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JEF United Chiba — Fagiano Okayama
J1 League

JEF United Chiba - Fagiano Okayama 02.09.2026 13:00: score, statistics, forecasts

JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
Position: 20 (-10)
L
L
L
W
L
Finished
1
2
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1st half 1:1
2nd half 0:1
02.09.2026 13:00
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
Position: 10 (+10)
L
W
D
W
L
J1 League
Regular Season - 5 | 2027 | Japan
Fukuda Denshi Arena
xG 0.77 1.33
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Fagiano Okayama or draw
Most likely outcome — Fagiano Okayama (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
JEF United Chiba
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Fagiano Okayama
45%
Totals prediction
Total · JEF United Chiba
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Fagiano Okayama
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Fagiano Okayama
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
JEF United Chiba
0%
Fagiano Okayama
100%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.05 2.55
Avg. corners per match 9.75 9.42
Avg. yellow cards per match 2.71 2.73
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
JEF United Chiba will face Fagiano Okayama 02.09.2026 as the home team. The referee appointed for this match is Yusuke Ohashi, Japan. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. It has already been 5 seasons the teams face each other. According to bookmakers, the win will go to Fagiano Okayama - the odds for it are just 1.91.
Author consensus verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
2.41
Average CLV
+3.83%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Over 10.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI +40.4%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI -9.9%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center JEF United Chiba - Fagiano Okayama 02.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
105% from average (0.95)
1
2
148% from average (1.35)
Expected goals (xG)
57% from average (1.34)
0.77
1.33
84% from average (1.59)
Possession
103% from average (45.63)
47%
53%
124% from average (42.75)
Corners
102% from average (3.94)
4
5
94% from average (5.33)
Yellow cards
117% from average (1.71)
2
1
79% from average (1.27)
143% from average (2.1)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
73% from average (12.38)
9
13
102% from average (12.75)
103% from average (21.27)
Shots on goal
67% from average (10.5)
7
18
123% from average (14.58)
Shots on target
30% from average (3.38)
1
4
98% from average (4.08)
Shots off target
86% from average (4.63)
4
5
71% from average (7.08)
Blocked shots
78% from average (2.56)
2
9
263% from average (3.42)
Shots from inside the box
76% from average (6.56)
5
12
133% from average (9)
Shots from outside the box
51% from average (3.94)
2
6
108% from average (5.58)
Passes
101% from average (397.44)
403
450
139% from average (323.58)
Successful passes
90% from average (316.44)
286
353
153% from average (231.42)
Pass accuracy
90% from average (79)
71%
78%
110% from average (71)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (2.13)
0
0
0% from average (2.42)
Saves
60% from average (3.31)
2
0
0% from average (1.83)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
31’
Leo Gaucho
0
:
1
Substitution
36’
T. Taguchi
H. Kida
Goal
41’
K. Tanaka
1
:
1
Yellow Card
45’
Takumi Tsukui
Substitution
45’
Ataru Esaka
Na Sang-Ho
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
1
Substitution
46’
A. Esaka
Na Sang-Ho
Substitution
64’
Kamiya Yuta
K. Kawano
Substitution
64’
Lucao
Leo Gaucho
Substitution
64’
Lucas Marcos Meireles
Léo Gaúcho
Substitution
64’
Kamiya Yuta
Kota Kawano
Substitution
70’
Naoki Tsubaki
Takumi Tsukui
Substitution
70’
Koki Yonekura
Ken Yamura
Substitution
70’
T. Matsumura
Erison
Substitution
70’
K. Yonekura
K. Yamura
Substitution
70’
N. Tsubaki
T. Tsukui
Yellow Card
77’
Koki Yonekura
Substitution
81’
K. Shirai
H. Motoyama
Substitution
84’
T. Yasui
K. Tanaka
Substitution
87’
N. Browne
T. Yamane
Goal
90’
Kamiya Yuta
1
:
2
Yellow Card
90’+3’
Eiji Miyamoto
Goal
90’+4’
Kamiya Yuta
1
:
3
Match Completed
1
:
2
Formation · 3-4-2-1 JEF United Chiba
99 Erison
29 K. Yamura
20 D. Ishikawa
8 T. Tsukui
25 Matheus Indio
55 H. Kida
7 K. Tanaka
28 T. Kawano
66 D. Hall
22 T. Iida
19 J. Suarez
Formation · 3-4-2-1 Fagiano Okayama
9 Leo Gaucho
10 Na Sang-Ho
20 K. Kawano
88 T. Yamane
80 Oberdan
41 E. Miyamoto
26 H. Motoyama
6 H. Omori
48 Y. Tatsuta
44 S. Mori
1 L. Moser

Starting lineups

#
Player
19
~
~
~
+1
22
~
~
~
+1
28
~
~
~
+1
66
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
1
+2
25
~
~
~
+2
55
~
~
~
+2
8
~
1
~
+2
20
~
~
~
+3
29
~
~
~
+1
99
~
~
~
+3
#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
44
~
~
~
~
48
~
~
~
+2
6
~
~
~
+2
26
~
~
~
+2
41
~
1
~
+2
80
~
~
~
+3
88
~
~
~
+1
20
~
~
~
+1
10
~
~
~
+2
9
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

#
Player
39
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
+2
18
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
+2
14
~
~
~
~
41
~
~
~
~
11
~
1
~
+1
#
Player
18
~
~
~
~
51
~
~
~
+1
99
~
~
~
+4
77
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
1
+2
24
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+2
79
~
~
~
+1
5
~
~
~
~
99
~
~
~
+3

These are the odds for the match JEF United Chiba - Fagiano Okayama 02.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 4
7
2nd half 3
11
Result 7
18
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
JEF United Chiba
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Fagiano Okayama
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics JEF United Chiba - Fagiano Okayama 02.09.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings JEF United Chiba and Fagiano Okayama before the match 02.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match JEF United Chiba - Fagiano Okayama 02.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works