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Rodina Moskva — Baltika
Premier League

Rodina Moskva - Baltika 30.08.2026 15:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
Position: 13 (-8)
W
W
D
L
L
Finished
0
3
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1st half 0:1
2nd half 0:2
30.08.2026 15:00
Baltika Baltika
Position: 5 (+8)
L
W
L
W
D
Premier League
Regular Season - 6 | 2026 | Russia
Arena Khimki
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Baltika or draw
Most likely outcome — Baltika (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Rodina Moskva
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Baltika
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Rodina Moskva
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Baltika
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or Baltika and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Rodina Moskva
34%
Baltika
66%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.7 2.65
Avg. corners per match 10.8 8.33
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.29 3.36
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Rodina Moskva - Baltika, match from 30.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Evgeniy Kukulyak, Russia. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2022, 2024. Judging by the odds of 3.77 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.31
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -18.4%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Rodina Moskva - Baltika 30.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
0% from average (2)
0
3
176% from average (1.7)
Expected goals (xG)
- from average (0)
0
0
0% from average (1.05)
Possession
177% from average (39)
69%
31%
66% from average (47)
Corners
83% from average (2.4)
2
5
110% from average (4.56)
Yellow cards
175% from average (1.71)
3
5
305% from average (1.64)
160% from average (5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
113% from average (14.2)
16
20
108% from average (18.56)
124% from average (29)
Shots on goal
111% from average (7.2)
8
16
117% from average (13.67)
Shots on target
71% from average (2.8)
2
9
231% from average (3.89)
Shots off target
67% from average (3)
2
6
106% from average (5.67)
Blocked shots
286% from average (1.4)
4
1
24% from average (4.11)
Shots from inside the box
83% from average (4.8)
4
14
173% from average (8.11)
Shots from outside the box
167% from average (2.4)
4
2
36% from average (5.56)
Passes
183% from average (288)
526
229
70% from average (328.44)
Successful passes
209% from average (206.8)
433
150
68% from average (219.11)
Pass accuracy
114% from average (71.8)
82%
66%
100% from average (66.22)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
83% from average (1.2)
1
2
100% from average (2)
Saves
107% from average (5.6)
6
3
159% from average (1.89)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
22’
A. Mourid
0
:
1
Yellow Card
26’
Aymane Mourid
Yellow Card
30’
Mingiyan Beveev
Yellow Card
44’
Andrey Mendel
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
1
Substitution
46’
C. Offor
B. Gil
Substitution
46’
C. Offor
B. Gil
Substitution
46’
S. Bakaev
A. Sokol
Substitution
46’
S. Bakaev
A. Sokol
Substitution
53’
I. Belikov
A. Mendel
Substitution
53’
M. Petrov
A. Mourid
Substitution
53’
M. Petrov
A. Mourid
Substitution
53’
I. Belikov
A. Mendel
Yellow Card
57’
Iker Pozo
Substitution
70’
K. Ushatov
R. Fishchenko
Yellow Card
72’
Maksim Petrov
Substitution
72’
F. Moufi
V. Pospelov
Yellow Card
73’
Yordy Reyna
Goal
74’
C. Offor
0
:
2
Yellow Card
77’
Nikolay Titkov
Substitution
77’
I. Timoshenko
A. Maksimenko
Yellow Card
78’
Artem Meshchaninov
Substitution
78’
A. Gharibyan
S. Bessmertniy
Substitution
78’
A. Gharibyan
I. Pozo
Substitution
83’
M. Krizan
M. Nade
Goal
85’
M. Petrov
0
:
3
Substitution
88’
K. Shiltsov
N. Titkov
Match Completed
0
:
3

Injuries and suspensions

Rodina Moskva
No injured or suspended players
Baltika
AF
A. Filin
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
MS
M. Shnaptsev
Inactive
Definitely will not play
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Rodina Moskva
7 G. Onugkha
9 A. Maksimenko
10 Y. Reyna
80 S. Bessmertniy
6 R. Fishchenko
8 I. Pozo
3 L. Goglichidze
75 M. Nade
26 A. Meshchaninov
88 A. Sokol
13 S. Volkov
Formation · 5-4-1 Baltika
91 B. Gil
11 N. Titkov
8 A. Mendel
5 A. Mourid
42 V. Pospelov
4 N. Gassama
21 E. Anderson
24 L. Mouyokolo
2 S. Varatynov
22 M. Beveev
1 E. Latyshonok

Starting lineups

#
Player
13
~
~
~
+1
88
~
~
~
~
26
~
1
~
+1
3
~
~
~
+2
75
~
~
~
+1
80
~
~
~
+2
6
~
~
~
+1
8
~
1
~
+4
9
~
~
~
+2
10
~
1
~
+3
7
~
~
~
+4
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
+2
21
~
~
~
+2
22
~
1
~
+2
4
~
~
~
+1
5
~
1
1
+4
8
~
1
~
+2
42
~
~
~
+3
11
~
1
~
+4
91
~
~
~
+3

Substitutions

#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
72
~
~
~
~
49
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+1
38
~
~
~
~
77
~
~
~
+1
55
~
~
~
~
99
~
~
~
~
95
~
~
~
~
#
Player
44
~
~
~
~
81
~
~
~
~
68
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
+3
7
~
~
~
+1
26
~
~
~
+1
10
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
1
+4
73
~
1
1
+5

These are the odds for the match Rodina Moskva - Baltika 30.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 3
6
2nd half 5
10
Result 8
16
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Rodina Moskva
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Baltika
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Rodina Moskva - Baltika 30.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Rodina Moskva and Baltika before the match 30.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Rodina Moskva - Baltika 30.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works