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Rennes — Le Mans
Ligue 1

Rennes - Le Mans 30.08.2026 18:15: score, statistics, forecasts

Rennes Rennes
Position: 5 (+8)
D
L
L
L
D
Finished
3
2
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1st half 2:1
2nd half 1:1
30.08.2026 18:15
Le Mans Le Mans
Position: 13 (-8)
W
D
D
L
D
Ligue 1
Regular Season - 2 | 2026 | France
Roazhon Park
xG 3.12 3.06
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
33% confidence
Main prediction
-
Most likely outcome — Le Mans (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Rennes
33%
X
Draw
33%
2
Le Mans
33%
Combo bet
No predictions available
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Rennes
0%
Le Mans
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.65 2.95
Avg. corners per match 10.45 8.31
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.3 3.85
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Rennes - Le Mans, match from 30.08.2026. The referee will be Romain Lissorgue, France. It's doubly interesting to watch this game, since the teams have never played each other before. Over the past few years, the teams have not yet faced each other. The most likely outcome is a win for Rennes, judging by the odds of 1.42.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
2.75
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -13.1%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Rennes - Le Mans 30.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
146% from average (2.05)
3
2
111% from average (1.8)
Expected goals (xG)
217% from average (1.44)
3.12
3.06
443% from average (0.69)
Possession
117% from average (54.55)
64%
36%
68% from average (52.85)
Corners
149% from average (5.36)
8
6
120% from average (5)
Yellow cards
143% from average (2.1)
3
2
104% from average (1.92)
139% from average (3.6)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
122% from average (12.27)
15
15
85% from average (17.69)
132% from average (22.8)
Shots on goal
156% from average (14.09)
22
12
103% from average (11.69)
Shots on target
154% from average (5.18)
8
5
88% from average (5.69)
Shots off target
142% from average (5.64)
8
4
116% from average (3.46)
Blocked shots
183% from average (3.27)
6
3
115% from average (2.62)
Shots from inside the box
203% from average (8.36)
17
8
94% from average (8.54)
Shots from outside the box
87% from average (5.73)
5
4
127% from average (3.15)
Passes
103% from average (484.27)
501
282
70% from average (400.38)
Successful passes
104% from average (408)
424
195
62% from average (314.31)
Pass accuracy
102% from average (83.36)
85%
69%
89% from average (77.92)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
78% from average (2.55)
2
3
115% from average (2.62)
Saves
85% from average (3.55)
3
5
260% from average (1.92)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
5’
E. Lepaul
1
:
0
Goal
26’
V. Rongier
2
:
0
Goal
30’
L. Mafouta
2
:
1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:
1
Yellow Card
48’
Issa Soumaré
Penalty
53’
L. Mafouta
2
:
2
Penalty
54’
L. Mafouta
2
:
3
Substitution
60’
M. Camara
S. Szymanski
Substitution
60’
A. Nordin
I. Soumare
Substitution
60’
A. Nordin
I. Soumare
Substitution
60’
M. Camara
S. Szymanski
Substitution
60’
J. Vercruysse
L. Bretelle
Substitution
60’
J. Vercruysse
L. Bretelle
Substitution
60’
J. Vercruysse
L. Bretelle
Yellow Card
66’
Alexandre Lauray
Red Card
68’
Djibril Sidibé
Substitution
68’
D. Sidibe
L. Calodat
Substitution
68’
A. Rabillard
D. Gueye
Substitution
68’
A. Rabillard
D. Gueye
Substitution
68’
D. Sidibe
L. Calodat
Substitution
74’
L. Blas
V. Rongier
Substitution
74’
E. Mayenda
M. Tamari
Substitution
74’
E. Mayenda
M. Tamari
Substitution
74’
L. Blas
V. Rongier
Substitution
78’
M. Nagida
Q. Merlin
Substitution
79’
M. Nagida
Q. Merlin
Substitution
80’
E. Hatfout
N. Kocik
Substitution
81’
M. Robin
A. Bourabaa
Substitution
81’
E. Hatfout
N. Kocik
Substitution
81’
E. Hatfout
N. Kocik
Substitution
81’
M. Robin
A. Bourabaa
Penalty
90’
E. Lepaul
3
:
3
Penalty
90’+6’
E. Lepaul
4
:
3
Yellow Card
90’+6’
E. Lepaul
Yellow Card
90’+6’
Esteban Lepaul
Yellow Card
90’+12’
A. Ait Boudlal
Yellow Card
90’+12’
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Yellow Card
90’+12’
Harold Voyer
Yellow Card
90’+13’
H. Voyer
Match Completed
3
:
2

Injuries and suspensions

Rennes
BS
B. Samba
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
Le Mans
SY
S. Yohou
Thigh Injury
Definitely will not play
YL
Y. Larouci
Concussion
Definitely will not play
EC
E. Colas
Inactive
Definitely will not play
RB
R. Bamba
Loan agreement
Definitely will not play
Formation · 4-3-3 Rennes
90 I. Soumare
9 E. Lepaul
11 M. Tamari
28 A. Thomasson
21 V. Rongier
17 S. Szymanski
26 Q. Merlin
48 A. Ait Boudlal
4 C. Cresswell
95 P. Frankowski
16 N. Lemaitre
Formation · 3-1-5-2 Le Mans
14 L. Mafouta
25 D. Gueye
22 L. Calodat
11 A. Bourabaa
29 Lucas Bretelle
29 L. Bretelle
18 L. Buades
8 A. Lauray
5 H. Voyer
21 T. Eyoum
15 N. Boisse
98 N. Kocik

Starting lineups

#
Player
16
~
~
~
+1
95
~
~
~
+2
48
~
1
~
+1
4
~
~
~
+2
26
~
~
~
+2
17
~
~
~
+1
21
~
~
1
+3
28
~
~
~
+3
11
~
~
~
+5
9
~
1
2
+6
90
~
1
~
+4
#
Player
98
~
~
~
+1
21
~
~
~
+1
15
~
~
~
+2
5
~
1
~
+1
8
~
1
~
+4
18
~
~
~
+2
29
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
+3
22
~
~
~
+5
25
~
~
~
+3
14
~
~
2
+4
29
L. Bretelle
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

#
Player
60
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
+1
24
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
45
~
~
~
+1
10
~
~
~
+2
70
~
~
~
+2
12
~
~
~
+2
65
~
~
~
~
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
16
~
~
~
~
19
1
~
~
+1
10
~
~
~
+2
23
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
+2
7
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Rennes - Le Mans 30.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 10
8
2nd half 12
4
Result 22
12
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Rennes
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Le Mans
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Rennes - Le Mans 30.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Rennes and Le Mans before the match 30.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Rennes - Le Mans 30.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works