Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
Zenit or draw
Most likely outcome — Zenit (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Fakel
0%
X
Draw
50%
2
Zenit
50%
Totals prediction
Total · Fakel
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Zenit
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Zenit
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Fakel
12%
Zenit
88%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.3
2.45
Avg. corners per match
10.33
9.56
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.38
5.1
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Fakel: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no more than 3 goals is scored
↑Fakel: In 7 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 1
↓Fakel: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 6
↓Fakel: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Fakel 29.08.2026 will host the away team - Zenit. This match will be officiated by Anton Frolov, Russia. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. It has already been 3 season the teams face each other.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.69
Average CLV
+1.81%
Agreement
100%
Both teams to score: No
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -19.5%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
0% from average (1.15)
0
1
53% from average (1.9)
Expected goals (xG)
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Possession
59% from average (51)
30%
70%
123% from average (56.78)
Corners
30% from average (6.67)
2
6
117% from average (5.11)
Yellow cards
145% from average (1.38)
2
1
43% from average (2.3)
90% from average (3.33)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
148% from average (12.2)
18
6
52% from average (11.44)
83% from average (29)
Shots on goal
74% from average (10.8)
8
21
159% from average (13.22)
Shots on target
75% from average (2.67)
2
5
105% from average (4.78)
Shots off target
104% from average (4.83)
5
6
139% from average (4.33)
Blocked shots
23% from average (4.4)
1
10
243% from average (4.11)
Shots from inside the box
33% from average (6)
2
16
187% from average (8.56)
Shots from outside the box
125% from average (4.8)
6
5
107% from average (4.67)
Passes
58% from average (400.6)
234
533
114% from average (468.78)
Successful passes
52% from average (301.6)
156
455
114% from average (397.44)
Pass accuracy
90% from average (74.6)
67%
85%
101% from average (84.22)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.8)
0
0
0% from average (1.33)
Saves
167% from average (2.4)
4
3
108% from average (2.78)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
20’
Butta Magomedov
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
48’
A. Kovalev
I. Alshin
Substitution
65’
A. Sobolev
Felipe Augusto
Substitution
65’
Vyacheslav Karavaev
Jhon Jhon
Substitution
65’
Kevin Andrade
Roman Vega
Substitution
65’
K. Andrade
R. Vega
Substitution
65’
V. Karavaev
Jhon Jhon
Substitution
65’
V. Karavaev
Jhon Jhon
Substitution
65’
A. Sobolev
Felipe Augusto
Substitution
66’
Vyacheslav Karavaev
Jhon Jhon
Substitution
66’
Kevin Andrade
Roman Vega
Substitution
67’
Maksim Turishchev
Axel Gnapi
Substitution
67’
V. Yakimov
A. Sutormin
Substitution
67’
M. Turishchev
A. Gnapi Dable
Substitution
67’
V. Yakimov
A. Sutormin
Substitution
67’
M. Turishchev
A. Gnapi Dable
Substitution
78’
A. Erokhin
W. Barrios
Yellow Card
82’
Igor Diveev
Red Card
85’
Igor Diveev
Yellow Card
85’
Nikolay Giorgobiani
Substitution
86’
I. Yurganov
B. Magomedov
Substitution
86’
A. Bagamaev
D. Todorovic
Substitution
86’
A. Bagamaev
D. Todorovic
Substitution
86’
I. Yurganov
B. Magomedov
Yellow Card
87’
Nikolay Giorgobiani
Penalty
90’
A. Sobolev
0
:1
Penalty
90’+2’
A. Sobolev
0
:2
Substitution
90’+4’
Nino
Luiz Henrique
Match Completed
0
:1
Injuries and suspensions
Fakel
SM
Definitely will not play
S. Magkeev
Muscle Injury
MT
Definitely will not play
M. Turishchev
Injury
Zenit
W
Definitely will not play
Wendel
Inactive
MG
Definitely will not play
M. Glushenkov
Red Card
Formation · 3-4-3
Fakel
11
A. Sutormin
9
A. Gnapi Dable
99
N. Giorgobiani
10
I. Alshin
52
R. Netfullin
97
B. Magomedov
55
D. Todorovic
44
Y. Zhuravlev
53
M. Bardachev
5
A. Gabaraev
1
D. Frolkin
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Zenit
9
Felipe Augusto
14
Jhon Jhon
61
D. Kondakov
11
Luiz Henrique
5
W. Barrios
93
A. Karpukas
66
R. Vega
28
N. Alip
78
I. Diveev
31
Gustavo Mantuan
16
D. Adamov
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
22
H. El Mhassani
~
~
~
~
#
Player
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
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Attack
Possession and style
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
6
12
2nd half
2
9
Result
8
21
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Fakel
Across all matches
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Zenit
Across all matches
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Fakel - Zenit 29.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
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Bet365
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Fakel and Zenit before the match 29.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Fakel - Zenit 29.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works