Burnley - Middlesbrough 02.09.2026 22:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
35%
confidence
Main prediction
Burnley or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Burnley
35%
X
Draw
35%
2
Middlesbrough
30%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Burnley
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Middlesbrough
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Burnley or draw and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Burnley
63%
Middlesbrough
37%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.85
2.8
Avg. corners per match
10.5
11.43
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.73
3.31
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Burnley: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↑Burnley: In 5 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 2
↓Burnley: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 7
↓Burnley: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
02.09.2026 Burnley plays away against Middlesbrough. This match will be officiated by Matt Donohue, England. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2022, 2024. Judging by the odds of 2.86 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.50
Average CLV
+0.72%
Agreement
50%
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -8.9%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +7.7%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
118% from average (0.85)
1
1
67% from average (1.5)
Expected goals (xG)
58% from average (1.1)
0.64
1.22
57% from average (2.13)
Possession
83% from average (52)
43%
57%
90% from average (63.64)
Corners
100% from average (5)
5
1
12% from average (8.21)
Yellow cards
122% from average (1.64)
2
2
185% from average (1.08)
81% from average (4.92)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
103% from average (10.67)
11
8
87% from average (9.21)
81% from average (23.47)
Shots on goal
89% from average (12.33)
11
10
49% from average (20.36)
Shots on target
82% from average (3.67)
3
2
38% from average (5.29)
Shots off target
87% from average (4.58)
4
5
70% from average (7.14)
Blocked shots
98% from average (4.08)
4
3
38% from average (7.93)
Shots from inside the box
81% from average (7.42)
6
4
29% from average (13.93)
Shots from outside the box
102% from average (4.92)
5
6
93% from average (6.43)
Passes
84% from average (463.5)
390
541
94% from average (575.64)
Successful passes
77% from average (389.42)
301
466
93% from average (499.14)
Pass accuracy
93% from average (83.17)
77%
86%
100% from average (86.43)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
241% from average (0.83)
2
6
400% from average (1.5)
Saves
32% from average (3.17)
1
2
104% from average (1.93)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
23’
A. Morris
0
:1
Yellow Card
28’
Hannibal Mejbri
Yellow Card
39’
Will Lankshear
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:1
Substitution
46’
M. Alleyne
H. Mejbri
Substitution
46’
L. Ramazani
A. Hountondji
Substitution
46’
L. Ramazani
A. Hountondji
Substitution
46’
M. Alleyne
H. Mejbri
Goal
54’
U. Raghouber
1
:1
Substitution
61’
T. Conway
R. McGree
Substitution
61’
L. Castledine
K. Joseph
Substitution
61’
L. Castledine
K. Joseph
Substitution
61’
T. Conway
R. McGree
Yellow Card
71’
Alfie Jones
Substitution
71’
A. Ramsey
Z. Amdouni
Substitution
74’
A. Phillips
A. Jones
Substitution
77’
A. Broja
J. Bruun Larsen
Substitution
81’
M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
D. Satpaev
Substitution
87’
D. Strelec
W. Lankshear
Yellow Card
90’+1’
Ugo Raghouber
Match Completed
1
:1
Injuries and suspensions
Burnley
AB
Definitely will not play
A. Barnes
Injury
JC
Definitely will not play
J. Cullen
Knee Injury
JL
Definitely will not play
J. Laurent
Red Card
JB
Definitely will not play
J. Beyer
Hamstring Injury
OS
In doubt
O. Sonne
Inactive
BH
Definitely will not play
B. Humphreys
Inactive
LP
Definitely will not play
Lucas Pires
Inactive
JB
Definitely will not play
J. Banel
Injury
EA
Definitely will not play
E. Agyei
Injury
Middlesbrough
AB
Definitely will not play
A. Bangura
Coach's decision
JS
In doubt
J. Sarmiento
Inactive
RP
Definitely will not play
R. Pukstas
Transfer negotiations
Formation · 4-3-2-1
Burnley
11
Z. Amdouni
12
D. Satpaev
17
A. Hountondji
7
J. Bruun Larsen
8
U. Raghouber
28
H. Mejbri
14
C. Roberts
18
H. Ekdal
15
A. Ahmedhodzic
22
O. Sonne
1
M. Weiss
Formation · 4-3-3
Middlesbrough
22
K. Joseph
7
W. Lankshear
8
R. McGree
6
S. Berhalter
29
A. Malanda
10
A. Morris
30
Neto Borges
5
A. Jones
12
L. Ayling
2
C. Brittain
1
R. Vitek
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Burnley - Middlesbrough 02.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
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Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Number of events
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
6
6
2nd half
5
4
Result
11
10
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
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Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Burnley
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
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Middlesbrough
Across all matches
Home only
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All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Burnley - Middlesbrough 02.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Number of events
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Burnley and Middlesbrough before the match 02.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Burnley - Middlesbrough 02.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works