026 14:30
Charlton Charlton
W
W
L
W
D
Championship
Regular Season - 5 | 2026 | England
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Charlton or draw
Most likely outcome — Charlton (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Stoke City
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Charlton
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Stoke City
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Charlton
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Charlton
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Stoke City
37%
Charlton
63%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.75 2.5
Avg. corners per match 10.47 11.69
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.13 3.42
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Stoke City will face Charlton 05.09.2026 as the home team. The referee appointed for this match is R. Madley. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. Stoke City and Charlton have so far played each other in only one season, so there isn't much data for match analysis. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Stoke City the odds are just 2.08.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.53
Average CLV
Agreement
100%
Which team has more corners: 1 1 pick · 100% Market ROI +2.3%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Stoke City - Charlton 05.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
381% from average (1.05)
4
0
0% from average (1.15)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.3)
0
0
0% from average (1.07)
Possession
139% from average (45.2)
63%
37%
92% from average (40.23)
Corners
90% from average (5.53)
5
3
64% from average (4.69)
Yellow cards
47% from average (2.13)
1
2
120% from average (1.67)
73% from average (4.12)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
158% from average (12.67)
20
13
103% from average (12.62)
145% from average (22.82)
Shots on goal
148% from average (11.47)
17
13
123% from average (10.54)
Shots on target
227% from average (3.53)
8
3
80% from average (3.77)
Shots off target
110% from average (4.53)
5
7
217% from average (3.23)
Blocked shots
118% from average (3.4)
4
3
85% from average (3.54)
Shots from inside the box
128% from average (7.8)
10
10
141% from average (7.08)
Shots from outside the box
191% from average (3.67)
7
3
87% from average (3.46)
Passes
148% from average (338.27)
501
288
91% from average (316.69)
Successful passes
165% from average (259.27)
429
221
94% from average (234.08)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
37% from average (2.73)
1
3
180% from average (1.67)
Saves
112% from average (2.67)
3
4
94% from average (4.25)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Penalty
15’
Justin Devenny
1
:
0
Goal
22’
Ethan Galbraith
2
:
0
Goal
25’
George Hirst
3
:
0
Substitution
26’
Dan McNamara
Tyreece Campbell
Substitution
34’
Róbert Boženík
Sam Gallagher
Goal
40’
Justin Devenny
4
:
0
Substitution
45’
Conor Coventry
Timothy Ouma
Yellow Card
45’+3’
Miles Leaburn
Yellow Card
45’+3’
Miles Leaburn
Yellow Card
45’+5’
Ethan Galbraith
Yellow Card
45’+5’
Ethan Galbraith
The match has continued - the second half is underway
4
:
0
Yellow Card
48’
Dan McNamara
Substitution
57’
Lamine Cissé
George Hirst
Substitution
58’
Maksym Taloverov
Bosun Lawal
Substitution
58’
Jack Mcglynn
Justin Devenny
Substitution
58’
Jack Mcglynn
Justin Devenny
Substitution
58’
Maksym Taloverov
Bosun Lawal
Yellow Card
62’
Conor Coventry
Substitution
72’
Micah Mbick
Miles Leaburn
Substitution
72’
Millenic Alli
Joe Rankin-Costello
Substitution
79’
Ben Pearson
El Hadji Soumare
Substitution
79’
Robert Apter
Karlan Grant
Match Completed
4
:
0

Injuries and suspensions

Stoke City
AC
A. Cresswell
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
BG
B. Gibson
Head Injury
Definitely will not play
SI
S. Ingelsson
Injury
In doubt
JT
J. Tchamadeu
Knee Injury
In doubt
LC
L. Cisse
Knock
In doubt
AA
A. Ampah
Hamstring Injury
In doubt
DS
D. Soumare
Injury
In doubt
Charlton
WM
W. Mannion
Shoulder Injury
Definitely will not play
NC
N. Chalobah
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
KR
K. Ramsay
Ankle Injury
Definitely will not play
MG
M. Godden
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
CK
C. Kelman
Shoulder Injury
In doubt
JE
J. Edwards
Ankle Injury
In doubt
BK
B. Koumetio
Muscle Injury
In doubt
CS
C. Sichenje
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
Formation · 3-5-2 Stoke City
15 G. Hirst
20 S. Gallagher
17 E. Bocat
8 E. Galbraith
27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
13 J. Devenny
2 B. Johnson
5 L. Graham
18 B. Lawal
16 B. Wilmot
1 V. Johansson
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Charlton
11 M. Leaburn
7 T. Campbell
26 J. Rankin-Costello
9 K. Ahearne-Grant
34 O. Skipp
16 T. Ouma
17 A. Bell
44 Tyler Bindon
5 L. Jones
18 I. Mesík
13 A. Okonkwo

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+2
16
~
~
~
+3
18
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
+2
2
~
~
~
+4
13
~
~
2
+4
27
~
~
~
+1
8
~
1
1
+3
17
~
~
~
+3
20
~
~
~
+2
15
~
~
1
+3
#
Player
13
~
~
~
+1
18
~
~
~
+4
5
~
~
~
+3
44
~
~
~
+4
17
~
~
~
+1
16
~
~
~
+2
34
~
~
~
+2
9
~
~
~
+3
26
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
+1
11
~
1
~
+2

Substitutions

#
Player
21
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
+3
11
~
~
~
+2
24
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
+4
4
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
40
~
~
~
+2
#
Player
19
~
~
~
+2
30
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
6
~
1
~
+1
8
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
+2
20
1
~
~
+2
32
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Stoke City - Charlton 05.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 12
8
2nd half 5
5
Result 17
13
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Stoke City
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Charlton
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Stoke City - Charlton 05.09.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Stoke City and Charlton before the match 05.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Stoke City - Charlton 05.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works