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ST Mirren — Celtic
Premiership

ST Mirren - Celtic 05.09.2026 22:00: score, statistics, forecasts

ST Mirren ST Mirren
W
W
L
D
W
Finished
1
2
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1st half 1:0
2nd half 0:2
05.09.2026 22:00
Celtic Celtic
W
W
L
W
W
Premiership
2026 | Scotland
The SMISA Stadium
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Celtic
Most likely outcome — Celtic (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
ST Mirren
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Celtic
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · ST Mirren
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Celtic
Under 4.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : Celtic and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
ST Mirren
22%
Celtic
78%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.2 3.8
Avg. corners per match 11.1 12
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.67 3
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
ST Mirren will face Celtic 05.09.2026 as the home team. We haven't received information about the match referee yet. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: Premiership, FA Cup, League Cup. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 6 last seasons. According to bookmakers, the win will go to Celtic - the odds for it are just 1.41.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.98
Average CLV
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Over 10.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI +40.4%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center ST Mirren - Celtic 05.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
57% from average (1.75)
1
2
82% from average (2.45)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.14)
0
0
0% from average (2.85)
Possession
75% from average (53)
40%
60%
94% from average (63.55)
Corners
100% from average (6)
6
10
129% from average (7.73)
Yellow cards
229% from average (1.75)
4
1
79% from average (1.27)
121% from average (4.13)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
56% from average (10.7)
6
15
147% from average (10.18)
85% from average (24.75)
Shots on goal
137% from average (13.89)
19
23
119% from average (19.3)
Shots on target
128% from average (4.7)
6
8
111% from average (7.18)
Shots off target
133% from average (4.5)
6
10
167% from average (6)
Blocked shots
167% from average (4.2)
7
5
100% from average (5)
Shots from inside the box
91% from average (8.78)
8
20
172% from average (11.6)
Shots from outside the box
215% from average (5.11)
11
3
39% from average (7.7)
Passes
75% from average (472.67)
354
528
85% from average (624.5)
Successful passes
70% from average (387)
269
447
82% from average (544.1)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.33)
0
2
182% from average (1.1)
Saves
250% from average (2)
5
5
161% from average (3.1)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
8’
Colby Donovan
Penalty
22’
Nikolas Agrafiotis
1
:
0
Goal
29’
Camilo Duran
1
:
1
Yellow Card
37’
Calvin Ramsay
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
1
Goal
51’
Liam Scales
1
:
2
Substitution
62’
Samuel Antonio Ramos Linares
Fraser Taylor
Goal
68’
Yang Hyun-Jun
1
:
3
Substitution
68’
Eseosa Sule
Nikolas Agrafiotis
Substitution
69’
Luke Thomas
Chris Mochrie
Substitution
72’
James Forrest
Haissem Hassan
Substitution
73’
Oliver Sorensen
Mika Baur
Substitution
73’
Sebastian Tounekti
Yang Hyun-Jun
Substitution
83’
Shumaira Mheuka
Camilo Duran
Substitution
83’
Jake Young
Ryan Carr
Substitution
87’
Dane Murray
Colby Donovan
Goal
90’+3’
Shumaira Mheuka
1
:
4
Yellow Card
90’+6’
Eseosa Sule
Yellow Card
90’+7’
Paul Nsio
Yellow Card
90’+7’
Samuel Antonio Ramos Linares
Match Completed
1
:
2
Formation · 4-2-3-1 ST Mirren
25 N. Agrafiotis
19 Ismeal Kabia
30 F. Taylor
23 C. Mochrie
48 P. Nsio
8 R. Carr
3 D. John
53 Henry Fieldson
13 A. Gogić
47 C. Ramsay
1 J. Chapman
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Celtic
11 C. Durán
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
8 B. Nygren
23 H. Hassan
22 M. Baur
42 C. McGregor
5 L. Scales
6 A. Trusty
20 C. Carter-Vickers
51 Colby Donovan
1 V. Sinisalo

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+2
47
~
1
~
+2
13
~
~
~
+2
53
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
+1
48
~
1
~
+3
8
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
+3
30
~
~
~
+2
19
~
~
~
+3
25
~
~
1
+5
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
51
~
1
~
+1
20
~
~
~
+2
6
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
1
+4
42
~
~
~
+2
22
~
~
~
+2
23
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+3
13
~
~
1
+3
11
~
~
~
+6

Substitutions

#
Player
16
~
~
~
+3
9
~
1
~
+2
2
~
~
~
~
10
~
1
~
+2
31
~
~
~
~
37
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
+2
24
~
~
~
~
#
Player
35
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+2
18
~
~
~
~
47
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
+3
3
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
~
49
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match ST Mirren - Celtic 05.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 8
12
2nd half 11
11
Result 19
23
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
ST Mirren
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Celtic
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings ST Mirren and Celtic before the match 05.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match ST Mirren - Celtic 05.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works