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Paris FC — Nice
Ligue 1

Paris FC - Nice 30.08.2026 16:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Paris FC Paris FC
Position: 2 (+15)
D
L
D
L
D
Finished
3
0
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1st half 1:0
2nd half 2:0
30.08.2026 16:00
Nice Nice
Position: 17 (-15)
W
L
D
D
D
Ligue 1
Regular Season - 2 | 2026 | France
Stade Jean Bouin
xG 2.38 0.78
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Paris FC or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Paris FC
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Nice
10%
Combo bet
Double chance : Paris FC or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Paris FC
0%
Nice
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.5 2.15
Avg. corners per match 10.83 11.82
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.83 3.18
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Paris FC - Nice, match from 30.08.2026. The referee will be Jeremy Stinat, France. Ligue 1 - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. The teams are infrequent opponents on the pitch. At the moment, they have only met within a single season. The most likely outcome is a win for Paris FC, judging by the odds of 2.07.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.23
Average CLV
+7.89%
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI +7.7%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Paris FC - Nice 30.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
250% from average (1.2)
3
0
0% from average (1.05)
Expected goals (xG)
193% from average (1.23)
2.38
0.78
61% from average (1.27)
Possession
97% from average (46.25)
45%
55%
115% from average (47.64)
Corners
43% from average (4.67)
2
4
58% from average (6.91)
Yellow cards
0% from average (2.5)
0
1
55% from average (1.82)
19% from average (5.2)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
71% from average (9.92)
7
7
69% from average (10.18)
53% from average (26.17)
Shots on goal
133% from average (11.25)
15
16
140% from average (11.45)
Shots on target
92% from average (4.33)
4
4
107% from average (3.73)
Shots off target
156% from average (4.5)
7
6
147% from average (4.09)
Blocked shots
165% from average (2.42)
4
6
161% from average (3.73)
Shots from inside the box
128% from average (7.83)
10
9
115% from average (7.82)
Shots from outside the box
146% from average (3.42)
5
7
192% from average (3.64)
Passes
141% from average (414.58)
584
691
167% from average (414.82)
Successful passes
152% from average (344.42)
523
617
178% from average (347)
Pass accuracy
109% from average (82.33)
90%
89%
107% from average (83)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
83% from average (2.42)
2
1
55% from average (1.82)
Saves
141% from average (2.83)
4
1
43% from average (2.3)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
18’
Youssouf Ndayishimiye
Yellow Card
19’
Y. Ndayishimiye
Penalty
21’
L. Sinayoko
1
:
0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
0
Goal
51’
S. Chergui
2
:
0
Substitution
63’
E. Wahi
N. Ngoumou
Substitution
63’
E. Wahi
N. Ngoumou
Substitution
63’
R. Matondo
M. Simon
Substitution
63’
R. Matondo
M. Simon
Substitution
72’
P. Zabi
P. Pagis
Substitution
73’
A. Mendy
M. Abdelmonem
Substitution
73’
I. Jansson
A. Witsel
Substitution
73’
I. Jansson
A. Witsel
Substitution
73’
A. Mendy
M. Abdelmonem
Substitution
82’
H. Koutoune
J. Clauss
Substitution
82’
D. Morana
M. Bard
Substitution
83’
H. Traore
I. Kebbal
Substitution
83’
V. Marchetti
Otavio
Goal
89’
V. Marchetti
3
:
0
Match Completed
3
:
0

Injuries and suspensions

Paris FC
JI
J. Ikone
Hamstring Injury
Definitely will not play
LK
L. Koleosho
Injury
Definitely will not play
NS
N. Sangui
Injury
Definitely will not play
EM
E. Mbemba
Inactive
Definitely will not play
Nice
MS
M. Sanson
Surgery
Definitely will not play
LA
L. Abergel
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
AA
A. Abdi
Surgery
Definitely will not play
MB
M. Bombito
Leg Injury
Definitely will not play
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Paris FC
9 L. Sinayoko
27 M. Simon
7 P. Pagis
10 I. Kebbal
33 P. Lees-Melou
20 M. Lopez
6 Otavio
42 D. Coppola
31 S. Chergui
17 A. Camara
1 K. Trapp
Formation · 3-4-2-1 Nice
29 N. Ngoumou
10 S. Diop
7 G. Hein
26 M. Bard
28 A. Witsel
39 D. Coulibaly
92 J. Clauss
35 X. Mandza Tsiendi
55 Y. Ndayishimiye
5 M. Abdelmonem
23 Y. Diouf

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
17
~
~
~
~
42
~
~
~
+1
6
~
~
~
+2
31
~
~
1
+3
20
~
~
~
+2
33
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
~
+6
7
~
~
~
+2
27
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
1
+4
#
Player
23
~
~
~
+1
5
~
~
~
+1
55
~
1
~
+3
35
~
~
~
+2
92
~
~
~
+3
39
~
~
~
+2
28
~
~
~
+1
26
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
+1
10
~
~
~
+3
29
~
~
~
+3

Substitutions

#
Player
16
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+2
4
~
~
1
+2
18
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
#
Player
77
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
~
84
~
~
~
+1
87
~
~
~
~
38
~
~
~
~
44
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
+3
41
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Paris FC - Nice 30.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 4
4
2nd half 11
12
Result 15
16
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Paris FC
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Nice
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Paris FC - Nice 30.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Paris FC and Nice before the match 30.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Paris FC - Nice 30.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works