Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Liège or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Liège
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Dender
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Liège
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Dender
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Liège or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Liège
100%
Dender
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.3
2.75
Avg. corners per match
9.88
11.54
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.13
3.62
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Liège: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 7 goals is scored
↓Liège: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Liège: Judging by recent matches, Liège" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
↓Liège: In 20 matches in a row "Liège" scores no more than 7 goals
Brief Overview
Liège - Dender, the match will take place 29.08.2026. The referee will be R. Calluy. Liège and Dender do not play each other in cups, only within leagues. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 3 last seasons.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.52
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -18.4%
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -8.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
51% from average (1.95)
1
2
235% from average (0.85)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.3)
0
0
0% from average (1.12)
Possession
125% from average (46.38)
58%
42%
85% from average (49.46)
Corners
78% from average (5.13)
4
9
189% from average (4.77)
Yellow cards
50% from average (2)
1
2
84% from average (2.38)
70% from average (4.31)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
90% from average (12.25)
11
19
160% from average (11.85)
106% from average (28.29)
Shots on goal
70% from average (11.38)
8
15
130% from average (11.54)
Shots on target
76% from average (2.63)
2
7
190% from average (3.69)
Shots off target
63% from average (4.75)
3
4
78% from average (5.15)
Blocked shots
75% from average (4)
3
4
144% from average (2.77)
Shots from inside the box
76% from average (7.88)
6
9
114% from average (7.92)
Shots from outside the box
57% from average (3.5)
2
6
166% from average (3.62)
Passes
134% from average (411.25)
550
373
96% from average (388.23)
Successful passes
143% from average (328.63)
470
295
99% from average (297.08)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (2.75)
0
0
0% from average (2.38)
Saves
129% from average (3.88)
5
1
30% from average (3.38)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
21’
M. Viltard
Yellow Card
37’
R. Wilmots
Penalty
43’
Simon Paulet
1
:0
Penalty
43’
S. Paulet
2
:0
Goal
45’
M. Viltard
2
:1
Substitution
45’
Adham Refai
Ousmane Camara
Substitution
45’
Kevin Shkurti
Rambok Ryan Wesley Ogam
Goal
45’+2’
M. Viltard
2
:2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:2
Substitution
46’
A. Refai
O. Camara
Substitution
46’
K. Shkurti
R. Ogam
Substitution
46’
J. A. Andre
O. Ravet
Substitution
46’
J. A. Andre
O. Ravet
Substitution
46’
A. Refai
O. Camara
Substitution
67’
D. Toshevski
A. Daali
Substitution
67’
A. Nhaili
K. Koton
Substitution
67’
D. Toshevski
A. Daali
Substitution
67’
A. Nhaili
K. Koton
Yellow Card
74’
I. Breugelmans
Substitution
79’
G. Vandeplas
E. Mballa Amougou
Substitution
79’
G. Vandeplas
E. Mballa Amougou
Penalty
84’
M. Viltard
2
:3
Substitution
88’
Nacim Dendani
Valentin Guillaume
Substitution
88’
Arnold Qevani
Simon Paulet
Substitution
88’
A. Qevani
S. Paulet
Substitution
88’
N. Dendani
V. Guillaume
Substitution
88’
A. Qevani
S. Paulet
Substitution
88’
N. Dendani
V. Guillaume
Substitution
88’
A. Qevani
S. Paulet
Match Completed
1
:2
Formation
Liège
18
S. Paulet
Formation
Dender
6
B. Kerf
Starting lineups
#
Player
18
S. Paulet
~
~
~
~
#
Player
6
B. De Kerf
~
~
~
~
Substitutions
#
Player
23
S. Reynaerts
~
~
~
~
17
A. N'Salambi
~
~
~
~
19
A. Refai
~
~
~
~
#
Player
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
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Number of events
5
10
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
5
8
2nd half
3
7
Result
8
15
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Liège
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Dender
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Liège - Dender 29.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Liège and Dender before the match 29.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Liège - Dender 29.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works