Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
FC Lugano or draw
Most likely outcome — FC Lugano (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
FC Sion
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
FC Lugano
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · FC Sion
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · FC Lugano
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or FC Lugano and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
FC Sion
41%
FC Lugano
59%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
4.45
3.4
Avg. corners per match
9.08
9.5
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.5
3.78
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑FC Sion: In 9 matches in a row, a total of no less than 3 goals is scored
↓FC Sion: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 8 goals is scored
↓FC Sion: In 17 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 6
↓FC Sion: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
FC Sion - FC Lugano, the match will take place 30.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Sven Wolfensberger, Switzerland. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by FC Sion the odds are just 2.19.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.55
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -9.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
33% from average (3.05)
1
2
77% from average (2.6)
Expected goals (xG)
99% from average (1.83)
1.82
0.67
30% from average (2.23)
Possession
113% from average (51.42)
58%
42%
75% from average (56.33)
Corners
148% from average (5.42)
8
4
69% from average (5.83)
Yellow cards
0% from average (1.75)
0
3
180% from average (1.67)
62% from average (4.83)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
97% from average (9.25)
9
22
173% from average (12.75)
106% from average (29.17)
Shots on goal
120% from average (15)
18
7
41% from average (17.17)
Shots on target
103% from average (5.83)
6
4
59% from average (6.75)
Shots off target
90% from average (5.58)
5
1
14% from average (6.92)
Blocked shots
196% from average (3.58)
7
2
57% from average (3.5)
Shots from inside the box
126% from average (10.33)
13
7
60% from average (11.75)
Shots from outside the box
107% from average (4.67)
5
0
0% from average (5.42)
Passes
118% from average (453.17)
535
390
79% from average (493.92)
Successful passes
118% from average (385.08)
454
332
77% from average (430)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (84.83)
85%
85%
98% from average (86.5)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
85% from average (1.18)
1
1
53% from average (1.9)
Saves
63% from average (3.17)
2
4
137% from average (2.91)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
3’
D. Moncada
0
:1
Yellow Card
28’
Mattia Zanotti
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:1
Substitution
46’
R. Steffen
D. Moncada
Substitution
46’
U. Bislimi
D. Dos Santos
Substitution
46’
U. Bislimi
D. Dos Santos
Substitution
46’
R. Steffen
D. Moncada
Goal
55’
W. Boteli
1
:1
Substitution
68’
J. Lukembila
F. Sylla
Substitution
69’
R. Nivokazi
D. Rrudhani
Substitution
75’
B. D. Castro Espinosa
E. Pihlstrom
Substitution
75’
B. Karimov
M. Zanotti
Substitution
75’
B. Karimov
M. Zanotti
Substitution
75’
B. D. Castro Espinosa
E. Pihlstrom
Substitution
77’
L. Chipperfield
W. Boteli
Substitution
77’
B. Kololli
T. Berdayes
Substitution
77’
B. Kololli
T. Berdayes
Substitution
77’
L. Chipperfield
W. Boteli
Substitution
78’
D. Kelvin
L. Mai
Goal
79’
B. D. Castro Espinosa
1
:2
Yellow Card
87’
Uran Bislimi
Yellow Card
90’+1’
Bekhruz Karimov
Match Completed
1
:2
Formation · 4-1-4-1
FC Sion
13
W. Boteli
77
D. Rrudhani
8
Baltazar
37
F. Sylla
29
T. Berdayes
88
A. Kabacalman
6
Marquinhos Cipriano
17
J. Kronig
5
N. Sow
14
N. Lavanchy
1
A. Racioppi
Formation · 3-1-4-2
FC Lugano
24
E. Pihlstrom
30
D. Moncada
21
Y. Cimignani
27
D. Dos Santos
14
A. Kendouci
46
M. Zanotti
8
A. Grgic
18
J. Bichsel
17
L. Mai
6
A. Papadopoulos
16
D. von Ballmoos
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match FC Sion - FC Lugano 30.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
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Goals
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Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Number of events
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
9
3
2nd half
9
4
Result
18
7
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
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Number of events
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FC Sion
Across all matches
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All outcomes
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FC Lugano
Across all matches
Home only
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All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics FC Sion - FC Lugano 30.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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All available leagues
Number of events
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Bet365
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings FC Sion and FC Lugano before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match FC Sion - FC Lugano 30.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works