Aberdeen - Kilmarnock 05.09.2026 17:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Aberdeen or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Aberdeen
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Kilmarnock
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Aberdeen
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Kilmarnock
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Aberdeen or draw and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Aberdeen
58%
Kilmarnock
42%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.95
3.1
Avg. corners per match
11.33
8.86
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.5
3.21
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Aberdeen: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Aberdeen: In 6 matches in a row, a total of no more than 3 goals is scored
↓Aberdeen: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 9
↓Aberdeen: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
05.09.2026 Aberdeen plays away against Kilmarnock. Unfortunately, there is no data yet on who will referee this match. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: Premiership, FA Cup, League Cup. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026. The most likely outcome is a win for Aberdeen, judging by the odds of 1.68.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.85
Average CLV
—
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -8.1%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
0% from average (1.5)
0
0
0% from average (1.65)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (0.85)
0
0
0% from average (1.07)
Possession
111% from average (49.67)
55%
45%
98% from average (45.77)
Corners
113% from average (5.33)
6
7
166% from average (4.21)
Yellow cards
250% from average (2)
5
1
58% from average (1.71)
133% from average (4.5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
99% from average (13.11)
13
13
106% from average (12.29)
98% from average (26.5)
Shots on goal
97% from average (10.33)
10
11
97% from average (11.38)
Shots on target
69% from average (2.89)
2
4
102% from average (3.93)
Shots off target
102% from average (4.89)
5
5
130% from average (3.86)
Blocked shots
104% from average (2.88)
3
2
58% from average (3.43)
Shots from inside the box
102% from average (5.89)
6
8
109% from average (7.31)
Shots from outside the box
90% from average (4.44)
4
3
74% from average (4.08)
Passes
131% from average (356.88)
468
381
93% from average (409.25)
Successful passes
149% from average (261.88)
391
297
91% from average (325)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.89)
0
0
0% from average (1.71)
Saves
124% from average (3.22)
4
2
63% from average (3.15)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
36’
Christopher Cadden
Yellow Card
38’
Aaron Tshibola
Yellow Card
43’
Tom Lowery
Substitution
45’
Mats Knoester
Tony Yogane
Substitution
45’
Ayoub Mouloua
M. Ntelo
Substitution
45’
Toyosi Olusanya
Kevin Nisbet
Substitution
45’
Toyosi Olusanya
Kevin Nisbet
Substitution
45’
Mats Knoester
Tony Yogane
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
52’
N. McCann
Yellow Card
52’
N. McCann
Yellow Card
52’
Ayoub Mouloua
Yellow Card
52’
Ayoub Mouloua
Yellow Card
62’
Mats Knoester
Substitution
62’
Rory McKenzie
Djenairo Daniels
Substitution
62’
Findlay Marshall
Lewis Smith
Substitution
74’
Gavin Molloy
Nesta Guinness-Walker
Yellow Card
75’
Lewis Mayo
Substitution
76’
Tyreece John-Jules
Erik Ring
Substitution
84’
Mark O'Hara
Greg Kiltie
Yellow Card
88’
Stuart Armstrong
Match Completed
0
:0
Formation · 4-1-3-2
Aberdeen
15
K. Nisbet
31
M. Ntelo
7
Tony Yogane
17
S. Armstrong
11
L. Smith
32
A. Aremu
24
N. Guinness-Walker
26
D. Happe
23
L. Mayo
28
C. Cadden
27
M. Müller
Formation · 4-1-3-2
Kilmarnock
9
J. Hugill
29
D. Daniels
8
E. Ring
18
T. Lowery
11
G. Kiltie
36
A. Tshibola
21
M. Schjønning-Larsen
14
G. Stanger
4
C. McCarthy
2
J. Brandon
1
M. Stryjek
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Aberdeen - Kilmarnock 05.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
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Attack
Possession and style
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
3
6
2nd half
7
5
Result
10
11
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Aberdeen
Across all matches
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Kilmarnock
Across all matches
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All outcomes
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Loss
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
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Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Aberdeen and Kilmarnock before the match 05.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
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Number of events
5
10
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Aberdeen - Kilmarnock 05.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works