Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Mielec 29.08.2026 16:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Stal Mielec or draw
Most likely outcome — Stal Mielec (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Pogoń Siedlce
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Stal Mielec
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Pogoń Siedlce
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Stal Mielec
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Stal Mielec
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Pogoń Siedlce
70%
Stal Mielec
30%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.25
3.75
Avg. corners per match
0
0
Avg. yellow cards per match
0
0
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Pogoń Siedlce: In 8 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Pogoń Siedlce: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Pogoń Siedlce: Judging by recent matches, Pogoń Siedlce" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
↓Pogoń Siedlce: In 20 matches in a row "Pogoń Siedlce" scores no more than 2 goals
Brief Overview
Stal Mielec will play away against Pogoń Siedlce 29.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is P. Pazdecki. I Liga - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. The teams don't have many head-to-head meetings yet - they have only played each other for one season.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.34
Average CLV
-0.43%
Agreement
100%
Match result: 2
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +1%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
16’
E. Dzieciol
Yellow Card
22’
P. Szur
Goal
30’
P. Szur
1
:0
Goal
35’
S. Kobusinski
2
:0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:0
Substitution
46’
S. Musiolik
K. Koscielny
Substitution
46’
patryk prajsnar
tymoteusz gmur
Substitution
46’
patryk prajsnar
tymoteusz gmur
Substitution
46’
S. Musiolik
K. Koscielny
Substitution
46’
P. Prajsnar
T. Gmur
Substitution
46’
P. Prajsnar
T. Gmur
Substitution
69’
M. Domanski
M. Cebula
Substitution
69’
S. Oure
K. Cybulski
Substitution
69’
Hubert Matynia
Paweł Kruszelnicki
Substitution
69’
H. Matynia
P. Kruszelnicki
Substitution
69’
M. Domanski
M. Cebula
Substitution
69’
S. Oure
K. Cybulski
Substitution
69’
H. Matynia
P. Kruszelnicki
Substitution
69’
M. Marzec
C. Demianiuk
Substitution
69’
M. Marzec
C. Demianiuk
Yellow Card
73’
B. Kukulowicz
Substitution
77’
N. Zielonka
M. Rosolek
Substitution
77’
M. Kizyma
E. Dzieciol
Substitution
77’
M. Kizyma
E. Dzieciol
Substitution
77’
N. Zielonka
M. Rosolek
Substitution
86’
P. Klimek
S. Kobusinski
Substitution
86’
R. Makowski
D. Szuprytowski
Substitution
86’
R. Makowski
D. Szuprytowski
Substitution
86’
P. Klimek
S. Kobusinski
Match Completed
2
:0
Formation · 4-4-1-1
Pogoń Siedlce
9
M. Rosolek
7
D. Szuprytowski
56
C. Demianiuk
31
E. Dzieciol
16
B. Poczobut
21
S. Kobusinski
2
K. Mis
4
P. Szur
26
F. Kendzia
29
L. Trepka
57
J. Lemanowicz
Formation · 4-4-1-1
Stal Mielec
90
P. Kruszelnicki
19
T. Gmur
7
M. Cebula
78
K. Cybulski
14
K. Koscielny
32
F. Gerbowski
23
K. Getinger
44
I. Puerto
94
B. Kwiecien
2
B. Kukulowicz
99
M. Gostomski
Starting lineups
#
Player
57
J. Lemanowicz
~
~
~
~
26
F. Kendzia
~
~
~
~
31
E. Dzieciol
~
~
~
~
7
D. Szuprytowski
~
~
~
~
56
C. Demianiuk
~
~
~
~
#
Player
90
P. Kruszelnicki
~
~
~
~
Substitutions
#
Player
22
P. Klimek
~
~
~
~
47
B. Swierczewski
~
~
~
~
72
S. Szczytniewski
~
~
~
~
1
J. Tomkiel
~
~
~
~
#
Player
47
S. Oure
~
~
~
~
29
P. Tupaj
~
~
~
~
38
M. Wyparlo
~
~
~
~
41
P. Chrapusta
~
~
~
~
88
P. Prajsnar
~
~
~
~
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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Pogoń Siedlce
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Stal Mielec
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Mielec 29.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Yellow cards
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
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All outcomes · any probability · any odds
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Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Pogoń Siedlce and Stal Mielec before the match 29.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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10
15
20
50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Mielec 29.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works