Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
Lille
Most likely outcome — Lille (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Toulouse
0%
X
Draw
50%
2
Lille
50%
Totals prediction
Total · Toulouse
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Lille
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : Lille
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Toulouse
0%
Lille
100%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.05
2.6
Avg. corners per match
8.8
8.33
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.93
4.5
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Toulouse: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓Toulouse: In 9 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Toulouse: In 18 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 5
↓Toulouse: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Toulouse - Lille, match from 03.09.2026. The referee appointed for this match is M. Vernice. Ligue 1 - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 4 last seasons. Odds 1.95 on a win Lille indicates that the away team should play stronger than the home team.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
3 picks from 3 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.79
Average CLV
+2.7%
Agreement
33%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI -8.1%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI +7.7%
Which team has more corners: 1
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI +2.3%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
0% from average (1.25)
0
1
61% from average (1.65)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.35)
0
0
0% from average (1.32)
Possession
120% from average (44)
53%
47%
89% from average (52.75)
Corners
155% from average (3.87)
6
2
48% from average (4.17)
Yellow cards
44% from average (2.29)
1
0
0% from average (2.5)
20% from average (4.93)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
123% from average (13)
16
9
90% from average (10)
93% from average (27)
Shots on goal
192% from average (12.47)
24
10
91% from average (11)
Shots on target
254% from average (3.93)
10
6
133% from average (4.5)
Shots off target
209% from average (5.27)
11
2
54% from average (3.67)
Blocked shots
92% from average (3.27)
3
2
68% from average (2.92)
Shots from inside the box
189% from average (7.4)
14
6
78% from average (7.67)
Shots from outside the box
197% from average (5.07)
10
4
120% from average (3.33)
Passes
137% from average (376.47)
516
462
99% from average (468.92)
Successful passes
145% from average (312)
451
395
99% from average (400.42)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
190% from average (1.58)
3
0
0% from average (2.25)
Saves
167% from average (3)
5
9
539% from average (1.67)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
20’
Santiago Hidalgo
Substitution
45’
Dilane Bakwa
Osame Sahraoui
Substitution
45’
Romain Perraud
Calvin Verdonk
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
57’
Ayase Ueda
Olivier Giroud
Substitution
57’
Ngal'ayel Mukau
Ethan Mbappe
Substitution
57’
Julián Vignolo
Santiago Hidalgo
Substitution
58’
Ngal'ayel Mukau
Ethan Mbappe
Substitution
65’
Casper Tengstedt
Jacen Russell-Rowe
Substitution
66’
Ismaïl Diallo
Rafik Messali
Substitution
71’
Basar Onal
Nabil Bentaleb
Substitution
71’
Mathys Niflore
Guillaume Restes
Substitution
72’
Niklas Schmidt
Alexis Vossah
Goal
73’
Ayase Ueda
0
:1
Match Completed
0
:1
Injuries and suspensions
Toulouse
AD
Definitely will not play
A. Donnum
Personal Reasons
YG
Definitely will not play
Y. Gboho
Transfer negotiations
AF
Definitely will not play
A. Francis
Muscle Injury
NS
Definitely will not play
N. Sigur
Transfer negotiations
Lille
TN
Definitely will not play
T. Nianzou
Inactive
HI
Definitely will not play
H. Igamane
Knee Injury
LS
Definitely will not play
L. Srdanovic
Inactive
SD
Definitely will not play
S. Diaoune
Inactive
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Toulouse
13
J. Russell-Rowe
37
Y. Azizi
8
T. Jørgensen
9
S. Hidalgo
6
A. Vossah
23
C. Cásseres
12
C. Tapé
2
R. Nicolaisen
3
M. McKenzie
22
R. Messali
16
G. Restes
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Lille
9
O. Giroud
11
O. Sahraoui
10
H. Haraldsson
8
E. Mbappé
6
N. Bentaleb
21
B. André
24
C. Verdonk
4
Alexsandro Ribeiro
3
N. Ngoy
22
Tiago Santos
1
B. Özer
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Toulouse - Lille 03.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
16
6
2nd half
8
4
Result
24
10
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
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Toulouse
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Lille
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Toulouse - Lille 03.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Toulouse and Lille before the match 03.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Toulouse - Lille 03.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works