Lille - Paris Saint Germain 28.08.2026 21:45: score, statistics, forecasts
Lille
L
W
D
D
W
Paris Saint Germain
L
D
W
L
D
Ligue 1
Regular Season - 2 | 2026 | France
xG 1.27
1.44
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
35%
confidence
Main prediction
Lille or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Lille
35%
X
Draw
35%
2
Paris Saint Germain
30%
Totals prediction
Total · Lille
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Paris Saint Germain
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Lille or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Lille
0%
Paris Saint Germain
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.45
3.25
Avg. corners per match
9.25
9.6
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.58
3.07
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Lille: In 7 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓Lille: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 9 goals is scored
↓Lille: In 6 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 4
↓Lille: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Paris Saint Germain will play away against Lille 28.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is Eric Wattellier, France. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. It has already been 6 seasons the teams face each other.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.58
Average CLV
+3.95%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -8.1%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
125% from average (1.6)
2
2
95% from average (2.1)
Expected goals (xG)
97% from average (1.31)
1.27
1.44
83% from average (1.73)
Possession
50% from average (54.17)
27%
73%
117% from average (62.2)
Corners
0% from average (4.83)
0
5
85% from average (5.87)
Yellow cards
83% from average (2.42)
2
1
64% from average (1.57)
78% from average (3.86)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
108% from average (10.17)
11
7
76% from average (9.27)
81% from average (22.25)
Shots on goal
78% from average (11.58)
9
18
117% from average (15.4)
Shots on target
83% from average (4.83)
4
4
68% from average (5.87)
Shots off target
114% from average (3.5)
4
13
238% from average (5.47)
Blocked shots
30% from average (3.33)
1
1
24% from average (4.13)
Shots from inside the box
76% from average (7.92)
6
7
74% from average (9.47)
Shots from outside the box
82% from average (3.67)
3
11
185% from average (5.93)
Passes
62% from average (483.58)
298
808
128% from average (632.47)
Successful passes
61% from average (409.5)
250
735
130% from average (564.2)
Pass accuracy
99% from average (84.5)
84%
91%
104% from average (87.87)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
250% from average (2)
5
0
0% from average (1.93)
Saves
114% from average (1.75)
2
2
68% from average (2.93)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
21’
H. Haraldsson
1
:0
Yellow Card
39’
Fabián Ruiz
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Substitution
46’
K. Kvaratskhelia
D. Doue
Yellow Card
52’
Benjamin André
Substitution
61’
N. Mukau
B. Andre
Substitution
61’
G. Perrin
F. Correia
Substitution
63’
M. Godts
L. Beraldo
Substitution
68’
D. Bakwa
E. Mbappe
Substitution
72’
S. Mayulu
F. Torres
Substitution
72’
L. Digne
F. Ruiz
Substitution
72’
L. Digne
F. Ruiz
Substitution
72’
S. Mayulu
F. Torres
Substitution
78’
D. Fernandez
M. Akliouche
Substitution
80’
C. Verdonk
H. Haraldsson
Goal
84’
D. Bakwa
2
:0
Goal
90’
Vitinha
2
:1
Goal
90’
Marquinhos
2
:2
Goal
90’+1’
Vitinha
2
:3
Yellow Card
90’+4’
Romain Perraud
Goal
90’+5’
Marquinhos
2
:4
Match Completed
2
:2
Injuries and suspensions
Lille
TN
Definitely will not play
T. Nianzou
Injury
HI
Definitely will not play
H. Igamane
Knee Injury
MF
Definitely will not play
M. Fernandez-Pardo
Transfer negotiations
Paris Saint Germain
OD
Definitely will not play
O. Dembele
Rest
BB
Definitely will not play
B. Barcola
Inactive
NM
Definitely will not play
N. Mendes
Red Card
IM
Definitely will not play
I. Mbaye
Inactive
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Lille
9
O. Giroud
27
F. Correia
10
H. Haraldsson
8
E. Mbappe
6
N. Bentaleb
21
B. Andre
15
R. Perraud
4
Alexsandro
3
N. Ngoy
22
T. Santos
1
B. Ozer
Formation · 4-3-3
Paris Saint Germain
14
D. Doue
9
F. Torres
11
M. Akliouche
8
F. Ruiz
4
L. Beraldo
17
Vitinha
33
W. Zaire-Emery
51
W. Pacho
5
Marquinhos
2
A. Hakimi
39
M. Safonov
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
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9
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Lille - Paris Saint Germain 28.08.2026
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ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Lille and Paris Saint Germain before the match 28.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Lille - Paris Saint Germain 28.08.2026
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